+ minority rule
+ signalling theory
+ hypergamy
+ purity spirals
+ sexual selection
+ iceberg principle
+ principal component
+ emperor has no clothes (shared vs common knowledge)
+ Hajnal line
+ trapdoor function
+ invisible hand
+ information hiding (encapsulation)
+ loose coupling
+ iatrogenics
+ ergodicity
+ entropy
+ unbundling (see pmarca’s tweets)Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
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Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#12I found it very interesting.
Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#13PS: Created an OPML file for 113 models with explanations:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/ba4zvf626zpqz57/mental%20models.op...
Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#14Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#15Does anyone follow the mental model way of thinking? I am curious how do people apply so many models in their daily life. It is possible to add couple of models like Hanlon's razor etc but 100+ seems too many.
Sure, folks successfully use models/patterns/theories/beliefs/instinct to reduce complex realities into comprehensible problems with tractable paths to solutions.
But I think the enumeration of models in one's "toolbox" is less important than being able to apply them (whatever they are) skillfully.
The OP just sounds like fodder designed to appeal to biz-types who crave and worship snap decision making.
Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#16Does anyone follow the mental model way of thinking? I am curious how do people apply so many models in their daily life. It is possible to add couple of models like Hanlon's razor etc but 100+ seems too many.
I would say all thinking is about building a mental model - it is what lets you predict how something will behave in a particular circumstance. Some mental models are not very reusable, some are applicable in many places - and it seems useful to collect the more universal models.
Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#17If you'd like to read more on the subject, I can recommend this article put together by Slava Akhmechet at Stripe, creator of RethinkDB. https://www.defmacro.org/2016/12/22/models.html
Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#18Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#19Vaguely related I've found Yuval Harari's stuff interesting ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13905249 ) The >You told the Guardian that without meditation, you'd still be researching medieval military history — but not the Neanderthals or cyborgs. What changes has meditation brought to your work as a historian? > ... the entire exercise ... is to learn the difference between fiction and reality, what is real an…
Re: Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (113 Models Explained)
#20Would speculate Buffet, Munger, et al don't actually bother much with cause and effect when entering large positions. They look at trends, price-action, cash flow and other mathematical micro-economic indicators. As well as a bias on the long term survivability of betting on America as a macro whole.
Michael Abrash, now Oculus Chief Scientist, has this great definition of "Zen Optimizations" in his famous graphics programming black books. There is the way a thing is advertised to work. There is the way you believe it to work. And then there is the way it actually works!