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Ask HN: What are your favorite statistics and probability textbooks?

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Ask HN: What are your favorite statistics and probability textbooks?

#1
I took stats in undergrad, but it was a very rudimentary "push x sequence of buttons on your calculator in y situation" ordeal and left me with less applicable knowledge than I'd like.

Since sometime after graduation, I've taken up serious study of higher-level maths as a hobby. I think it will be most useful in my career if I also have a strong grasp on probability and statistics.

[edit] The suggestions so far have been great, but it occured to me to add that I'm working through Spivak and Apostol right now with Dedekind's essays on the side. Hopefully that gives an idea of the tone/rigor I'm after. Answers to problems is also ideal.

Re: Ask HN: What are your favorite statistics and probability textbooks?

#2
I'd recommend almost anything by Andy Field. He has a clear cut approach with a bit of comic wit to make the reading more enjoyable for hobby reading. His book on SPSS was fantastic, but may be a bit too specialized for what you're looking for. Check out discovering statistics:

https://www.discoveringstatistics.com/

Re: Ask HN: What are your favorite statistics and probability textbooks?

#3
If you're looking for just mathematical statistics, I liked Hogg McKean and Craig's "Introduction to Mathematical Statistics" (4th edition was much better than the ones after it, imo).

But if you're looking to learn prob/stats for applications to ML, most ML textbooks have a chapter or two reviewing the relevant stuff. I liked the first two chapters of Bishop's PRML for that.

Re: Ask HN: What are your favorite statistics and probability textbooks?

#6
If you're working through Spivek and Apostol, get Feller v1 and v2. Same level of rigor and emphasis on intuition. (If you're having fun after that, pick up Gallager's book on stochastic processes. Similar approaches, intuition, and focus on discrete probability to skip the metric theory complications of continuous dists.)

Another very good book is Bertsekas and Tsitsiklas, Introduction to Probability. This book will also give you some intuition.

I've heard Grimmitt recommended but I think B&T is better.

You could also start with Papoulis (a stochastic processes classic book, but it does the intro probability too.)

Re: Ask HN: What are your favorite statistics and probability textbooks?

#8
I think you will enjoy Efron & Hastie's Computer Age Statistical Inference: Algorithms, Evidence and Data Science.

https://web.stanford.edu/~hastie/CASI/

MIT 6.008 Introduction to Inference also goes over many of the classic problems such as Cookie Jar, Monte Hall, Fair Dice, One-Armed Bandits, etc. with tons of labs.

I find this stuff easier to grok by just writing code and running a simulation. To that end, I'd setup an Anacondas environment and start experimenting with PyMC3. As your intuition suggests, there's no downside to mastery of probabilistic programming. Best of luck!

https://docs.pymc.io/

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