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Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

cnbc.com

141–150 of 167 posts

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#141

Here is the paper, which is not linked in the news article - https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3127825

So they have an advantage against other hedge funds, but . . . most hedge funds underperform the market. So all you're doing by doing research is closing the deficit.

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#142
post #93

>"Perhaps most surprising, the researchers found the median fund-month download amount is only four filings while the mean was 672, suggesting that relatively few funds are accessing vastly more information." Interesting...

Not really. A million casual retail investors download 4/month, and ten-thousand pros download all available data.

That statistic is about funds only, not retail investors...

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

assuming your account was FDIC insured. then why even bother taking out money less than minimum FDIC assured sum.

My more pessimistic estimates put the losses at more than the FDIC had at the time and I have no idea what happens when the FDIC runs out of money. It probably wasn't rational but I was really scared.

Don't feel bad man, I remember there being a run on food staples. Things like 50lb bags of rice and beans were sold out at Costco. People were stocking up on guns and ammo preparing for fucking Mad Max. I am not ashamed to admit I participated in some of that myself by doubling up the emergency rations I keep for hurricane season. You withdrawing $2k was not irrational at all given the scale of what was going on.

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#144
post #133

I tried to get bulk data from EDGAR a while back. Turns out bulk data acquisition has been turfed to a third party, which charges for downloads. This is supposed to be federal free data, I was so pissed off. I am still pissed off.

How long ago was this?

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#145
post #138
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My understanding is that if it weren't for TARP several more publicly traded investment banks would have collapsed not to mention wider collateral damage in the market.

True, but "politics distort prices" does not imply that "without politics, prices are accurate", which is what you claimed. Bubbles existed before Keynesian policies.

The fact we've replaced (or added) one form of bubbles with another does not make criticizing the other any less valid.

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#146
post #66
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Renaissance Technologies has completely automated the process of signal discovery.[1] They don't hire researchers to manually derive novel insights or trading models from data, and they don't really bother with exclusive sources of data. Instead, they hire researchers to improve methods for automatically processing vast amounts of arbitrary data and extracting profitable trading signals from it. When most funds say t…

How scalable is RenTec? Can they go up to 100B in AUM? 200B?

Why would they need to?

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#147

Around 2008, I read some public filings by banks. I made only two back-of-the-napkin adjustments: 1) I combined off-balance sheet assets and liabilities into the balance sheet, and 2) I changed the expected % losses to approximately that of Wells Fargo. With those two simple adjustments, I saw that some big banks were in the hole by (combined) tens of billions of dollars. The market prices for these banks made it cle…

Hi what accounting topics would you have to learn in order to read the 10-Ks? I have basic understanding in economics and CS. Thank you.

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#148
post #94

Isn't all Warren Buffet & Charlie Munger do for a good portion of the day, like 6 hours is 'READ & THINK'. Then do nothing else.

As a CEO of a conglomerate with 370k employees, I doubt Warren Buffet spends most of his time picking stocks.

Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#149
post #119
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure. 1. I'm friends with multiple people who used to work at Renaissance, and I've directly spoken with folks who are currently there (among other, similar firms). 2. I've read the research published by professors and post-docs before they were hired. 3. I have first hand experience developing forecasts for various market research firms and many hedge funds. I've seen first hand what the difference is between the fi…

Would things like “dimensionality reduction” and other cutting edge ML techniques at least help ? As in, help you become a better “manual” quant researcher or help you develop shitty (relative to RenTech), but still profitable strategies? Do you have any other keywords? “Learning from few examples” comes to mind...

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Re: Hedge-fund managers that do the most research will post the best returns

#150

Around 2008, I read some public filings by banks. I made only two back-of-the-napkin adjustments: 1) I combined off-balance sheet assets and liabilities into the balance sheet, and 2) I changed the expected % losses to approximately that of Wells Fargo. With those two simple adjustments, I saw that some big banks were in the hole by (combined) tens of billions of dollars. The market prices for these banks made it cle…

Hi what accounting topics would you have to learn in order to read the 10-Ks? I have basic understanding in economics and CS. Thank you.

I have no economics background (well I guess I took a macroeconomics class once), but Martin Shkrelli (yes that Martin Shkrelli) has a pretty great playlist on youtube [1] that goes through exactly how to do fundamentals analysis. Warning: the videos are long and dense.

[1] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ARrNYyJEnFI

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