Live data from Hacker News

Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

wired.com

11–20 of 77 posts

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#11
post #6

"You have to decide who you trust before you decide what to believe."

This cuts both ways. In the States, many people have lost their trust in the integrity of scientific research and the integrity of regulatory bodies. So the CDC might recommend something, or the FDA might approve some drug, and to people that trust these organizations, that's the golden stamp of approval. For others, any such recommendations are inherently suspect.

This goes deeper than education, intelligence, etc, and you can't solve it though more education per se, unless that education addresses the source of the distrust.

In areas where scientific research has been compromised by non-scientific interests, what can you do? Education is no longer education but propaganda, further deepening people's distrust.

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#12

I know this really wasn't the platform for Simon to defend or assert his views but he certainly does a poor job of it. It seems the interviewer was soft-balling questions simply because he won in court. Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true. I do…

Hindsight is great. However the real question, is what could you have done in that time to attain a better epistemic position than the scientific consensus, and if you apply that algorithm today, what will it give you as responses.

In other words, if trusting scientists is a historically unreliable method, what's your less unreliable alternative?

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#14

I know this really wasn't the platform for Simon to defend or assert his views but he certainly does a poor job of it. It seems the interviewer was soft-balling questions simply because he won in court. Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true. I do…

"Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true."

I don't think he is advocating that. Trusting scientists because they use controlled experiment, peer review and other similar tools is quite a different thing than trusting them based on authority.

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#15

I know this really wasn't the platform for Simon to defend or assert his views but he certainly does a poor job of it. It seems the interviewer was soft-balling questions simply because he won in court. Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true. I do…

"I think Simon needs a little more years under his belt (wisdom) and maybe another PhD in history to make him aware of this historically painful fact."

Just out of curiosity (really!), are you older than him / have a degree in history?

I actually agree with most of what you said, it just seems odd to assume he is wrong because he does't have some prerequisites, not just that he might disagree with you (and possibly be right).

Also, I think Simon Singh is actually a pretty good communicator. He's written several books, for laypeople, which talk about advanced science / mathematics. These have been pretty popular, so I think he's actually a counter-example to most scientists who don't do more. I think the article just gives the wrong impression.

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#16
post #14

I know this really wasn't the platform for Simon to defend or assert his views but he certainly does a poor job of it. It seems the interviewer was soft-balling questions simply because he won in court. Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true. I do…

"Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true." I don't think he is advocating that. Trusting scientists because they use controlled experiment, peer review and other similar tools is quite a different thing than trusting them based on authority.

From the interview: Don’t come up with a view, find everybody who agrees with it, and then say, “Look at this, I must be right.” Start off by saying, “Who do I trust?” On global warming, for example, I happen to trust climate experts, world academies of science, Nobel laureates, and certain science journalists. You have to decide who you trust before you decide what to believe.

It sounds like he is advocating a trust system based on titles, organization membership, etc. How is this different from trusting them based on authority?

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#17

I know this really wasn't the platform for Simon to defend or assert his views but he certainly does a poor job of it. It seems the interviewer was soft-balling questions simply because he won in court. Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true. I do…

I find it's this kind of answers that make scientific explanations so hard.

"Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true."

First of all: if they have an advanced degree in a subject such as medicine than I think they deserve that you drop your hidden insinuations in the adjective "perceived". They studied the topic, they did at least 7 years and maybe more. Other things being equal, isn't that something that matter? Or put it another way: if random "guru" tells me one thing and a scientist the other, I'll probably lean more toward what the scientist said, though I won't feel I am in a position to be sure he is right (but if I had to bet, I'd say he is more likely to be).

Second annoying word was your adverb "blindly". There is nothing blind in following the scientific consensus. The consensus in science is not formed by a group of guys rolling dices. A good scientist is a sceptic, and if many scientist agree that (say) we evolved from monkeys then I think they have a pretty good argument. They are not saying: "trust us because we are the wise men", they say: "trust us because we've done experiments and so far this is our best theory... if you can disprove it, then try".

Third the large number of historical cases you refer to... large numbers? Seriously? Give me a percentage: what are we talking about? 5%? 1%? 0.01%? Sure, science has its up and downs, and sure there are Kuhnian paradigm shifts from time to time. Boltzmann found strong opposition, as did other famous scientist: but those are the exception, not the rule. Just because these exceptions are so rare that they end up known by everyone, doesn't mean that they are in any "large number" what so ever. Again, give me a percentage.

Finally scientist do NOT dismiss all opposing viewpoints because they don't fit a model. Sure, a model that goes completely against 200 years of science will find opposition, but for good reason: that theory had proved itself for so long after all! At the same time when a scientist proves something people seem they can immediately come up with a random objection... which of course the scientist had already accounted for (and then some).

There are a few exceptions. I think most scientist will dismiss anyone who says they built a perpetual machine... but thank God they do. I don't want to think how much scientist time has been lost on a random guy coming up with a wacky model: scientist are not there to prove _your_ theories. If you want you try and prove it yourself! If you do and you can back up your assertions with data, scientist will listen.

