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Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

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Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#52
post #17

Where would Facebook users migrate to?

They're already. Especially the youngsters. The new time waste machine is Facebook again, but with a different name: Instagram.

Good point.

I love Instagram. It's the only social network I use regularly. I like Twitter, but I use it in a read-only way and only check it maybe once or twice a month.

Instagram though, is fantastic, at least for now. They are starting to ruin it with ads though. I wish I could pay for an ad-free version.

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#53
post #42

I keep thinking about this article[1] whenever I see bad press about FB lately. Relevant portion: "Murdoch hosted Zuckerberg at his Sun Valley, Idaho, villa and expressed discontent with Facebook's News Feed algorithm and its handling of news. He requested Facebook consult publishing partners and be more generous sharing digital ad revenue, or he vowed, News Corp executives would take their dislike of Facebook public…

Interesting information, thank you. The knives do seem to be out for FB right now, but equally it is the douchiest of douchebag business models, essentially: we'll give you a means to engage with the world, but we're going to watch how you do it, in order to manipulate your preferences. It's like the Stasi but in corporate form. Essentially, it will die because it's the Harvey Weinstein of corporate America - and bec…

> Essentially, it will die because it's the Harvey Weinstein of corporate America - and because all the #metoo victims find their voice, with a little help from the other studio heads which would like to see the monster disappear.

What exactly are you trying to say about Facebook with this forced metaphor?

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#54
post #36
post #2

No. I think you're overestimating how much bad press Facebook is actually getting outside the tech bubble. Facebook is going to get done in by the fact that the younger generation doesn't like it, but that process has been underway for a few years now, and it will take many more years to complete (obviously offering Zuckerberg many chances to turn the ship around).

> No. I think you're overestimating how much bad press Facebook is actually getting outside the tech bubble. If you think Facebook is only getting hammered inside the tech bubble, you probably are living inside the tech bubble. People are waking up to the harm caused by Facebook everywhere . My non-technical friends' raging against Facebook sounds similar to what I've been hearing from my technical friends for the pa…

> People are waking up to the harm caused by Facebook everywhere.

If you think people are "waking up everywhere", you're probably inside a bubble. Where I'm from (outside the US) Facebook is just doing business as usual. If anything its new features are growing (anecdotally, Marketplace).

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#55
post #6

What is the competitor threat or new rising star that will usurp Facebook's position as a people-connector? LinkedIn? WeChat? Facebook was in super growth mode by the time MySpace stagnated. Or does "end" mean something else, if not measured in users? Is it the year people realize that the idealized image of themselves and their thousands of friends not worth maintaining or checking?

It would be great if SSB [1] or something like it took off as the next-gen platform, but I just have a hard time seeing people actively change their online habits.

[1]: https://www.scuttlebutt.nz/

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#57
post #27

I keep thinking about this article[1] whenever I see bad press about FB lately. Relevant portion: "Murdoch hosted Zuckerberg at his Sun Valley, Idaho, villa and expressed discontent with Facebook's News Feed algorithm and its handling of news. He requested Facebook consult publishing partners and be more generous sharing digital ad revenue, or he vowed, News Corp executives would take their dislike of Facebook public…

Trying to decide who I dislike more out I News Corp and Facebook. I think News Corp have actively done a good deal more "evil" than FB, while FB have mostly been just sort of clueless or ambivalent about their negative effect on the world.

As Truman said: "If we see Germany is winning, we should do everything we can to help Russia, and if we see Russia is winning, we should help Germany. Better to let them wear each other out."

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#58
A lot of people may be less and less interested in Facebook "the social network", but a lot of them are still using Messenger, WhatsApp and Instagram, so FB is still huge and dominant in the social sphere.
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