Earlier quoted context omitted.
What does that have to do with a nation violating an international accord to stop producing CFC emissions?
I was actually just curious.
Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
141–150 of 163 posts
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#142> also because alternatives exist, making it hard to imagine what the market for CFC-11 today would be. Well I've heard of someone who was stockpiling and was planning to sell banned Freon. That was years ago. There is a black market for it because equipment that uses it doesn't simply work on newer approved stuff. If I randomly heard about it, chances are there are more insantces of it. And if there is demand someon…
CFC-11 is cheaper then alternatives. If I'm a shady factory owner making cheap fridges for shady countries, who is gonna complain?
Can't say if it is just cheaper, but it is more efficient. It has a high boiling point, so you don't need as high of a pressure. That means can design the installation with less tolerances, not as powerful of a compressor etc.
Moreover if you already have setup that works, you don't have to spend money to retrofit it.
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#143Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why does that idea repulse you? We see it regularly with countries high on the corruption scale. And given what we know about the tragedy of the commons, it makes sense to make money on a global tragedy (CFCs). I (a CFC producer) can make more than the loss everyone takes. Transparency International tries to uncover "shady" countries. You can see the results here: https://www.transparency.org/news/feature/corruption_…
Your logic and economic explanations are sensible. The term "shady countries" was the phrase I reacted upon, and only that. Shady government officials, businessmen, deals? Sure. Shady countries? It sounds extremely wide and viewed from a position of privilege.
> It sounds extremely wide and viewed from a position of privilege.
Ah well. I am not the one who used the phrase. But I lived in a shady country, if I criticize it and call it corrupt and shady do I get pass of not being from position of privilege?
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#144Earlier quoted context omitted.
> There is a lot of well-established science on the effect of CFCs on the Ozone layer Yes, and at one time doctors and scientists _all_ agreed smoking was ok for you. And even doctors recommended it for some conditions. I don't have a problem with getting negative votes, but I have started off discussions with a simple question "why is this a certain way?" and got down voted anyways, and the discussions dragged out.…
Bit of a hubris comparing oneself with Feynman. And to challenge the established science you have to learn it first, no way around it.
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#145Earlier quoted context omitted.
> There is a lot of well-established science on the effect of CFCs on the Ozone layer Yes, and at one time doctors and scientists _all_ agreed smoking was ok for you. And even doctors recommended it for some conditions. I don't have a problem with getting negative votes, but I have started off discussions with a simple question "why is this a certain way?" and got down voted anyways, and the discussions dragged out.…
The problem is that you are holding in one hand currently accepted mainstream scientific thought, and in the other, your "kid logic," and treating them equally. If you want to learn more you need to learn more - which is to say that it's fine to question the current scientific literature but you better be reading the current scientific literature and not basing it on a grade school Earth Science experiment you saw wh…
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#146Earlier quoted context omitted.
> There is a lot of well-established science on the effect of CFCs on the Ozone layer Yes, and at one time doctors and scientists _all_ agreed smoking was ok for you. And even doctors recommended it for some conditions. I don't have a problem with getting negative votes, but I have started off discussions with a simple question "why is this a certain way?" and got down voted anyways, and the discussions dragged out.…
Bit of a hubris comparing oneself with Feynman. And to challenge the established science you have to learn it first, no way around it.
Maybe you people are the ones Feynman was criticising? He certainly wasn't hard on ignorant people looking for answers, he was hard on smart arrogant people who thought they couldn't be wrong.
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#147Earlier quoted context omitted.
It continues to amaze me that (some) people (appear to) believe we have a fixed quantity of ozone and once that's depleted, we're in trouble. From [1, PDF]: "These reactions occur continually whenever solar ultraviolet radiation is present in the stratosphere." [1] https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csd/assessments/ozone/2010/twentyq...
Yeah but every chlorine atom up there is a nanomachine that destroys all ozone molecules it can touch, and it lasts one century in average. So, given enough, no amount of ozone generation can compensate.
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#148Earlier quoted context omitted.
That article says this: "Because CFCs are so long-lived in the lower atmosphere, there is ample time and opportunity for them to become well mixed and eventually to reach the stratosphere." They all go to one place? Consider the plastic patch in the Pacific, even there, there are currents that move everything there. I've never heard of currents in the air that push everything to the south pole, and then straight up.…
"Why has an “ozone hole” appeared over Antarctica when ozone-depleting substances are present throughout the stratosphere?" [PDF] https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csd/assessments/ozone/2010/twentyq...
>chlorine and bromine reactions to produce the ozone hole in Antarctic springtime
Why isn't chlorine and bromine considered just as bad as CFCs, if they are in fact the chemicals causing the problem?
>...most of the emissions occur in the Northern Hemisphere."
>...winds and convection redistribute and mix air efficiently throughout the troposphere on the timescale of weeks to months*
The paper indicates that there's an equal amount of these gases all over, and that they _aren't_ congregating at the south pole.
Yet, go read the comments on this board, so many people that shout me down don't seem to know this. It's incredible how so many "smart" people are convinced of something, and get raging mad when questioned. Is it because they believe it without actual proof, or haven't researched it thoroughly themselves?
