It's see it like this: Observe that historical trends show communication technology advancing much faster than transportation technology. In the 20th century we got cars, planes, helicopters, rockets... and now we still have cars, planes, helicopters and rockets (do they make hovercraft anymore?). No major advance for decades. Compare to communication, which seems to change beyond recognition every ten years. What th…
> What then is bound to happen is that we develop some sort of theoretically inter-stellar range communication technology. 'Bound to happen' is quite a bold statement for something that, according to current scientific understanding, is not really possible. That is, if you mean faster-than-light communication, which I think you allude to in the next paragraphs.
Ask HN: Do you believe we'll ever encounter aliens?
31–37 of 37 posts
Re: Ask HN: Do you believe we'll ever encounter aliens?
#32The most boring thing about these speculations about beings from other planets is the absolute lack of imagination. Most times people imagine something like a vertebrate with human-like appearance. Why assume that the evolution of any form of life in a different environment would repeat so closely the evolution of life on earth? It could and should be completely different. In Cosmos, Carl Sagan speculated about life…
Re: Ask HN: Do you believe we'll ever encounter aliens?
#33Earlier quoted context omitted.
> What then is bound to happen is that we develop some sort of theoretically inter-stellar range communication technology. 'Bound to happen' is quite a bold statement for something that, according to current scientific understanding, is not really possible. That is, if you mean faster-than-light communication, which I think you allude to in the next paragraphs.
You're right of course but I believe science already has some inroads in FTL communication (quantum entanglement, some exploit I read in New Scientist about a sweeping beam traveling faster at the the ends than the pivoting centre) whereas from what I've gathered FTL space travel is still a non-starter.
Quantum entanglement doesn't allow faster-than light information transfer (though it is pretty mysterious in its own right). The sweeping beam thing doesn't either. These things aren't in any way pushing the frontier with regards to FTL communication.
Do note that I hope with all my heart that I'm wrong here. We're all geeks, right.
Re: Ask HN: Do you believe we'll ever encounter aliens?
#34Earlier quoted context omitted.
Finding non-intelligent alien life would not make it more likely that intelligent alien life exists. It either exists or it doesn't. :)
This is semantics. Finding non-intelligent alien life would raise our current estimate for the likelihood that intelligent non-human life exists. Is that better? :P
Re: Ask HN: Do you believe we'll ever encounter aliens?
#35IMO the only 'aliens' we'll ever meet will be humans who had left Earth for distant planets sometime in the future and whom Earth inhabitants have forgotten or fail to recognize for some reason(environmental adaptation causing inhuman features). A chance encounter in space will then be the 'meeting with the aliens' that many fantasize about. As far as meeting intelligent species completely alien to our planet and our…
If we assume "since space is vast, there's gotta be a planet somewhere that has similar environment like Earth and thus similar life forms inhabiting it" we can regard each of those planets as completely separate competitions and thus there can be as many winners as there are "similar environments"
Re: Ask HN: Do you believe we'll ever encounter aliens?
#36It's basically an online Drake Equation calculator, with some educational material and references to help inform the parameters.
Re: Ask HN: Do you believe we'll ever encounter aliens?
#37Encounter is a pretty vague term. Do I think we'll have meaningful conversation with Aliens any time in the next thousand years? Probably not. Hubble can see billions of light years out at this point meaning if something was within a couple hundred light years of us we'd probably know about it. There could be societies far more advanced than ours since our sun didn't show up for about 10 billion years into the Univer…