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Groupon’s Success Disaster

blog.redfin.com

71–80 of 130 posts

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#71

Great quote from the article: "When you buy something cheap and bad, the best you’re going to feel about it is when you buy it. When you buy something expensive and good, the worst you’re going to feel about it is when you buy it." Of couse, this assumes that you can afford it at all. But largely accurate if so, IMO.

This also assumes that expensive == good. In my experience, that's not always true, or even often true. Then you feel really bad.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#72
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Both of your statements are based on equivalency between marginal cost and average cost. The marginal profit in the service industry is not less than 10%. It would be nearly impossible to pay for all the fixed costs of running a service company (rent, labor, depreciation of PP&E) if that were true. Yes, the net profit margin is less than 10% (typically 5-7% for restaurants). The two are not the same. Many gross margi…

If you are losing money on each transaction, you can't make it up in volume, you can only lose money faster. Your gross margin would have to be 75% to make money with a groupon promotion, without accounting for any of your fixed costs. The only thing that might be able to touch that is some alcohol sales, assuming you could control employee theft and shrinkage, which you can't. Let us also not forget that a restauran…

   The only thing that might be able to touch that 
   is some alcohol sales
Or coffee. Drip coffee margins can be greater than 70%. Espresso drinks can be greater than 80%.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#73
post #24

I see three immediate problems: 1. The merchant didn't think through the consequences of their promotion. They made a deal that was too appealing to an unnecessarily broad swath of potential customers. A commenter on the blog points out that the better approach is to figure out how to bait the hook for a specific type of desirable customer instead of having a fire sale. 2. Groupon didn't look out for their partner me…

Agreed. She should have constrained what it could be applied to so she could manage her losses. If I was going to embark on a Groupon campaign, I'd want to look at how much money I would lose per Groupon and then figure out how many Groupons I could afford to sell. If you just open the floodgates without calculating how much you can afford to lose, it's not Groupons fault, it's your own. Even a layman should be able…

Angie's List (my company) has created a similar group coupon system (The Big Deal) as Groupon, but targeted to a more niche market. We actually allow companies to set a hard limit on the number of coupons that can get sold. This allows businesses to offer really great deals that they expect may do negative revenue just to bring in new customers, but control the loss with the limit.

I'm surprised Groupon doesn't do this. Or do they and this business just didn't set a limit?

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#74
"Groupon’s $3 was almost pure profit"

Completely wrong. Just because Groupon doesn't have any variable cost doesn't mean all of their revenue is profit. Credit card processing, bank fees, and chargebacks will eat up 2-5% of the (gross) revenue, and Groupon spends much more than that buying clicks to drive traffic to the merchant's deal.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#75
post #71

Great quote from the article: "When you buy something cheap and bad, the best you’re going to feel about it is when you buy it. When you buy something expensive and good, the worst you’re going to feel about it is when you buy it." Of couse, this assumes that you can afford it at all. But largely accurate if so, IMO.

This also assumes that expensive == good. In my experience, that's not always true, or even often true. Then you feel really bad.

"expensive AND good" is part of the quote. Both are necessary for the full effect of the quote. But yeah, if it's not true, then you feel really bad.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#76
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Agreed. She should have constrained what it could be applied to so she could manage her losses. If I was going to embark on a Groupon campaign, I'd want to look at how much money I would lose per Groupon and then figure out how many Groupons I could afford to sell. If you just open the floodgates without calculating how much you can afford to lose, it's not Groupons fault, it's your own. Even a layman should be able…

Angie's List (my company) has created a similar group coupon system (The Big Deal) as Groupon, but targeted to a more niche market. We actually allow companies to set a hard limit on the number of coupons that can get sold. This allows businesses to offer really great deals that they expect may do negative revenue just to bring in new customers, but control the loss with the limit. I'm surprised Groupon doesn't do th…

They do, at least for promotions I've seen through GroupOn. This business owner really shouldn't be in business.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#77

The numbers do not add up. Assuming 1,000 customers; $8,000 in losses is an $8 loss per customer. With $3 of revenue. So they're claiming $11 in variable costs to service each customer, for $13 worth of product. No way that is correct - if it is, Groupon is merely the straw that broke the camel's back. Their markup on product should be way higher. Also, that's assuming no increase in follow on transactions, and that…

What I learned in food service is that a general formula is 30% food cost, 30% labor, 30% overhead, 10% profit. If things are running well, you take home some money at the end of the day. The margin for error isn't huge.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#78
post #20

Who is GlennKelman and why is he/shey only submitting redfin articles and who are redfin and why are the articles deliberately contrarian and who is upvoting them?

That's not hard to find out. Glenn Kelman is the CEO of redfin, which has a very cool Google Maps-like real estate search. I haven't done business with them, but have used them as another tool during my house-buying searches. I wager that Glenn (or someone on the redfin team) is using HackerNews as yet another place to market. Personally, I don't mind. It's interesting reading.

You know I'm getting sick of the downvoting to the depths of hell any post that crosses the group-think party line of this place. I don't think that it is okay that a CEO of a commercial site is cross-posting here to boost traffic to his website. So what if you've used their services in your personal life and found them useful? How does change anything? My expectation of a site like HackeNews and SlashDot or anywhere like this is that the posts are posted by ordinary users because they find them interesting. If you get upvoted for liking posts that are a) crud and b) probably only used to drive traffic to a commerical website and I get downvoted because of the same then this is a place I don't want to be. Personally I do mind.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#79

Who is GlennKelman and why is he/shey only submitting redfin articles and who are redfin and why are the articles deliberately contrarian and who is upvoting them?

I'm OK with redfin submitting their own post as I found this particular entry to be interesting, and thought provoking.

I'm not. I didn't.

Re: Groupon’s Success Disaster

#80

Who is GlennKelman and why is he/shey only submitting redfin articles and who are redfin and why are the articles deliberately contrarian and who is upvoting them?

CEO of Redfin: http://www.redfin.com/about/management In his defense, they have been two good articles so far.

In my opinion no they haven't.
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