>Stratospheric air motions then transport these gases upward and toward the pole in both hemispheres.
One guy here claimed it was "mountains" that moved the air. Which is silly, because of all kinds of reasons, the least of which is that mountains would only cause a localized updraft, not a planet wide updraft.
I am starting to think HN is fully of "true believers" that will hunt anyone down for questioning anything at all.
There are references in this document to other sources that are not included here. And obviously to question many scientists work these days is tantamount to blasphemy regardless.
>Once formed, PSC particles fall to lower altitudes because of gravity.
Why does gravity affect one type of element but not others?
>The most common source of CFCs are refrigerants, but fire suppression systems for aircraft and aerosols also emit CFCs into the atmosphere.
https://sciencing.com/sources-cfcs-8405334.html
How much CFCs in the air does it take to create a hole _and_ maintain that hole for decades? This is almost where every discussion from the effects of homelessness, government budgets, wars, etc... all fall apart. No one has any real numbers. It's all "guessing", yet we are "certain" enough say "don't you dare question the orthodoxy".
>"...the highly reactive chlorine gas ClO remains chemically active for a longer period, thereby increasing chemical ozone destruction."
51.4524 g/mol Chlorine Monoxide, ClO (The CFC gas from the article)
70.9056 g/mol Cl2 (mustard gas)
44.0095 g/mol Carbon Dioxide, CO2
14.006747 g/mol Nitrogen, N
18.01528 g/mol Water, H2O
Again, I am an ignoramus, but ClO looks to be quite a heavy gas. Cl2 stayed in the trenchs in WWI, carbon dioxide is heavy enough to pour like "water".
Yet the claim is that PSCs (which are made of water) "fall from gravity" yet their molar mass in a fraction of the other gases. Again, I think it's possible to have every gas everywhere. But a single gas 4 times heavier than something that "gravity" pulls from the sky, stays up in air for months wreaking havoc?
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#149Earlier quoted context omitted.
First, I've never heard anyone doubt the ozone layer issue, I've never read anything negative or even looked into any skeptics on this. I didn't even know they existed. So claiming that I am influenced by some mega-corp's propaganda isn't relevant. I just found that basic science points out flaws in this theory, and came here to bring up the issue. Arguments are meaningless, on either side. Chemically speaking I don'…
Yes, that was about how disinformation gets into public debate and into the media. Carry on. Seems like the physics discussion above is addressing the science questions you had. Edit to add: because of the alliance in the US between billionaires and Christians, in my experience a lot of christians hear these kind of science denial ideas as they are growing up. (Not saying this is you, just providing context for inter…
It was teachers in Oregon, decades ago when this came up there was lots of talk, but very little "discussion". (late 80s early 90s)
This was back in the day when they were calling the internet the "information super highway" and we had been sharing the anarchists cookbook on BBS for years already. The ozone hole was brand new and came and went quickly. Haven't heard anything really about it until now.
It's odd how so many assumptions about people's experience and beliefs cause such harsh reactions.
Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012
#150Earlier quoted context omitted.
First, I've never heard anyone doubt the ozone layer issue, I've never read anything negative or even looked into any skeptics on this. I didn't even know they existed. So claiming that I am influenced by some mega-corp's propaganda isn't relevant. I just found that basic science points out flaws in this theory, and came here to bring up the issue. Arguments are meaningless, on either side. Chemically speaking I don'…
Gases don't go to one place; they go everywhere including that place. Attention to the ozone problem is what leads the discussion in a direction of asking or explaining "how CFCs got to the poles." Nobody asks how CFCs get to, I dunno, 15 miles above Scranton. But the lack of asking does not at all imply that there are no CFCs above Scranton. There is extra attention paid to the poles because an ozone hole appears th…
That was the lesson I was taught yes. But consider how much scent would have to be released to smell that same smell for 70 years, across the whole planet.
I've read some articles on this linked here, and I see that there are many claims about what is happening, but in one PDF linked above this statement was made.
>The role of PSC particles in converting reactive chlorine gases to ClO was not understood until after the discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole in 1985. Our understanding of the chemical role of PSC particles developed from laboratory studies of their surface reactivity, computer modeling studies of polar stratospheric chemistry, and measurements that directly sampled particles and reactive chlorine gases, such as ClO, in the polar stratosphere"
I get that science has to extrapolate effects, because they simply can't sit in the sky and test the air all day long, it's not possible. But go look through history, how many times have scientists thought they understood something until later they changed their minds when more data was available.
Note the source and timing of the ozone hole discovery:
>* Joe Farman of the British Antarctic Survey discovered the Ozone Hole in 1984"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dobson_ozone_spectrophotometer
Within 1 year of discovering the "ozone hole" they had an answer that hasn't changed to this day, based on computer modeling from the 80s.
>*Total ozone was lower in these months [in 1984] compared with previous observations made as early as 1957."
https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csd/assessments/ozone/2010/twentyq...
We have a record of only 27 years of likely minimal data (from what I have read, no one was looking for a hole) where a difference was only discovered at the end of this data set, to which all the conclusions we have now are based. And everyone replying to me is saying this is absolutely settled science? No room for questioning this at all?