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Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

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Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#21

*Microsoft’s concentration is on: 1) Azure; 2) Azure services like storage and — to some extent — Office 365; 3) Microsoft Office, and: 4) Windows. If something is your fourth priority it might as well not be on the list.

I sure hope my government still adresses things after #3 on their to do lists.

Well certainly maintained.

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#22

I've wondered for years now, who is the woman in the image with Cringely? Partner, coauthor, wife, daughter, model? (To be clear, I don't want someone to DOX her, just curious as to her relationship to Cringely's web site.)

(In no way trying to impact the perception of submitted text - just honestly asking for context.) I have a better question - who is Cringely ? It's the first time I hear of him. Is he some SV celebrity?

Short story: he was a big deal back in the day, has had a couple pretty big stories but these days he's much less influential.

Now he blogs very infrequently, largely concentrating on his slightly-creepy obsession with IBM. The fact that he so easily gets duped by scammers pretending to be Google[1] and then actually blogs about it is quite indicative of how far his finger is from the pulse of technology.

So, no, you're not missing anything.

[1] https://www.cringely.com/2015/09/07/evil-google-waiting-on-l...

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#23
post #7

I've wondered for years now, who is the woman in the image with Cringely? Partner, coauthor, wife, daughter, model? (To be clear, I don't want someone to DOX her, just curious as to her relationship to Cringely's web site.)

It has a similar vibe to this box cover from the 70's: https://www.le.ac.uk/press/press/mastermind1.jpg

Brilliant. I played that as a kid and I remember wondering why on earth those two people were on the box cover.

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#24
post #5
post #2

What is buffer bloat and how do old routers contribute, how did new routers fix it? Also I didn’t realize broadcasters can sell their frequencies and it can be used for non broadcasting uses such as data? Is that true?

From wikipedia: > Some communications equipment manufacturers designed unnecessarily large buffers into some of their network products. In such equipment, bufferbloat occurs when a network link becomes congested, causing packets to become queued for long periods in these oversized buffers. In a first-in first-out queuing system, overly large buffers result in longer queues and higher latency, and do not improve netwo…

Measure the bufferbloat in your connection:

http://www.dslreports.com/speedtest

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#25
post #17
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

From the side bar next to the article: > Who's the pretty girl with Cringely? Learn more about Anina and 360fashion Both provided links are dead, but I was able to find a Wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anina_(model) Looks like she is (or was previously) a model.

In 2010, Cringely promoted her "mobile-magazine-based-on-RSS" solution https://www.cringely.com/2010/03/11/the-94-percent-solution/ and included the statement: "this same content can be read today on two billion devices throughout the world. There will never, ever be two billion iPhones." Seven years later, we're half-way there: "Apple has sold more than one billion iPhones worldwide from 2007 to 2016" https://www.st…

He nailed it!

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#26

I've wondered for years now, who is the woman in the image with Cringely? Partner, coauthor, wife, daughter, model? (To be clear, I don't want someone to DOX her, just curious as to her relationship to Cringely's web site.)

(In no way trying to impact the perception of submitted text - just honestly asking for context.) I have a better question - who is Cringely ? It's the first time I hear of him. Is he some SV celebrity?

This is required reading for anyone on HN...

https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Empires-Silicon-Millions-C...

...more for fun historical perspective than anything else. Lots of great anecdotes and stories about founders. The book became a PBS series that become a movie with Noah Wiley as Steve Jobs. And useful insight:

"As inventive organizations grow and mature, they often convert themselves into maintenance organizations, dedicated to doing revisions of formerly inventive products and boring as hell for the original programmers who were used to living on adrenalin rushes and junk food. This transition time, from inventive to maintenance, is a time of crisis for these companies and their founders."

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#27

I've wondered for years now, who is the woman in the image with Cringely? Partner, coauthor, wife, daughter, model? (To be clear, I don't want someone to DOX her, just curious as to her relationship to Cringely's web site.)

(In no way trying to impact the perception of submitted text - just honestly asking for context.) I have a better question - who is Cringely ? It's the first time I hear of him. Is he some SV celebrity?

I'd only heard of him years ago because he made a TV programme about self-building a plane [1], which I think ended up with him building a kit rather than designing it from scratch. I found him amusing when watching it, although I don't know anyone else who has seen it, and info on it seems scarce. I'd wager it was shown on Channel 4 here in the UK, but I could just be making most of it up!

[1] - http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0164814/

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

(In no way trying to impact the perception of submitted text - just honestly asking for context.) I have a better question - who is Cringely ? It's the first time I hear of him. Is he some SV celebrity?

Short story: he was a big deal back in the day, has had a couple pretty big stories but these days he's much less influential. Now he blogs very infrequently, largely concentrating on his slightly-creepy obsession with IBM. The fact that he so easily gets duped by scammers pretending to be Google[1] and then actually blogs about it is quite indicative of how far his finger is from the pulse of technology. So, no, you…

His essays have been submitted 40 times as HN stories in the last two years (most with more than one person submitting). I have gotten useful insights from all that I have read. If you are going to be so dismissive you might at least give us your recommendations for who has a better bird's eye view of current technology.

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#29
post #9

Whatever ISPs will do with no more net neutrality (assuming its not overturned by Congress) may affect the prediction about streaming. Guessing what this will result in is impossible.

Guessing the result should be informed by the cycles of regulation and deregulation in the telecom industry as a whole. We have decades of history to pull from, if anyone wants to take the trouble to learn the history and apply it to the current scenario.

Re: Why do I do this to myself? Bob's first predictions for 2018 – I, Cringely

#30
I think the death of net neutrality is an act of desperation (clearly someone is behind it, because...why now, why the spam comments, why so fast, etc), because cable was a medium of control, but broadband is a utility with little opportunity for resource extraction. Here comes 5g and lots of wireless bandwidth for even more price competition which will either put incredible pressure on the ISPs to violate net neutrality to extract value or create a proliferation of ISPs, ala the 90s that race to the bottom, some of whom will offer net neutrality as a feature of their service. Curious to see how the increase in bandwidth affects the market in the coming years. Wireless presents all kinds of interesting possibilities.
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