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New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

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Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#131
> "The impact of this cost hike will be felt throughout the industry, but most sharply by educators, especially those serving under-funded school districts."

I am not sure what stance to take on the tariffs, but I'm pretty sure manufacturing will feel the cost hike WAYYYY more than educators. Schools probably buy, at max, tens of thousands of dollars worth. Manufacturing buys millions of dollars. These are hyperbolic sentiments.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe nobody should have tariffs. Understanding that is never going to happen, it should at least be a starting ppoint

That will work as soon as we have a single currency. The EU is a really good example here of how a single currency puts everyone on the same economic accounting basis and so eliminates the ability of a country to 'fudge' the numbers through either internal subsidies or currency manipulation. The reason you need a single currency is that if you're going to sell barrels of wheat from country X to country Y, and country…

This is incorrect understanding of how currencies work. Same currency works only when the area satisfies optimum currency area criteria well enough. Euroarea is in constant trouble because it is not good currency region as it is now. You need at least common fiscal policy to fix it.

In general, freely floating currencies fix all problems you mention.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People buying products subject to tariffs (or products made with materials subject to tariffs) pay the majority of the tariff. So they do cost the public. In a functioning market, local suppliers are likely to raise prices in response to the tariffs, as they face less competition.

I don't know anything about economy, so this is a question not.. a counter, but: > In a functioning market, local suppliers are likely to raise prices in response to the tariffs, as they face less competition. Is that entirely bad? The whole "US Made!" tagline of old stopped becoming possible because we couldn't charge wages low enough to compete with foreign dollars or foreign slave wages. Raising the cost of X item…

>The whole "US Made!" tagline of old stopped becoming possible because we couldn't charge wages low enough to compete with foreign dollars or foreign slave wages.

Not exactly. For starters being able to buy products for cheap is generally good for consumers. They have more money left over to buy other things...

Secondly, the U.S. have actively fought to keep wages low in developing nations. For example: https://www.thenation.com/article/wikileaks-haiti-let-them-l... It's easy to cry about low wages though and how that "hurts" American manufacturers. So here's the thought experiment, all workers on the planet now make at least U.S. federal minimum wage. We can now compete with Haitians for underwear manufacturing. Underwear now costs a lot more than it used to. That's not a win for consumers. And all those minimum wage underwear manufacturing jobs aren't exactly a boon to the U.S. economy, go figure.

Thirdly, no nation is going to be able to produce every sort of product itself efficiently and cheaply. Trade is and always has been important. Other nations can do some things better and cheaper and it's not always labor costs that are the linchpin of being out-competed.

Fourth, people imagine peak manufacturing as some sort of ideal that we should be tripping over ourselves to get back to. It's a fools errand. No matter what a lot of manufacturing jobs are never coming back, ever. It's never going to be like it used to be, automation will have seen to that.

A lot of people don't understand the economy, but they have an idea how the economy should be. It's more terrifying than my mom offering to fix my computer, because moms know best.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That will work as soon as we have a single currency. The EU is a really good example here of how a single currency puts everyone on the same economic accounting basis and so eliminates the ability of a country to 'fudge' the numbers through either internal subsidies or currency manipulation. The reason you need a single currency is that if you're going to sell barrels of wheat from country X to country Y, and country…

The inability to devalue currency is why greece cant recover. The Euro is idiotic.

Even worse: Germany, an already very strong nation, gets to free ride the Euro for its export machine at the cost of its Eurozone rivals (and other competitors in Europe broadly). If Germany had its own currency, it would be considerably more expensive than the Euro is today, which would make German exports more expensive. As you note, countries like Greece, Spain, Italy, Portugal would do better because their exports would be cheaper under less expensive national currencies (unique to their individual economic circumstances), enabling them to compete better against Germany's exports. This artificial prop can be seen in the fact that Germany has the world's largest trade surplus as a percentage of its economic output.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We're talking about food. You can't just put up a farm and start producing a few weeks later. Depending on the crop it can take years before a farm is productive. So no, new suppliers don't just 'spring up'. This sort of economic activity can lead to food shortages.

