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The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

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Re: The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

#3
I saw Prof. Jordan give this talk in person, and the 2nd paragraph resonated with me. I wish there was more critical thinking involved in science/research/higher ed/industry but unfortunately most there's a lot of cheap money floating around with "experts" slurping it up without care for outcome.

"But the episode troubled me, particularly after a back-of-the-envelope calculation convinced me that many thousands of people had gotten that diagnosis that same day worldwide, that many of them had opted for amniocentesis, and that a number of babies had died needlessly."

Re: The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

#4
Well said:

> Thus, just as humans built buildings and bridges before there was civil engineering, humans are proceeding with the building of societal-scale, inference and decision making systems that involve machines, humans and the environment. Just as early buildings and bridges sometimes fell to the ground — in unforeseen ways and with tragic consequences — many of our early societal scale inference and decision making systems are already exposing serious conceptual flaws.

Re: The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

#5
I'm not an AI researcher (although from my internet reading that's not a hard title to claim ;)) but I feel that ML/DL can't go much farther than they already have. The concept of "we just need more power" is an obvious fallacy to me.

Re: The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

#6
The biggest challenge yet unconquered is getting your "average" business ($1-100m revenue, zero AI knowledge) using ML to help with literally anything they do.

I'd wager less than 1% of businesses outside of SV even have a clue where to begin, or what to use it for, my employer included. "Do we hire some AI guys?"

We'll need to crack the 1%-using-it mark for me to consider the revolution "begun"...

Re: The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

#8
post #6

The biggest challenge yet unconquered is getting your "average" business ($1-100m revenue, zero AI knowledge) using ML to help with literally anything they do . I'd wager less than 1% of businesses outside of SV even have a clue where to begin, or what to use it for, my employer included. "Do we hire some AI guys?" We'll need to crack the 1%-using-it mark for me to consider the revolution "begun"...

Considering that the average business is unlikely to be writing any sort of software, other than perhaps basic Excel formulas... I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for them to use advanced software development techniques such as ML.

Re: The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

#9
post #5

I'm not an AI researcher (although from my internet reading that's not a hard title to claim ;)) but I feel that ML/DL can't go much farther than they already have. The concept of "we just need more power" is an obvious fallacy to me.

Why don't you think it will continue to progress?

Re: The AI Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

#10
post #5

I'm not an AI researcher (although from my internet reading that's not a hard title to claim ;)) but I feel that ML/DL can't go much farther than they already have. The concept of "we just need more power" is an obvious fallacy to me.

Humans are proof that machine intelligence can be improved quite a bit. We are just complicated machines, no?
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