One last point. No, being smarter is not enough, but it should mean something. I mean, just look at evolution: scientist may spend a few years to properly show and back up their assertions against one random opposition, and it takes like 1 day for the opposition to slightly modify their model to take into account that. That's not how you do science, and if you feel every scientist has to listen to anyone coming up with any theory and try to spend maybe several hours explaining where it is wrong, and maybe filling up all the holes in their knowledge, then I think you are deeply mistaken. You want that? Then pay for someone to do it: to be a scientist is a job!

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#18
'You have to decide who you trust before you decide what to believe.'

Right. The difference lies in the way that trust is achieved. The "I trust X because Y trusts X" transitivity is very easy to jump on, but often disastrous; just ask Bernie Madoff's investors. If you read in the newspaper that "X is one of the foremost scientists in his field", it is also dangerous to rely on just this pronouncement, and blindly trust X's assertions.

The other way for the layperson to judge specialists is to learn enough about their field in order to evaluate their predictions. Granted, this involves much, much more effort than lazily following the reputation talk. But it also makes it much safer to trust the people involved, and to maybe stop trusting them if they go astray at some point.

To bring forth examples, evolution is quite easy to verify after reading a bit of biology. For example, DNA analysis comes in a full century after the "Origin of Species" and shows us how amazingly related all living things are, deep within; thus giving precise shapes to the "trees of life" that Darwin first sketched in his notebooks. And there are many, many other predictions of the theory of evolution that can be easily checked by the unprejudiced amateur. You'll rarely find articles that say "Dawkins believes in evolution, and Dawkins is a great scientist, therefore evolution is true".

On the other hand, things like climate science seem (to me at least) to rely much more on the argument from authority for gaining lay support. If some prominent climate scientist had predicted in the 90's that "average temperature in the 2000-2010 decade, as indicated by methodology X, will be 1.4 plus or minus 0.1 degrees Celsius warmer than in the 1990s", I would have a much easier time trusting his or her claims now. But things seem to be moving in the opposite direction with this field, e.g. as witnessed by the very replacement of "global warming" (somewhat verifiable) with "climate change" (unfalsifiable), and the popular attribution of all kinds of meteorological phenomena to this cause, in the same non-comprehending way that, not so long ago, they were ascribed to the god of thunder.

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#19
post #6

"You have to decide who you trust before you decide what to believe."

This cuts both ways. In the States, many people have lost their trust in the integrity of scientific research and the integrity of regulatory bodies. So the CDC might recommend something, or the FDA might approve some drug, and to people that trust these organizations, that's the golden stamp of approval. For others, any such recommendations are inherently suspect. This goes deeper than education, intelligence, etc,…

Absolutely, and all these bodies that the public no longer trusts should be defunded 200%. Why throw good money after bad? Defund congress, the presidency, economist liars, education bureaucrats, and especially the thieves that make up academia with its 50k a year tuitions and grad student slave labor. But getting back to Singh, he's pretty clearly an idiot on a lot of things. Cars are not the issue, global warming is man made only to the degree pigs can fly and that you believe that a functionaly retarded government buraucrat should randomly assign 20% of your money to various propaganda projects.

Chiropractors are quacks, but regular doctors are even bigger quacks. And least the chiropractors do something mildly positive for your money. Surgeons are ok, but they are very deficient in whole body well being.

I support the right of chiropractors to say that singh is an idiot and that of signh to say they are liars. Both viewpoints are correct and they should argue for 10s of years. The only reason 200k had to be spent was because of the corrupt laws of the fascist government of britain. The parties should have argued without money or lawyers.

Don't trust anyone, and don't let anyone hold your nice money. The sucker MBAs/politicians will rob you blind every time the second you trust them with any amount of money.

Re: Author Simon Singh Puts Up a Fight in the War on Science

#20
post #16
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Blindly trusting scientists because they're perceived experts, have advanced degrees or are in agreement in large numbers has historically been an unreliable way to judge whether or not something is in fact true." I don't think he is advocating that. Trusting scientists because they use controlled experiment, peer review and other similar tools is quite a different thing than trusting them based on authority.

From the interview: Don’t come up with a view, find everybody who agrees with it, and then say, “Look at this, I must be right.” Start off by saying, “Who do I trust?” On global warming, for example, I happen to trust climate experts, world academies of science, Nobel laureates, and certain science journalists. You have to decide who you trust before you decide what to believe. It sounds like he is advocating a trust…

What's wrong with that? I mean it's not like you get a noble prize by winning the lottery! You take random wacko on TV and noble laureate, each tells you their theory, and you (so far) don't know anything else. Who do you trust? Why?

I think the title _does_ mean something: it was neither bestowed upon him randomly nor inherited by blood.

Let me ask you another question: who do you think runs faster, a random guy I pick you see in the street, or a guy who won an olympic medal in athletic? Most people somehow feel winning an olympic medal is all about merit, but getting a Noble isn't!!!

Post reply on HN