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If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

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Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#231
post #189

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Those are mostly things that can be explored on earth, no need to build a moonbase to figure that out. > The opportunity with a space station is to figure out things that can't be explored realistically in other environments. The best way to explore the things we're going to need to live on other planemos is to live on another planemo. A space station involves solving a bunch of engineering challenges that are diff…

It's simply not true. No matter what planet you need to go to you need to spend a lot of time in space. Furthermore no matter what planet you would want to explore you would need a space station to explore from. It will also be the best way start the exploration as you can use your knowledge from the space station we have on earth. So no matter how you look at it, in space in zero-g is going to be the majority of the…

> No matter what planet you need to go to you need to spend a lot of time in space.

Days for the moon, months rather than years for Mars, and we've already had people on space stations for that kind of duration. 3 years for the Jovian system which is a step up but not a huge one.

> Furthermore no matter what planet you would want to explore you would need a space station to explore from.

I don't see that at all. Unmanned satellites would make sense, but the surface (or possibly an aerostat for some planemos) is always going to be a much more human-friendly environment in terms of gravity and radiation shielding.

> It will also be the best way start the exploration as you can use your knowledge from the space station we have on earth.

This is circular reasoning.

> Furthermore, we are simply not even close to be able to live realistically far from earth let alone able to afford it.

Which is why the moon makes sense as a next step. It's challenging but doable.

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#232
post #231

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's simply not true. No matter what planet you need to go to you need to spend a lot of time in space. Furthermore no matter what planet you would want to explore you would need a space station to explore from. It will also be the best way start the exploration as you can use your knowledge from the space station we have on earth. So no matter how you look at it, in space in zero-g is going to be the majority of the…

> No matter what planet you need to go to you need to spend a lot of time in space. Days for the moon, months rather than years for Mars, and we've already had people on space stations for that kind of duration. 3 years for the Jovian system which is a step up but not a huge one. > Furthermore no matter what planet you would want to explore you would need a space station to explore from. I don't see that at all. Unma…

Days to the moon at an extreme cost with little to no benefit vs hours for the satellite if something goes wrong.

Again we don't even have the technology to make mining the moon, if it had anything of value, profitable.

Two weeks a month on the dark side of the moon.

"I don't see that at all. Unmanned satellites would make sense, but the surface (or possibly an aerostat for some planemos) is always going to be a much more human-friendly environment in terms of gravity and radiation shielding."

You are missing the point. They don't have to be manned they are hubs between the planet and the surface and back home. They provide important information about the planet to those who live on it.

This is circular reasoning.

Has nothing to do with circular reasoning not sure you understand that word then.

The knowledge we have obtained on earth will help us when we put stations in orbit around the planets we want to explore.

The more solid we can make those stations the better for everything else.

Which is why the moon makes sense as a next step. It's challenging but doable.

No, it doesn't make sense as there is no benefit compared to the cost. We simply aren't there yet no matter how lovely it sounds.

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#233
post #231

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No matter what planet you need to go to you need to spend a lot of time in space. Days for the moon, months rather than years for Mars, and we've already had people on space stations for that kind of duration. 3 years for the Jovian system which is a step up but not a huge one. > Furthermore no matter what planet you would want to explore you would need a space station to explore from. I don't see that at all. Unma…

Days to the moon at an extreme cost with little to no benefit vs hours for the satellite if something goes wrong. Again we don't even have the technology to make mining the moon, if it had anything of value, profitable. Two weeks a month on the dark side of the moon. "I don't see that at all. Unmanned satellites would make sense, but the surface (or possibly an aerostat for some planemos) is always going to be a much…

> Days to the moon at an extreme cost with little to no benefit vs hours for the satellite if something goes wrong.

Days versus hours - exactly. A step up in risk, to be sure, but not a huge one - realistically there aren't so many problems that won't kill you in the hours it would take to get home from the ISS but will kill you in the days it would take you to get home from the moon.

> Again we don't even have the technology to make mining the moon, if it had anything of value, profitable.

Space stations aren't profitable either. It's not about profit, it's about humanity spreading through the cosmos.

> You are missing the point. They don't have to be manned they are hubs between the planet and the surface and back home. They provide important information about the planet to those who live on it.

