When Bitcoin was running up to $20,000, I tried to analyze the system and come to a personal conclusion about its equilibrium value, because I didn't want to miss out if it really was the currency of the future. I ended up not investing, because of the possibility of a double-spend attack. I think that cryptocurrency enthusiasts are seriously underestimating the importance of double-spending attacks to the economics…
> there are certainly organizations with the resources to do it, e.g. intelligence agencies, organized crime Nation states. Don't forget the large number of sanctioned regimes who would (a) have the resources to execute such an attack and (b) find great profit in doing so.
Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
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Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#282Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#283When Bitcoin was running up to $20,000, I tried to analyze the system and come to a personal conclusion about its equilibrium value, because I didn't want to miss out if it really was the currency of the future. I ended up not investing, because of the possibility of a double-spend attack. I think that cryptocurrency enthusiasts are seriously underestimating the importance of double-spending attacks to the economics…
The numbers I've seen quoted for a double spend attach on Bitcoin Cash (assuming guaranteed block space) are that it would cost about 50K to double spend on a 0-conf transaction. So really, you can confidently accept 0-conf for <1K reasonably. More that that you can accept 1-conf or more which can take a minute or two. BTC rejects 0-conf transactions, but they are already in use around the world and are successful as…
That makes no sense. If there are no confirmations, there is no cost, because nothing happened. This comment is a 0-conf transaction on BTC...
Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#284Earlier quoted context omitted.
Fort Knox has an entire military base to secure it. That alone would use up a good chunk of your few hundred million dollar budget. I think you are vastly underestimating the cost in supporting our current financial system.
> Fort Knox has an entire military base to secure it Fort Knox has basically nothing to do with the modern U.S. dollar financial system.
Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#285When Bitcoin was running up to $20,000, I tried to analyze the system and come to a personal conclusion about its equilibrium value, because I didn't want to miss out if it really was the currency of the future. I ended up not investing, because of the possibility of a double-spend attack. I think that cryptocurrency enthusiasts are seriously underestimating the importance of double-spending attacks to the economics…
Interesting points. A defense against this type of attack is to use at least the hybrid proof-of-stake design that Ethereum is rolling out in about three months; blocks are proposed by proof of work, but proof of stake periodically adds a layer of "economic finality." Here's a paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.09437
Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#286Earlier quoted context omitted.
No it would not. Finding a BTC double spend attack vector would be like finding a 0-day: good and maybe even profitable up until fixed, which would take hours, days at most. Have 0-days destroyed Microsoft, Android, Firefox, Electron or Chrome?
Microsoft, Android, Firefox, Electron and Chrome aren't currencies. They have an underlying value/utility. People have a real, tangible need _outside of the use of those products_ to get them fixed. Can you say the same for a cryptocurrency?
Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#287Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#288Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Fort Knox has an entire military base to secure it Fort Knox has basically nothing to do with the modern U.S. dollar financial system.
You don't consider a country's reserve assets to be a factor in their monetary system? An interesting way to see the world.
The U.S. dollar isn't backed by gold. The total value of the gold at Fort Knox, about $100 billion, is negligible [1] and does not appear on the Federal Reserve's balance sheet [2]. It is mostly an anachronism from the eras of the gold standard.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Bullion_Deposito...
[2] https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_fedsbalanc...
Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#289Dedicated ASIC only for your chain = good. Commodity hardware = bad.
Re: Bitcoin Gold Hit by Double Spend Attack, Exchanges Lose Millions
#290Is there a laymans explination for this attack? "but the attacker was able to reverse transactions since they had majority control of the network." I thought these crypto currencies didn't allow for reversing a transaction? Or is this "reversing" such as just deposit and then withdraw?
The purpose of mining is to solve a puzzle. In Bitcoin one solution is expected every 10 min on average. This can then be used store transactions on the blockchain in one block. To add to that block you need to solve a new puzzle and so on.
You can reverse transactions if you recalculate the puzzle solutions. This can take time but if you have more mining power than the rest of the network you can win this race. This is called a 51% attack.
So for example you deposit to an exchange and wait for that to confirm, in maybe 6 blocks. Meanwhile you create 7 blocks in secret yourself where you did not send to the exchange and release them to the world. The blockchain works by always considering the longest chain as the correct one, therefore overwriting or reversing the old transactions.