Vested interests continue to pwn the extant Internet. Counter-move? Create and maintain control of distinct physical layers. Will Musk and company provide one of these? An open question, for me.
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Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
11–20 of 45 posts
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#12Apple will release a new MacBook with no screen, keyboard, trackpad or ports. Conversing with it will be like a scene from 2001.
Google will retire search and replace it with something mildly social.
Elon Musk will announce something so bizarre that only a person completely isolated from humanity could think it's a good idea.
Oracle will continue to screw its customers (this is the only one I'm certain about).
Windows revenue will decline to less than 5% of Microsoft's total revenue. On the subject of Windows, win32 will finally be retired unless you want to run your legacy apps in the cloud.
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#13This is the year where all the money sloshing around drys up with increasing interest rates, and startups need to focus on being profitable from day one (or burn up the founders savings), rather than raising money from the market. That means different products get developed.
If this happens expect layoffs from tech companies that "doing well" but keeping their profits low.
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#14Facebook experiences its MySpace moment
You mean the point where everyone asks "why am I still here?"
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#15Year of the catastrophe.
It seems there keeps being warnings that the big happy run of things is not eternal, but these are ignored once any 'hiccup' goes away.
Perhaps war, perhaps market collapse (led by Bitcoin?), perhaps superbug, perhaps major hack of one of the FAANGs, perhaps lending collapse (again), perhaps natural disaster.
Otherwise we're going to have to find new careers for all those people displaced by AI and automation, etc!
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#16This is the year where all the money sloshing around drys up with increasing interest rates, and startups need to focus on being profitable from day one (or burn up the founders savings), rather than raising money from the market. That means different products get developed. If this happens expect layoffs from tech companies that "doing well" but keeping their profits low.
During a record year of questionable ICO's (itself creating a vacuum for the non-questionable variety)?
You're definitely going against the wind with that bet.
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#17more inequality, even greater divide between techies and other classes, just look at the streets of San Francisco, that’s where the future is headed but instead of a dark grim place blade-runner like, it is going to at least look colorful and sanitized with pretty google logos :)
I predict that techies and other classes will be increasingly in the same boat as real estate prices grow beyond even high-end tech compensation. San Francisco prices out tech and becomes entirely the domain of real estate investors and the global .01%. Traffic congestion and transit crowding let up as the occupancy rate plummets. Some form of vacancy tax is passed, but it’s toothless.
Might not be this year, but within the next 5.
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#182018: Bitcoin goes full bubble. You'll have more mainstream experts implying it will hit $1M. The more technical people will pull out entirely or try out altcoins. Bitcoin has a limited window to step up their game. Possibly see ETH take over or even Bitcoin Cash.
It would either be year of the altcoin or crypto crash.
Longer term: Increased H1B restrictions and high Silicon Valley land prices would make investors look for alternative cities for early stage investments. It's unlikely this city will be in the US.
Also I foresee "startup" not being a buzzword anymore, replaced by "side project".
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#19This is the year where all the money sloshing around drys up with increasing interest rates, and startups need to focus on being profitable from day one (or burn up the founders savings), rather than raising money from the market. That means different products get developed. If this happens expect layoffs from tech companies that "doing well" but keeping their profits low.
During a record year of questionable ICO's (itself creating a vacuum for the non-questionable variety)? You're definitely going against the wind with that bet.
ICOs are a different beast.
Re: Ask HN: What is your one tech prediction for 2018?
#20Apple will release a new MacBook with no screen, keyboard, trackpad or ports. Conversing with it will be like a scene from 2001. Google will retire search and replace it with something mildly social. Elon Musk will announce something so bizarre that only a person completely isolated from humanity could think it's a good idea. Oracle will continue to screw its customers (this is the only one I'm certain about). Window…
> Apple will release a new MacBook with no screen, keyboard, trackpad or ports.
Like a HomePod on steroids?