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Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

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Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#211

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've thought about adding solar to my home and can't see any reason why I should even consider a battery for storage. I'm in Texas and so I get plenty of sun and my peak energy demand happens to coincide with that sunlight (due to HVAC). Why should I worry about a complete solution?

The sun goes down at night

And? I'm still connected to the grid.

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One weird thought I had the other day: high voltage DC transmission lines are getting more popular. I wonder if it would be economical for a high voltage DC line to form a loop around the entire planet, so that the load can follow the sun through a complete cycle.

This has terrifying geopolitical implications, so probably no-one will want to depend on it anytime soon.

If only a different species had reached our level of intelligence first... This would be a cool solution.

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#213

The true price of solar is the price to produce reliable, continuous energy. That requires something to smooth out the signal and store the energy, most probably a battery. The solar + battery price is also going down, though not as fast as the solar only piece. But that's the metric we should be following. When that hits $30 per MWh, it'll be game over.

No more than the true-price of Nuclear is the price to spin-up and spin-down nuclear as the electric grid demands.

There's "baseload power" (coal, nuclear, wind, solar is really good for this), and there's "Peaker power" (natural gas and hydro are really good for this).

Hydro is super-simple. Just block the water if you don't need energy, and unblock it when you need energy. Ditto with Natural Gas, which can spin up / spin down arbitrarily.

Solar, Nuclear, and Wind generate power on their own schedule and can't really be bothered. But you use OTHER forms of energy when the sun stops shining.

Natural gas is expensive to run 100% of the time. But if you can run Natural gas only 20% of the time, then you're still saving money.

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#214

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn't bet on batteries, or at least conventional batteries, being the long term solution. There's interesting work being done with air pressure storage, flow batteries (the largest batteries currently under construction are mostly flow batteries in the 500MWh-1GWh range, though the technology is still in its infancy), and big scary vacuum flywheels. All of these are far less developed than lithium ion cells, but…

I think the key is that we can start to develop infrastructure just fine on lithium cells, and it might even accelerate the development of more efficient alternatives develop because it proves the market to investors.

The market of grid-level energy storage is already proven to investors and anyone in the utilities industry.

See CAES storage (Texas) and Pumped Hydro energy storage (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bath_County_Pumped_Storage_Sta...)

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#215

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn't bet on batteries, or at least conventional batteries, being the long term solution. There's interesting work being done with air pressure storage, flow batteries (the largest batteries currently under construction are mostly flow batteries in the 500MWh-1GWh range, though the technology is still in its infancy), and big scary vacuum flywheels. All of these are far less developed than lithium ion cells, but…

One weird thought I had the other day: high voltage DC transmission lines are getting more popular. I wonder if it would be economical for a high voltage DC line to form a loop around the entire planet, so that the load can follow the sun through a complete cycle.

In the US alone this would greatly aid a transition to wind and solar:

http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2016/01/better-power-lines-wo...

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not entirely. About 10GW of solar capacity would cover the entire air conditioning load peak for California[1] That's when power prices are the highest, and it doesn't need energy storage. Pretty soon, most air conditioning load will be on solar power. [1] http://www.caiso.com/TodaysOutlook/Pages/default.aspx

But you do need storage and/or backup providers because not having air-conditioning run on cloudy days is not an option.

Cloudy days are usually cooler, and you still generate solar power on those days.

True, you still need an alternative source of energy in those cases. But realistically, cloudy days reduces the sun, which usually leads to lower temperatures.

---------------

Personally, I think that cold-energy storage (aka: run air-conditioners on overdrive to chill water. Then use chilled-water to cool your house) is the ideal.

https://www.ice-energy.com/

It turns out that a vat of 480 Gallons of cold-water has a lot of cooling potential. Chill the water to 40F and you can cool down homes for hours using fans alone. With proper compressors and such, you are like 95%+ efficient.

Your failure mechanism is the probability that your vat of water begins to leak its cold air. Certainly a problem, but way simpler and less of a problem than explosive Li-Ion batteries.

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#217
post #203

It is my understanding that we are already past or very near a point of no return w.r.t greenhouse gas emissions and global warming. Talk of peak power and renewable excess leads to discussion about the need to store that excess. Could we also expend that energy to do something like scrub CO2? Is this even feasible at a scale that could make a difference?

Maaaaybe, but the cheapest and most effective step is not to put it in the atmosphere in the first place. Besides, it's the politics that's infeasible.

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#218

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In my experience, the perception that "solar isn't for everybody", especially when using housing examples, is fooled by hidden assumptions that were made during the time. Consider the situation in 1950 when you are building a house, you can double or triple the cost of home construction by insulating it so that the net energy needed to heat or cool it is minimal, or you throw a oil burner in the basement which is bur…

> That gets you houses in the New Mexico desert that need no air conditioning (air cooling) and churches and office buildings in the northeast that need no additional heating. Do you have a source for your NM desert example? I'm doubtful you can keep a desert home cool with just airflow.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthship#Thermal_performance

I've visited a couple of these places, they are pretty neat.

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#219
post #203

It is my understanding that we are already past or very near a point of no return w.r.t greenhouse gas emissions and global warming. Talk of peak power and renewable excess leads to discussion about the need to store that excess. Could we also expend that energy to do something like scrub CO2? Is this even feasible at a scale that could make a difference?

Direct air capture of CO2 is getting pretty good. Carbon Engineering [1] was in the news recently for demonstrating an efficient scheme at commercial scale. When I looked at the math, their technique would add about 8 cents/kWh to the price of fossil power assuming it was used to capture all the CO2. So if solar is coming in around 2 cents/kWh, you could have 10 cent electricity (competitive in many markets) that also captures as much CO2 as the average fossil unit currently creates. The progress is pretty heartening.

Re: Solar Just Hit a Record Low Price in the U.S

#220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This comment gets made in every single solar article put on HN. The true price of solar is what the market is willing to pay for it. If the solar was ruining the grid or was way more expensive than what it seems, we would not keep seeing solar installed at this pace and at these costs. We need to get out of the mindset that all power generators need to produce a steady amount of power 24/7. A flexible grid made of ma…

Not only that. Solar energy production follows the sun, which incidentally is what humans also follow and when they are typically active and using most energy. Hence, solar producing energy when it is actually needed and in most demand (peak energy). This is even more so the case in hotter places that need AC.

Unfortunately not the case, solar output peaks in the afternoon and load peaks in the evening. It's been termed the duck curve. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duck_curve
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