This is why the US subsidizes agriculture so heavily, so they can quickly spin up more farms

It's so that we have a surplus of farms and product and won't need to defy physics by spinning up new productive farms quickly. It's a buffer in case of emergencies and disasters.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#136

Out of all possible trade barriers, I think tariffs are generally the better option. The alternative is subsidies, quotas or "unofficial" barriers like product safety rules or other burry-you-in-bureaucracy setups. Tariffs bring in taxes (as opposed to costing the public) They're easier to understand. This one makes Chinese microwaves x% more expensive. It's clearer who is paying for it (consumers) and who benefits,…

People buying products subject to tariffs (or products made with materials subject to tariffs) pay the majority of the tariff. So they do cost the public. In a functioning market, local suppliers are likely to raise prices in response to the tariffs, as they face less competition.

I'm not arguing against this. There are winners: local producers, at least in the short term. There are losers: to importers and consumers.

What I'm arguing is that there are always winners and losers to trade barriers. Tariffs make it easy to understand and quantify this, because they are explicit and straightforward. They're flexible and leave less legacy or mess. It's always clear what they are trying to achieve, and how.

This is not an argument for trade barriers, it's an argument for how trade barriers should be implemented if they are implemented.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#137

I really hate the new tariff. There is no need to be going into a trade war against not only traditionally our rivals but also our allies now too. The economy is recovering and I believe it may now be heading toward a recession. Here's the quick data on job created in raw number without the quality of the job to show that it is recovering since the 2008 recession: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2…

So why not free trade? I hate the idea of tariffs, but when your "allies" have had non reciprocal tariffs something needs to be done. I think all of this would go away if all tariffs against US products were removed

I don't understand this position. Free trade would be nice, so let's make the furthest thing from free trade by adding tariffs?

The only time the president mentioned lower tariffs was an offhand comment at the G7. All of his other positions imply he disagrees with you and thinks trade is bad.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#139
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There is no need to be going into a trade war against not only traditionally our rivals but also our allies now too. And yet other countries never seem to entertain the idea of both sides getting rid of all their tariffs, which is something Trump suggested at that G7 summit. Everyone goes nuts when the US suggests implementing tariffs against countries that already have tariffs against us. You gotta admit, the mess…

> Everyone goes nuts when the US suggests implementing tariffs against countries that already have tariffs against us. You gotta admit, the message seems to be that other countries are allowed to protect their domestic industry via tariffs and the US is just supposed to deal with it, don’t wanna start a trade war! You do know the US is already heavily protectionist and many tariffs are protections against the US's pr…

Yup. Heavily protectionist. Thats exactly how an unbiased economist would characterize US trade policy. Stop watching msnbc dude.

The USA became the world's largest evonomy with massive tariffs on basically all imports. Smoot Hawley Act anyone? Those were removed gradualy starting in the 1970's and lo and behold the trade deficit sky rocketted while the manufacturing economy plummeted.

Re: New US Tariffs are Anti-Maker and Will Encourage Offshoring

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That will work as soon as we have a single currency. The EU is a really good example here of how a single currency puts everyone on the same economic accounting basis and so eliminates the ability of a country to 'fudge' the numbers through either internal subsidies or currency manipulation. The reason you need a single currency is that if you're going to sell barrels of wheat from country X to country Y, and country…

The inability to devalue currency is why greece cant recover. The Euro is idiotic.

But that is exactly the point right? If you devalue the common currency then the amount you pay Greek farmers goes "up" effectively, and the price you pay German farmers also goes "up" so the relative costs of things stay the same and nothing changes. Whereas with a translation layer (currency exchange) you can "adjust" what it costs Greece and what it costs Germany to the advantage of one or the other.

A tariff is a way to adjust this economic cost externally which takes it out of the market's hands and put it into a political realm and one step removed from the actual economy that should be adjusting.

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