Saying nothing about Google/Waymo, it appears they're allowed to continue? Their self-driving technology seems far more advanced, I think it would be unfair to punish all the players for the bad actions of a few. In particular, Uber seems to have been operating self-driving cars recklessly and in an attempt to "move fast and break things". When those things are people's lives, that's unacceptable. I'm all for interes…
Which makes me think of it would be prudent for the government or military to invest in this tech as well. Companies like Northrop Grumman while being bureaucratic nightmares, take safety pretty seriously.
Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
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Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#42Saying nothing about Google/Waymo, it appears they're allowed to continue? Their self-driving technology seems far more advanced, I think it would be unfair to punish all the players for the bad actions of a few. In particular, Uber seems to have been operating self-driving cars recklessly and in an attempt to "move fast and break things". When those things are people's lives, that's unacceptable. I'm all for interes…
Which makes me think of it would be prudent for the government or military to invest in this tech as well. Companies like Northrop Grumman while being bureaucratic nightmares, take safety pretty seriously.
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#43Earlier quoted context omitted.
If you're going to claim it's a lie, citing evidence and why it's flawed would probably be a good start...
Out of the 95 billion or so[0] people that have ever breathed air before the year 1900, all are dead dead.[1] Every year on average, 500 people die of carbon monoxide poisoning[2]. If that rate was steady for the amount of time humans have been alive, that's a total of 25,950,000 deaths ever from carbon monoxide poisoning. "Carbon monoxide exposure kills 1 person every 18 hours (500/8766h). Oxygen has killed 1944 peo…
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#44Earlier quoted context omitted.
n=1 (To reduce the number of email notifications I'm getting I'd best put this message in parentheses right next to this statement. NOTE: I'm not a statistician and don't believe statistics are all that important here! All I meant to say here is that this is a single incident. That's it. Nothing more.) Edit: I'm getting the impression some people think I am suggesting there aren't grounds to suspend Uber's driving ba…
No, bad statistician, don't pass go. N = 3,000,000. Miles are the observation here. We're talking # of mortalities per mile, so mile is the N. If you want to talk about the problem of only have a single mortality incident, you need to do the work of determining the likelihood of a 1 in 100,000,000 observation incident occurring in the first 3,000,000 observations. I leave that detail to the students.
You know what I meant when I said "n=1".
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#45Saying nothing about Google/Waymo, it appears they're allowed to continue? Their self-driving technology seems far more advanced, I think it would be unfair to punish all the players for the bad actions of a few. In particular, Uber seems to have been operating self-driving cars recklessly and in an attempt to "move fast and break things". When those things are people's lives, that's unacceptable. I'm all for interes…
You know what they say though, once is a mistake, twice is a habit.
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#46For all of the theoretical moral questions that have been brought up around self driving cars (the proverbial lever that lets you kill one person instead of a handful, for example), it's interesting/inevitable that this one came up first. I'm sure lots of people will argue that self-driving cars will, in the long run, save a lot of lives, and therefore we can justify some loss of life in the process. They are probabl…
Based on what came out of the last few days I don’t think it’s clear at all, I think a human would not have hit the woman. The footage we saw was from a terrible dashcam and did not represent how dark the street actually was. Other people who have driven down the street with cameras show it to be perfectly reasonably lit, with streetlights and everything. Second, the woman was crossing across two lanes, so any driver…
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#47Good riddance. But I think this is not enough to send a strong message to all those who want to put half baked tech out there in hopes of "disrupting" something.. Also, I really hope all self driving testing is suspended until there is sufficient legal and testing ground work before these things are allowed on roads...
I don't think that stopping testing over a single crash is warranted. Maybe suspend it for a short time while you look into it, but if we stopped medicine every time a patient died in a trial, society would be worse off.
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#48Earlier quoted context omitted.
No, bad statistician, don't pass go. N = 3,000,000. Miles are the observation here. We're talking # of mortalities per mile, so mile is the N. If you want to talk about the problem of only have a single mortality incident, you need to do the work of determining the likelihood of a 1 in 100,000,000 observation incident occurring in the first 3,000,000 observations. I leave that detail to the students.
Then that number becomes arbitrary. If it was measured in deaths per lightyear your 'n' would become 0. You know what I meant when I said "n=1".
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#49Earlier quoted context omitted.
Based on what came out of the last few days I don’t think it’s clear at all, I think a human would not have hit the woman. The footage we saw was from a terrible dashcam and did not represent how dark the street actually was. Other people who have driven down the street with cameras show it to be perfectly reasonably lit, with streetlights and everything. Second, the woman was crossing across two lanes, so any driver…
The pedestrian also has a significant contribution of negligence to this collision, IMO.
Would a human driver be deemed at fault in a court of law? Usually not (though in this case, maybe) unless they kept going after the collision, or were under the influence. But that’s because we give human drivers a lot of leeway to kill people. Not because it isn’t their fault.
Re: Arizona Government Suspends Uber's Self Driving Cars from Roads
#50Earlier quoted context omitted.
Humans kill 1 person every ~100m miles. Uber has killed 1 person after ~3m miles. Yes, I would absolutely suspend a system that kills 3,000 people/day in favor of a system that kills 100 people/day.
n=1 (To reduce the number of email notifications I'm getting I'd best put this message in parentheses right next to this statement. NOTE: I'm not a statistician and don't believe statistics are all that important here! All I meant to say here is that this is a single incident. That's it. Nothing more.) Edit: I'm getting the impression some people think I am suggesting there aren't grounds to suspend Uber's driving ba…
If a baseball player has 10 at bats, and gets 0 hits, he's 0/10, with n=10
If same baseball player has 500 at bats, and gets 0 hits, he's 0/500, with n=500
You can be a lot more confident that he won't get his 1st hit anytime soon from the 2nd case compared with the 1st case. Because the sample size is significantly larger, even though the # of successes is equal between the two cases.