So how does a manned space station help with that? We already have satellites orbiting Mars and acting as communications relays.

> Has nothing to do with circular reasoning not sure you understand that word then.

"Knowledge of space stations will be valuable because we will build space stations because that will let us reuse our knowledge of space stations" is textbook circular reasoning.

> No, it doesn't make sense as there is no benefit compared to the cost. We simply aren't there yet no matter how lovely it sounds.

So how do we get to there from here? I don't think we'll ever get to a point where going to other planemos makes sense from a corporate profit-and-loss perspective, not if we don't go there for non-economic reasons first.

Suppose the goal is Mars, or one of the Jovian moons, or Titan. How would an ISS 2.0 put us any closer to getting there than we are now? What is it that we can't do now that we would want to test out with an ISS 2.0?

We're going to need surface habitats on these places, and building a surface habitat on the moon would let us test out the technologies and engineering that needs, in a place that's - relatively speaking - much quicker to get to and from, so safer and easier to iterate on. While a space station tells us some things that are relevant to building surface habitats, most of the things it tells us are only relevant to space stations. I simply don't see the need for long-term-manned space stations, and medium-term-manned space stations we can do already.

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#234
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> is there any reason [...] which justifies the price THIS kind of thinking is our problem imho - we are living in rich times and we should start behaving as such! We have more of everything than we need. Yeah, there are children starving or dying of preventable diseases somewhere in the world, but guess what, even if we'd be 10x richer there will still be. Or we'll whip out a world war or some runaway next gen biowe…

> Yeah, there are children starving or dying of preventable diseases ~~somewhere in the world~~ in America Fixed that for you. I love space much as the next guy, but i dont see why the government has to spend considerable sums for it. The only purpose for space is science, either aplicable to science in general or to the military, but im sure its not cost-efficient for all the science there is to be made. So if peopl…

> The only purpose for space is science

No, it's not. Fuck science, it's just a tool. The goal is GROWTH and MULTIPLICATION and CONQUEST! We should learn to be proud of our "viral" nature and start acting more like it. If we could do the same with "magic" or religion or whatever, then we'd do it using that...

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#235
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> is there any reason [...] which justifies the price THIS kind of thinking is our problem imho - we are living in rich times and we should start behaving as such! We have more of everything than we need. Yeah, there are children starving or dying of preventable diseases somewhere in the world, but guess what, even if we'd be 10x richer there will still be. Or we'll whip out a world war or some runaway next gen biowe…

As much as I want to agree with you I think it's a very naive way of thinking about this problem (which can sometimes be good so don't get me wrong). I personally believe in what I call natural next steps. I.e steps that are naturally extending previous ones. To me, the next step is making the space station much more robust. And focusing on AI might actually be a much smarter move as it might allow us to build a secu…

> natural next steps

This never works... People need to be forced into developing solution by creating more problems while solving existing one. Like "shit, the mars colony got wiped out by a diseases, no more humans to repair the stuff there, quick, figure out how to make robots that make more robots themselves, nothing else fits the budget". Or "shit, we underestimated the effects or magnitude of cosmic radiation on colonists, gotta accelerate work on those cures for cancer or we're fucked".

And "alternative priority" things like AI or, dunno, cancer-research, will never compete for the same money bucket as space exploration. They'll likely end up receiving significantly more money since space exploration will just increase their value by orders of magnitude. Economy is never a zero some game like "spend money on this vs. that" if you play it on a large enough scale since most stuff is either in excess of "creatable". Only real finite resource is "space you can practically reach to fast enough". Too bad some people have started to actually believe the made up rules of our "economy game".

Hmmm... now that I think about it, maybe our "economical game" is the problem: we've developed it so much, with manufactured needs and manufactured scarcities for the purpose of "hacking people into working the hardest they can", but now it's kind of turned against us. Maybe we need some serious rewrite of the code of global economy to start making the things that are technically possible actually possible...

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#236

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People risk their lives all the time for sillier reasons than going to space, sometimes without even getting paid for it.

Sure, so we might not stop an eccentric rich adventurer from self-funding an effort like this. But that doesn't necessarily mean the government would sponsor it, or allow people to be employed to do it.

