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Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

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Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#2
No. I think you're overestimating how much bad press Facebook is actually getting outside the tech bubble.

Facebook is going to get done in by the fact that the younger generation doesn't like it, but that process has been underway for a few years now, and it will take many more years to complete (obviously offering Zuckerberg many chances to turn the ship around).

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#3
No way, lots of companies get negative press and thrive. Facebook has lots of capital to throw at buying up smaller social networks (see: Instagram, which is still on the up and up for monthly users)

Many people honestly don't care about this data scandal or the other things Facebook does.

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#4
I keep thinking about this article[1] whenever I see bad press about FB lately.

Relevant portion: "Murdoch hosted Zuckerberg at his Sun Valley, Idaho, villa and expressed discontent with Facebook's News Feed algorithm and its handling of news.

He requested Facebook consult publishing partners and be more generous sharing digital ad revenue, or he vowed, News Corp executives would take their dislike of Facebook public. He also hinted that News Corp lobbyists would take a more aggressive stand against Facebook with U.S. regulators, as the company had done against Google in Europe.

News Corp denied it would mobilize its journalists against Facebook, although unnamed Facebook executives said they believed at the time that would happen."

It definitely seems that someone(s) is grinding their axes against FB, much like the flurry of negative news that came out against Uber a year or so again.

[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/12/facebook-rupert-murdoch-thre...

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#5
The negative press sure talks about evils of Facebook and some people might be tempted to delete their accounts etc. But the question is - Does Average Jane/Joe own the problem (or care) enough to delete Facebook? My opinion is they don't. Facebook is still a way for them to connect with each other.

There are lot of bots in all the social media apps. So, Facebook might report deletion of large number of fake accounts to show they are doing something.

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#6
What is the competitor threat or new rising star that will usurp Facebook's position as a people-connector? LinkedIn? WeChat? Facebook was in super growth mode by the time MySpace stagnated.

Or does "end" mean something else, if not measured in users? Is it the year people realize that the idealized image of themselves and their thousands of friends not worth maintaining or checking?

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#8

I keep thinking about this article[1] whenever I see bad press about FB lately. Relevant portion: "Murdoch hosted Zuckerberg at his Sun Valley, Idaho, villa and expressed discontent with Facebook's News Feed algorithm and its handling of news. He requested Facebook consult publishing partners and be more generous sharing digital ad revenue, or he vowed, News Corp executives would take their dislike of Facebook public…

Murdoch has been saying similar things about Google for years. I'm not sure there's much to it.

Re: Ask HN: Is 2018 the end of Facebook?

#9
Anecdotally, this year and last is the first I've noticed where a lot of my friends have stopped using it altogether, and the ones who do basically never post any updates whatsoever or otherwise interact with it.

One way or another it seems they have lost user engagement in a big way.

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