Earlier quoted context omitted.
Big hype cycles typically have lower low point as well as higher high points. I don't know if another AI winter is around the corner, I hope not, but it is definitely a possibility. I am much more pessimistic about blockchains.
There won't be because it still actually is useful governments and businesses. They can tangibly use it to increase their functioning/profits - that was not the case during the AI winter. Computers sucked, data sucked, and there was no internet. I hope you're right in that the attention it is getting decreases. A reasonable limit of what we can actually do with what we currently have is probably within the next 15 ye…
This was actually true before, AI has been useful, it has always gotten more useful over time, AI has always had limits, and AI winters occurred because expectations dramatically exceeded those limits. For there to be a winter/crash, hype just has to increase to a point that is way beyond what we can hope to accomplish in the near time. It doesn't help that the Chinese are taking the place of the Japanese, who in turn were a significant cause for the last AI winter.