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Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

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41–50 of 121 posts

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#41
post #14

Hedge funds can short too, why the cold feet all of a sudden? My guess is he's shorting the markets or couldn't raise the capital after all. Or ultimately thought the risk to his reputation if his fund failed was too high.

It's different shorting when you have to put up so much capital to short all at once. To give you an idea, on future exchanges in the United States, you have to put up a 90% maintenance margin, compared to other commodities that allow you to maintain 40%.

Options not being written is another factor.

>Getting cold feet ? I bet it's not easy raising money when the asset you are trading falls 40% in two days.

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#42
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People always forget to include future innovations in their projections. It's as if they don't believe (or know) that software can rapidly improve. The lightning network looks very promising in its ability to scale and reduce fees. It would make transactions nearly instantaneous, have reasonable fees, and help scale the network.

Help scale "the" network? No, it would help scale "the lightning network" which would not be the same as "the bitcoin network".

Pushing transactions into sidechains helps free the main network from congestion.

So while it may not be technically true that the main network's capabilities have changed, users should see massive improvements.

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#43

It could also go back to $100. Bitcoin has no mainstream use right now. It's too expensive to transact in terms of money and time, it's too volatile to be a store of value, it's too technical to be used casually, it's too fragile since it gets hacked every which way, and it's too easily copied to be rare.

>Being hacked every which way Do you want to clarify this? If you meant what I think you meant, you're incorrect.

[deleted]

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The internet was a big bubble, and quite a few stocks survived and made handsome returns.

What an awfully disingenuous comment. Just because some random so called "cryptocurrency" may still hold any residual value after this bitcoin pump-and-dump scam blows up it doesn't mean it makes any sense to keep pumping, let alone enter the fraud at this stage.

What is Bitcoin supposed to be worth? The only way to determine true value is to go through these phases of price expansion and contraction until equilibrium is reached.

If you don't want to participate in volatile speculation, that's fine, the average person shouldn't. But there is no other way around it.

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The internet was a big bubble, and quite a few stocks survived and made handsome returns.

What an awfully disingenuous comment. Just because some random so called "cryptocurrency" may still hold any residual value after this bitcoin pump-and-dump scam blows up it doesn't mean it makes any sense to keep pumping, let alone enter the fraud at this stage.

haha still you are waiting for it to crash so you can call it a pnd scam. emotions > logic

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#47
post #7

For comparison, he also thinks it's going to $40K by EOY 2018. http://www.businessinsider.com/novogratz-bitcoin-could-be-at...

For further comparison, he ran an $8 billion fund that utterly failed to weather the 2008 financial crisis [1]. Prior to the IPO, he and Fortress' management "borrowed money, used $250 million of it to pay themselves a dividend, and used part of the I.P.O. proceeds to pay back the loan." [1] https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2009/04/fortress-group200904...

[deleted]

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#48
post #14

Hedge funds can short too, why the cold feet all of a sudden? My guess is he's shorting the markets or couldn't raise the capital after all. Or ultimately thought the risk to his reputation if his fund failed was too high.

It's different shorting when you have to put up so much capital to short all at once. To give you an idea, on future exchanges in the United States, you have to put up a 90% maintenance margin, compared to other commodities that allow you to maintain 40%. Options not being written is another factor. >Getting cold feet ? I bet it's not easy raising money when the asset you are trading falls 40% in two days.

If he knew it would and cashed in on that capital would come quickly. From the article I see part of it was regulatory burden and propriety of trading his own crypto while maintaining the fund. That makes sense but nothing to do with the current drop, good excuse though.

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#49

It could also go back to $100. Bitcoin has no mainstream use right now. It's too expensive to transact in terms of money and time, it's too volatile to be a store of value, it's too technical to be used casually, it's too fragile since it gets hacked every which way, and it's too easily copied to be rare.

Bitcoin never got hacked, unsecure middlemen did (or pretended to have been)

My entire wallet was stolen [i] -- all that hard work. But that is great news Bitcoin never got hacked -- I got nervous there. /sarcasm

http://www.cryptsysettlement.com/ [i]

Re: Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000

#50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What an awfully disingenuous comment. Just because some random so called "cryptocurrency" may still hold any residual value after this bitcoin pump-and-dump scam blows up it doesn't mean it makes any sense to keep pumping, let alone enter the fraud at this stage.

What is Bitcoin supposed to be worth? The only way to determine true value is to go through these phases of price expansion and contraction until equilibrium is reached. If you don't want to participate in volatile speculation, that's fine, the average person shouldn't. But there is no other way around it.

> The only way to determine true value is to go through these phases

You're referring to a pump and dump scheme as "phases". You don't set high values by scamming unsuspecting fools.

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