Well if your justification for that is because people might die, I'm afraid you'll find that the government is more than happy to sponsor and employ people for projects with rather high fatality rates.

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#237
post #130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, could it be possible to send currently homeless people to colonize the Moon?

(edited) Would these homeless people be sent to the moon mandatorily or voluntarily? If voluntarily, why only send homeless people? Why not send everyone who wanted to go?

I'd only suggest voluntarily, but I think that solving the housing problem and the question of colonization in one fell swoop seems like a nice solution.

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#238
post #233

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Days to the moon at an extreme cost with little to no benefit vs hours for the satellite if something goes wrong. Again we don't even have the technology to make mining the moon, if it had anything of value, profitable. Two weeks a month on the dark side of the moon. "I don't see that at all. Unmanned satellites would make sense, but the surface (or possibly an aerostat for some planemos) is always going to be a much…

> Days to the moon at an extreme cost with little to no benefit vs hours for the satellite if something goes wrong. Days versus hours - exactly. A step up in risk, to be sure, but not a huge one - realistically there aren't so many problems that won't kill you in the hours it would take to get home from the ISS but will kill you in the days it would take you to get home from the moon. > Again we don't even have the t…

It's not just a step up it's a factor up.

Space stations are less expensive than moon bases so why do a moonbase? It teaches us nothing much more compared to a space station and cost a fraction.

They help by being a habitable space station which can be docked with. It might even be a place to escape and wait for rescue if something goes bad on the planet a much cheaper way to rescue than having everything based on the planet.

"I don't think we'll ever get to a point where going to other planemos makes sense from a corporate profit-and-loss perspective, not if we don't go there for non-economic reasons first."

It's not about corporate profit-and-loss it's a matter of making it unnecessarily expensive.

There are so many things to solve even when it comes to the space station. Just getting the price down substantially is hard but necessary before it make sense to putting a base on the moon without any point that isn't mostly already solved by the ISS.

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#239
post #235

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As much as I want to agree with you I think it's a very naive way of thinking about this problem (which can sometimes be good so don't get me wrong). I personally believe in what I call natural next steps. I.e steps that are naturally extending previous ones. To me, the next step is making the space station much more robust. And focusing on AI might actually be a much smarter move as it might allow us to build a secu…

> natural next steps This never works... People need to be forced into developing solution by creating more problems while solving existing one. Like "shit, the mars colony got wiped out by a diseases, no more humans to repair the stuff there, quick, figure out how to make robots that make more robots themselves, nothing else fits the budget". Or "shit, we underestimated the effects or magnitude of cosmic radiation o…

The economic game is what makes it all make sense.

Re: If We Can Put a Man on the Moon, Why Can’t We Put a Man on the Moon?

#240
post #233

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Days to the moon at an extreme cost with little to no benefit vs hours for the satellite if something goes wrong. Days versus hours - exactly. A step up in risk, to be sure, but not a huge one - realistically there aren't so many problems that won't kill you in the hours it would take to get home from the ISS but will kill you in the days it would take you to get home from the moon. > Again we don't even have the t…

It's not just a step up it's a factor up. Space stations are less expensive than moon bases so why do a moonbase? It teaches us nothing much more compared to a space station and cost a fraction. They help by being a habitable space station which can be docked with. It might even be a place to escape and wait for rescue if something goes bad on the planet a much cheaper way to rescue than having everything based on th…

> Space stations are less expensive than moon bases so why do a moonbase? It teaches us nothing much more compared to a space station and cost a fraction.

We need to learn how to build habitats off-Earth, out-of-atmosphere with all that entails (e.g. handling fine sharp-edged dust), and outside the van allen belts. And these things need to be closed systems that can be inhabited for decades at a minimum. At the same time, they'll be under nonzero gravity, and they will have access to bulk matter. That's a very different set of engineering challenges from a space station.

> There are so many things to solve even when it comes to the space station. Just getting the price down substantially is hard but necessary before it make sense to putting a base on the moon

But the cost-reduction techniques would be very different for planemo-surface bases than for space stations. E.g. a popular proposal for cheaper space stations is using inflatable modules to save having to ship up building materials, and that's a good idea for space stations. But on a surface under gravity, inflatables might not be structurally rigid enough, and building structures from the local soil might be a better option.

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