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Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

reuters.com

191–200 of 487 posts

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#191
post #122
post #100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You do need middlemen. The middleman is whatever service you must use to convert btc or eth to local currency which will actually be accepted for payments.

No. You don't need "local currency". With widespread adoption you can just pay sellers directly with cryptocurrency.

Nope. In reality, the tax office comes along, demands to see the seller’s records, and if they haven’t kept comprehensive records of all transactions and the fair market value of the coins at transaction time in local currency, then they get fined, or if they’ve been actively evading tax, jailed. Plus, even if they’ve kept records perfectly, they need to get local currency at tax time in order to pay their tax bill.

Bitcoin is useless for any legitimate business. The costs of using it vastly exceed any benefits.

A lot of dopes who think they’re smarter than the tax-man because they’ve been evading taxes by using bitcoin are going to have a ‘Martin Shkreli’ moment in the next few years.

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#192
post #7

It is interesting that even in an article like this that they still say things like "for all its potential, blockchain is still in its early days." It is sticking with the unfounded assumption that it will be a success in the future, if only it is given more time. In technological terms, it is old. Innumerable efforts have been attempted, yielding almost no fruit. At what point are the fundamental assumptions going t…

> In technological terms, it is old.

No it's not. It took double entry accounting hundreds of years to spread around the world, why would you expect triple entry accounting to take over any faster? We already know it's going to succeed because it's objectively better by a very significant margin, but that doesn't mean it's not going to take decades to do so.

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#193

What does "blockchain" even mean in this generalised context? When we are talking about crypto currencies, it is a distributed database with a consensus mechanism that is extremely costly to run. But this is not something you would need or want in most other situations, because there is always some degree of trust with your counterparties (and legal recourse if necessary). If we strip away the consensus mechanism, al…

In this context, it mostly means private, permissioned distributed ledgers serving as a fancy distributed, shared database with some business logic built in. The cost and complexity makes some sense when you have several assorted players taking part in various parts of a value stream. Tradionally each has its own slightly unique copy of the data, lots of legacy, integration and conciliation between them. Some scenarios a company appears whose sole purpose is to be a mediator and custodian of this data, adding complexity and cost to the process. This shared database solution allows everyone to have consensus on the rules, the transactions, and the current state of the data, removing lots of complexity and some intermediaries. This shared database could be a mysql, oracle or whatever instance, but blockchain characteristics make it interesting for this use case, when each member of the consortium doesn't necessarily trust each other, you want equal shared ownership of this distributed database instance, and so on.

More generally, modern blockchain technology brings a lot of capabilities besides this replicated, ownerless consensus that personally I see as building blocks for your architecture. Most of them are not necessarily exclusive to blockchain, in fact lots are cryptography capabilities, but are enabled or facilitated by blockchain architecture or by each other. These are things like:

- Immutability, which is the guarantee that you have a historical record of data stored, and it won't be further changed, accidentally or maliciously.

- Notarization, which is the ability to record and identify the authencity of the originator of the information, even if you don't want to reveal the infromation or the originator identity.

- The balance between transparency, anonimity and privacy: you have tools when designing your solution to make all transactions and information trackable or not. For example you can design it so you can record transactions without revealing sender, receiver and values and still guarantee the consistency of the whole, that there's no double spending or creation of resources. Or you can design it so you can track the whole history of a resource from its creation to its consumption.

- And the coins/tokens per se, particularly when you are not looking at them as general currency or toll tokens that you simply buy and spend somewhere but when you look at them as incentives where you can control how they are created, distributed, deposited, what it means to hold/deposit them, and how to spend them. You can change who the stakeholder is and monetize user's attention, his data, behaviour. I don't think people quite figured it out yet how to properly apply this for things like social networks, journalism or creative work ("patreonism"), but it's being explored and moving along.

Everything is still quite immature and moving at breakneck speed with uncountable new projects and ideas appearing all the time, which I see them as proof of concepts of the capabilities above, variations of them, of even new different ones. And lots of scams or profiteers wanting to get into the blockchain/ICO hype.

It's quite hard to find the balance between the exagerated hype and the naysayers (which I feel lots are just an exagerated reaction against the hype), but I assure you, it's way more than just what anyone with a CS background can come up with.

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#194
post #7

It is interesting that even in an article like this that they still say things like "for all its potential, blockchain is still in its early days." It is sticking with the unfounded assumption that it will be a success in the future, if only it is given more time. In technological terms, it is old. Innumerable efforts have been attempted, yielding almost no fruit. At what point are the fundamental assumptions going t…

> In technological terms, it is old. TCP was created in the mid 70's. The internet as we know it didn't offer the average user much value until the mid 90's and even then it was a very small amount of the population capable of using it / benefiting from it. Electric cars were around in the late 1800's. In the early 1900's they were on a par with gasoline / steam powered car sales. It has taken us well over 100 years…

> TCP was created in the mid 70's. The internet as we know it didn't offer the average user much value until the mid 90's and even then it was a very small amount of the population capable of using it / benefiting from it.

