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Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

washingtonpost.com

101–110 of 163 posts

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#101

Back of the envelope calc says this is about the weight of say a dozen passenger cars or say 1 passenger car (weight) per month over a year? Doesn't sound like a major industrial operation to me and how many tons are STILL out there in old air conditioners and refrigerators that could be leaking?

You're out by a factor of 1000.

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#102
post #5

The overall, just-worrying-factor of this aside, I think it's rather surprising that "someone, somewhere" is putting up CFC-11 in the atmosphere and somehow the only way people got a hold of this was by looking at the ozone layer. If that's indeed the case, that would be a reminder that though there's a lot of information about a lot of stuff nowadays, much of what matters to us can still be going on on completely in…

> Alternatively, and more innocently, this could be due to the end of the life-cycle of several appliances in Second/Third World countries -- or maybe even First World (do you know anyone with an aging fridge?).

I don't think this can be overstated. True or not, the common belief held by most people in the US is that older Freon based systems are better than modern systems. This is due in part to the high cost and lower efficiency of those systems when they started showing up in the early 90s. As such many people chose to hold on to their older systems and maintain them.

The last two houses I have owned each had HVAC systems dating back to the 70s and early 80s and each had slow leaks that required refilling each year. The cost to refill a system has steadily increased but it is still under $500.

Modern chillers are not compatible with older furnaces so replacing your AC unit requires replacing your entire HVAC system. Prices start at around $4000 and many homes in the United States are multi system. We were quoted $12000-18000 to replace the two systems in our home last year.

Given the cost disparity between maintaining a 40 year old system and replacing it, what do you think most people would choose?

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#103
Does anyone have an idea of how difficult it would be to create a sensor network to monitor for CFCs?

What would the PPM at source be? Quick googling suggests that there are sensors that can detect down to 1000PPM [1], but I'd guess you'd need something substantially lower than that.

[1] https://docs-apac.rs-online.com/webdocs/15a6/0900766b815a66d...

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#104

If this is true and we found the place where it was being produced, could we be justified in destroying the facility by missile strike in order to save the world?

That would be a horrible idea (hopefully Trump wouldn't think it was a good idea). The accord relies on international cooperation. If we flew a missile into, say, China - setting aside all the other international implications of that - they could easily say "well screw you" and spin up 100 more factories.

Plus, it's probably some private black-market dealer, not a bad state actor.

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#105
post #2

> also because alternatives exist, making it hard to imagine what the market for CFC-11 today would be. Well I've heard of someone who was stockpiling and was planning to sell banned Freon. That was years ago. There is a black market for it because equipment that uses it doesn't simply work on newer approved stuff. If I randomly heard about it, chances are there are more insantces of it. And if there is demand someon…

> Well I've heard of someone who was stockpiling and was planning to sell banned Freon.

That's not a bad investment opportunity.

Freon prices in HVAC maintenance have risen dramatically in the past couple years. According to the technician who serviced my mom's system Monday, it was $100/lb last year and is $170/lb this year.

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#107
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) are heavier than air, so how do scientists suppose that these chemicals reach the altitude of the ozone layer to adversely affect it? >Although the CFC molecules are indeed several times heavier than air, thousands of measurements have been made from balloons, aircraft and satellites demonstrating that the CFCs are actually present in the stratosphere. The atmosphere is not stagnant. Winds…

That article says this: "Because CFCs are so long-lived in the lower atmosphere, there is ample time and opportunity for them to become well mixed and eventually to reach the stratosphere." They all go to one place? Consider the plastic patch in the Pacific, even there, there are currents that move everything there. I've never heard of currents in the air that push everything to the south pole, and then straight up.…

They go to all places.

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why does that idea repulse you? We see it regularly with countries high on the corruption scale. And given what we know about the tragedy of the commons, it makes sense to make money on a global tragedy (CFCs). I (a CFC producer) can make more than the loss everyone takes. Transparency International tries to uncover "shady" countries. You can see the results here: https://www.transparency.org/news/feature/corruption_…

Honestly, as a third-world citizen, I just can't fathom why anyone here would give a shit about ozone layer. We are extremely dismissive of those issues here because we care about the future of humanity and Earth a lot less that first-world populace. We have no incentive to protect the Earth so that children of first-worlders can live healthily in 2050 whenever. You fucked us all up with colonialism and whatnot, and…

I don't understand how the 'payback' will be sweet for you, or anyone else.

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#109
post #80

What about rockets like SpaceX etc. and volcano's erupting like in Hawaii? What effect do those have on the ozone?

What does that have to do with a nation violating an international accord to stop producing CFC emissions?

I was actually just curious.

Re: Emissions of banned, ozone-depleting chemical CFC-11 have climbed 25% since 2012

#110
Everybody's saying China, and, well, maybe. But what about North Korea? Despite China having a reputation for shady business practices, the Chinese government at least often gives the environment a higher priority than the US does. Also, North Korea probably has tons of outdated hardware, I would guess, and little respect for the outside world.

God help us if it is North Korea. Things are delicate enough as it is, with the peace treaty and the nuclear situation.

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