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Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

davidgerard.co.uk

211–220 of 271 posts

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#211

You can cash out Bitcoin and the price is actually very accurate. The money I see in my bank account is real I can assure you of that. Also I know friends that cash out six figures at a time and the price they get is within less than 1% difference to the last sell price. The number is accurate enough for most orders under $10,000,000. Has this person actually traded Bitcoin? You might not be able to sell a large orde…

I think the point he’s making is that everybody could not cash out at the listed price at once if something were to happen that made holding bitcoin undesirable (such as say, a possible crack for their elliptic curve crypto implementation). However, the same is true for banks which only keep 10% of deposits. Bank deposits are FDIC insured up to $250,000 though.

That's the same for every asset ever.

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Article author actually makes a great point and it stands regardless of your ability to cash out within 1%. Big investors on current markets can whip out huge profits for themselves by using techniques such as front running, wash trades, willybot, spoofing etc. Exchanges are not even prohibited from doing their own secret trades and using their own internal database and full knowledge of all other players. If you are…

> Until then, party on Indeed. Earlier this year, mid-summer, I got curious about all this, so I decided to start an experiment, uploaded $100 to an exchange and started trading and programming against their API. Today, I am running fully automated bots which are winning, got about $25k in exchanges and cashed out about $15 to my bank account (no problem cashing out btw). That's 40000% in 6 month. So all of this is a…

I was thinking about doing something similar as an experiment, do you have any good resources to get started?

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#213
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't the difference that a stock is only traded on a single exchange? If stocks were traded on multiple exchanges, and the value was reported as the average across all of them, then that number would be just as made up.

A lot of stocks are trading on multiple exchanges. Unilever and Shell trade on the NY, London and Amsterdam stock exchanges. People typically use the one closer to them geographically or from a currency point of view. And things like gold or oil barrels also have multiple exchanges.

Unilever is actually 2 companies:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unilever#Legal_structure

Unilever plc and Unilever N.V. ...operate as nearly as practicable as a single economic entity, whilst remaining separate legal entities with different shareholders and separate stock exchange listings

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#214

You can cash out Bitcoin and the price is actually very accurate. The money I see in my bank account is real I can assure you of that. Also I know friends that cash out six figures at a time and the price they get is within less than 1% difference to the last sell price. The number is accurate enough for most orders under $10,000,000. Has this person actually traded Bitcoin? You might not be able to sell a large orde…

[deleted]

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#215

The article states "The singular “price” of Bitcoin doesn’t exist — it’s a made-up number." This is the same for every stock traded on any stock exchange in the world. The "singular price" is, in most cases, just the mean of the closest bid and offer listed on the exchange and is thus a "made-up number" On top of this, it obviously doesn't take into account everything from transaction costs to the fact that attempts…

Isn't the difference that a stock is only traded on a single exchange? If stocks were traded on multiple exchanges, and the value was reported as the average across all of them, then that number would be just as made up.

Stocks are also traded on many different order books [1], each of which will have different prices, so the quoted price is just as made up (although usually by ignoring all but one venue rather than averaging across them).

Also worth noting that for both stocks and cryptocurrencies, the price that is shown is almost always the last traded price not a quote for a price you could trade at anyway.

[1] in the US, for example: https://www.sec.gov/foia/docs/atslist.htm

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Until then, party on Indeed. Earlier this year, mid-summer, I got curious about all this, so I decided to start an experiment, uploaded $100 to an exchange and started trading and programming against their API. Today, I am running fully automated bots which are winning, got about $25k in exchanges and cashed out about $15 to my bank account (no problem cashing out btw). That's 40000% in 6 month. So all of this is a…

Care to share general outlines of how your bots work?

"Buy Bitcoin, hold Bitcoin, buy some more Bitcoin."

It'll work until it suddenly doesn't.

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#217

You can cash out Bitcoin and the price is actually very accurate. The money I see in my bank account is real I can assure you of that. Also I know friends that cash out six figures at a time and the price they get is within less than 1% difference to the last sell price. The number is accurate enough for most orders under $10,000,000. Has this person actually traded Bitcoin? You might not be able to sell a large orde…

Is there a way to verify this somehow? One of the biggest issues in the Bitcoin space seems to be counter party risk with the exchanges. How do large Bitcoin traders price that risk? With most modern financial exchanges the accounts are open, audited and they’ve had a long time to generate trust with their members so pricing the counter party risk is straight forward.

if your treating bitcoin as anything short of gambling, you probably in for a big surprise one day.

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#218
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Black-swan events sounds less rare in digital world. I am also doubting if FDIC insurance is for the full amount, or the 250K that's often cited for banks.

"For US customers, your USD balance is covered by FDIC insurance, up to a maximum of $250,000." You literally didn't even bother to click on the one link in that comment.

Looks like i really didn't - sorry. 250K insurance is fairly low, for some bitcoin accounts.

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#219
post #114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can however gdax limits you to 10k/day of withdrawls from the exchange (be it usd or btc). And gdax has a 3-6 day wire transfer delay. You end up making more by simply hodling

> gdax limits you to 10k/day of withdrawls from the exchange (be it usd or btc). That's just the default limit. You can ask for increases.

but the delays are the problem.

Re: Why you can’t cash out part 1: Bitcoin’s “price” is largely fictional

#220
post #205

Can someone weigh in on the relatively large difference in prices between various exchanges. I have always mentally chalked it up to friction--caused by the fees of converting from fiat to bitcoin--eating up all the edge in the arb. Is that all it is? [1] https://www.cryptocompare.com/coins/btc/markets/USD

the exchanges I looked at with the lowest prices didn't have a way to buy/sell with USD.
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