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‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

nytimes.com

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Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#5
post #2

Is there a way to see NY times articles? Hn links to NY times always brings up a pay wall.

I use incognito browsing mode and some extensions, would incognito alone work for you? Otherwise I think I'm using privacy badger and fair adblocker?

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#7
"Stocks have been in a sideways struggle since the Standard & Poor’s 500 last peaked on Jan. 26."

Is this really true? Almost every single stock I've been tracking has just been going up this year, especially the tech ones. Even ones with decreasing revenues like GoPro.

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#8
> The so-called yield curve is perilously close to predicting a recession — something it has done before with surprising accuracy — and it’s become a big topic on Wall Street.

> The yield curve is basically the difference between interest rates on short-term United States government bonds, say, two-year Treasury notes, and long-term government bonds, like 10-year Treasury notes.

> Typically, when an economy seems in good health, the rate on the longer-term bonds will be higher than short-term ones. The extra interest is to compensate, in part, for the risk that strong economic growth could set off a broad rise in prices, known as inflation. Lately, though, long-term bond yields have been stubbornly slow to rise — which suggests traders are concerned about long-term growth — even as the economy shows plenty of vitality.

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#9

"Stocks have been in a sideways struggle since the Standard & Poor’s 500 last peaked on Jan. 26." Is this really true? Almost every single stock I've been tracking has just been going up this year, especially the tech ones. Even ones with decreasing revenues like GoPro.

Yes:

https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/spy/stock-chart

https://investor.vanguard.com/etf/profile/performance/vti

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#10

"Stocks have been in a sideways struggle since the Standard & Poor’s 500 last peaked on Jan. 26." Is this really true? Almost every single stock I've been tracking has just been going up this year, especially the tech ones. Even ones with decreasing revenues like GoPro.

Going up this year or going up since January 26?
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