Using it directly.

I don't personally own any equipment that speaks ATM, but I benefit from the existence of networks that use that protocol all time.

Heck, I doubt I'll ever touch a Bloomberg terminal, and I'm not entirely sure if their existence really benefits me at all, directly or indirectly, but that doesn't mean financial companies can't easily find uses for them.

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#195
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Whats to stop a new bank springing up and allowing transfers a lot faster and cheaper using traditional methods?

What's stopping them is a simple question: who are you transferring the money to? A lot of banks allow customers to do instant transfers between customers of that bank, but for this to be a killer feature, you have to have enough customers that this is significant. In NYC, Chase is almost there--they have enough of a share of NYC that it's worth asking if the person you're transferring to has Chase so you can use the…

Do you really have to ask? Is it a separate system or something?

In Australia, you must pay using the normal way (which is pretty much always free), and if it’s the same bank it’s processed instantly and if it’s not it’s processed generally overnight.

Pretty much everybody’s moving to a new real-time payments platform in the next few months too, so it should just always be instant for domestic transfers.

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#196
post #164

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not really. Network effects matter. Otherwise we would see social networks and other free services replaced on the regular.

> Otherwise we would see social networks and other free services replaced on the regular. Don't we? I can think of a dozen or more social networks of one sort or another that I've belonged to in the last decade or so.

And how many of those have the market cap of Facebook?

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#197
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sending money without fees and delay? Have you ever tried a normal bank transfer? How long did it take? Have you ever tried, say, nano? It literally takes seconds and 0 fees. Here is some value.

The delays have little to do with technology, and a lot to do with regulations and bureaucracy. Largely put in place to combat money laundering, fraud, terrorist financing, etc etc. Yes, there's some small banks that have horrible APIs and shoddy servers, but for most transfers the delays come down to things that if cryptocurrency were ever mainstreamed would be tacked onto it. That is why it takes time to get approv…

There is literally no place to tack on a middleman with nano/btc. Yes it will take some rethinking of how we combat what society conceives as improper use of funds.

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#198

Coming from a logistics background, coordinating tracability data is painful within a company , even with help of ERP like SAP. But when you need tracability across an industry , it becomes almost impossible. I had professional experience in an industry where we had to go to the plants to ensure rolls of paper certified from suppliers using responsibly-managed forests were physically separated from the non-certified…

wouldn't a simple system of signatures certified by a certificate authority (like for the web) solve this problem in a much more direct way?

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#199

Coming from a logistics background, coordinating tracability data is painful within a company , even with help of ERP like SAP. But when you need tracability across an industry , it becomes almost impossible. I had professional experience in an industry where we had to go to the plants to ensure rolls of paper certified from suppliers using responsibly-managed forests were physically separated from the non-certified…

If anybody can enter and add entries to your blockchain, how do you ensure that they don't insert bogus data? If you're tracing a roll of paper what prevents somebody from adding an entry saying "the shipment got stolen" then immediately making a new entry for it with different attributes pretending it's something else? Or simply at the source pretending that something is of a higher quality than it is?

The answer is that you need some kind of vetting and certification of the people contributing to your traceability database. So you need a trusted 3rd party to coordinate all that. So you don't need a blockchain. Instead why not just have the trusted 3rd party issue certificates like a CA on the web for instance? People would digitally sign the paperwork and you could collect the documents and their signatures in a central database. If somebody notices something wrong you can show that somebody made a fake or erroneous document and hold them responsible. Then you can publish dump of the database at regular intervals for people to mirror so that they can see if you attempt to rewrite history. There, problem solved using good old 1990's technology.

>very bullish !

Interesting that you finish your technical argument with trading lingo. Hodl, am I right?

Re: Wall Street rethinks blockchain projects as euphoria meets reality

#200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

or simply "git"

When meeting my company's Head of Blockchain (not sure if the pun is intended) a while ago, I asked him if git would qualify as blockchain technology. He replied that "blockchain is not a technology, It's a paradigm shift". Literally. That statement was so absurd I didn't even know what to say, so it worked out well for him.

That is exactly the kind of thing I would expect to hear from a "Head of Blockchain". Your company made a great hire, and they will clearly push the boundaries of marketing bullshit with regard to blockchain.
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