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Shanghai sets population at 25M

theguardian.com

21–30 of 240 posts

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#21
post #6

China can take ambitious practical goals like that seriously. The West cannot, the West is problematically irresponsible.

In the West, we decided that individual liberty is more important than mass control. The Chinese government is corrupt to the core. Do you want that kind of government controlling you?

ahahahah it's that what they told you?

So you're saying that when the NSA was controlling anyone was not a form of 'government control' but just a way to express their 'individual liberty'?

I don't see much differences between US and China, especially on the matter of mass control.

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#22

That makes me sad, I like Chinese mega cities and it seems like a "problem" that should solve itself without government intervention.

These kinds of heavy-handed interventions seem to almost always lead to processes of waste and corruption -- ie so who gets to live in Shanghai? That will be decided by bureaucrats and lawyers which opens up cronyism. By contrast, previously the market provided an efficient, free-to-use, and arguably fair system that allocated the opportunity to whoever was willing to pay for it.

People will say "but they need to tackle pollution, and congestion," and I'm in the Pigouvian camp that it is more fair and economically efficient to tax externalities themselves (the disease) rather than making heavy-handed and arbitrary rules.

Anyways, in China this is not the worst thing their government is doing.

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, the West can but we don't kid ourselves by thinking that the means to the end won't be inhumane and violent. Just like the 1 child policy. There's ways to accomplish things gracefully, and they tend not to be explicit .. they tend to be encouraging the alternatives, finding underlying causes, and promoting those. To cause subtle percolating change. China's way for change is reminiscent of when they killed all the…

Yes, like soft-segregate people by their how much money they have. Having slums that policemen are afraid to go in. That's very graceful.

Are you talking about the suburb areas in US or Europe?

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#24

China can take ambitious practical goals like that seriously. The West cannot, the West is problematically irresponsible.

Control over building is extremely common in "the west". It may not be explicitly about population, but limiting population is a common result. Try building a slum in London and see how long it lasts.

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#25

China’s policies are confusing, first they wanted to move everyone to the major cities, now the cities are saying they will cap the populations. Anyone know what is going on?

If you use a bit of your brain you'll understand. The top tier Chinese cities are completely packed my people and is not easy to live in, yet, anything is much more expensive and the infrastructure are not suitable enough for future expansion.

China still have hundred millions people who will move from the farms to the cities in the following years. Those people can't move all in the top tier cities building a nation with 5/6 megacities with 50+ million people.

They're trying to make the second tier and third tier cities (10+ million - 5+ million) the place where these people will move and the only way is to block the expansion of the top tier cities

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#26

China’s policies are confusing, first they wanted to move everyone to the major cities, now the cities are saying they will cap the populations. Anyone know what is going on?

They're in a situation where they need to dramatically slow down debt accumulation, which will slow down economic growth a bit faster than otherwise anticipated. It's a whiplash action, going from the growth the last 20 years (in which people were aggressively encouraged to move into the cities) to needing to strictly control that growth and the correlated debt expansion.

Manufacturing stopped net expanding years ago, many of their largest state-corporate manufacturing enterprises are simultaneously loaded to the ceiling with debt and being heavily subsidized to maintain current levels of employment and output.

There is wide discussion about local governments being allowed to go bankrupt, because the debt burdens have gotten so extreme:

"China Central Bank Official Says Bankruptcy May Benefit the Country"

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-25/pboc-offi...

China's goal, in theory, is to transition increasingly to a services economy, to provide the next leg of its growth, as manufacturing can't provide that. Service economies grow far slower than the type of manufacturing fill-in-the-slack / join the WTO boom they saw from ~1992-2015. They can no longer afford to keep accumulating debt as they have been since 2007. S&P is forecasting another ~75% increase in their total debt position in just the next five or so years, which would push them to... ~550%-600% debt to GDP ratio (possibly worse when counting all the shadow debt), or nearly twice that of the US. It's untenable to say the least.

Bottom line: China has to start applying the brakes, and that likely means dramatically slowing the migration into the cities. That migration is unsustainable if China has to slow its debt expansion (which it does).

It takes extraordinary perpetual economic expansion to provide enough jobs for all of those people and pay for the infrastructure demands. China's financial reserves haven't kept pace with either their debt or GDP growth, with about 3/4 of those reserves untouchable. Their ability to continue to finance the wild debts that have gone with the local government & infrastructure splurges, is heavily restricted now (if cities like Shanghai or Beijing want to add millions of more people, it'd require continuing to fund all of that while the overall context gets more shaky).

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#28
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In the West, we decided that individual liberty is more important than mass control. The Chinese government is corrupt to the core. Do you want that kind of government controlling you?

Do you seriously think politicians in the "West" (whatever that means) are not corrupt? Have you followed the news in the past say 20 years?

You're setting up a fake strawman that the parent comment never suggested at all.

In no regard did the parent say that politicians in the West are not or are never corrupt, nor did they imply it. They said China's government is corrupt to the core.

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#29
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In the West, we decided that individual liberty is more important than mass control. The Chinese government is corrupt to the core. Do you want that kind of government controlling you?

How is the west any less corrupt? The big corporations are basically machinery at this point. Their only purpose is to self perpetuate and benefit themselves and their shareholders, many times at the expense of the public. At least their government is attempting to fix problems, and not leaving everything to the free market Gods. Besides, look who the US elected for president. Every single check and balance in the sy…

It is Trump's job to put Americans and only Americans first. If you are a European, get in the back of the line.

Re: Shanghai sets population at 25M

#30
post #25

China’s policies are confusing, first they wanted to move everyone to the major cities, now the cities are saying they will cap the populations. Anyone know what is going on?

If you use a bit of your brain you'll understand. The top tier Chinese cities are completely packed my people and is not easy to live in, yet, anything is much more expensive and the infrastructure are not suitable enough for future expansion. China still have hundred millions people who will move from the farms to the cities in the following years. Those people can't move all in the top tier cities building a nation…

Is the snark necessary? Does it add anything to this discussion?
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