When Bitcoin was running up to $20,000, I tried to analyze the system and come to a personal conclusion about its equilibrium value, because I didn't want to miss out if it really was the currency of the future. I ended up not investing, because of the possibility of a double-spend attack. I think that cryptocurrency enthusiasts are seriously underestimating the importance of double-spending attacks to the economics…
I think the argument is that by doing a 51% attack you undermine the market value so you never get the rewards. This makes sense, but only for the leading crypto coin. As we see here today, you can 51% attack smaller coins, which should imply an increase in the value of Bitcoin from consolidation.
Only if you make it public. A 51% attack works at a poker table too, but only if the marks don't know the game is rigged.
A successful double spend makes it public, as well as announcing your intentions to get to 51%. If you're quiet and can pull off a successful 51%, you can create the double spend before anyone knows.