Earlier quoted context omitted.
It’s energy producing companies that worry about sustainability, not energy spending. Energy spending endeavors only worry about profitability. So it’s absolutely misguided to scold bitcoin over it’s use of energy and not do the same for instance to people heating up their apartments or driving cars or insert your energy spending activity. Increasing efficiency of bitcoins proof of work will simply bump the difficult…
There’s a difference between scolding energy usage and pointing out that the design itself, even if efficiency of that design is increased, is what leads to this spiraling energy expenditure that powers massive computational hashing power only to support that currency and nothing else (no other social or technical goals). There are better ways to design such a system to do more than perform endless hashing that is me…
Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
151–160 of 243 posts
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#152Earlier quoted context omitted.
The Sia team has really impressed me with their approach. They're the type of devs that keep quiet and just get the work done. No hype, no grandiose promises, just hard work and solving hard problems. I think that in the end they'll be the ones that come out ahead when it comes to decentralized storage.
Hey, Sia core dev here. From the beginning, we've prided ourselves writing code instead of pushing PR pieces and designing flashy websites. So I'm glad that you (and others) picked up on those values. By keeping our heads down, we've built the only truly distributed and decentralized marketplace for storage, and we did it with a team and a budget far smaller than our competitors. Thanks for your support -- posts like…
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#153All XXXcoin currencies are Ponzi schemes, in effect. Their "growth" is fueled almost entirely by new investors dumping cash into the system from which no one takes (can take[1]) anything out. That's a pyramid. Eventually when the investment money runs out[2], the support will fall over. The only distinction between this and a Ponzi scheme is that there are (probably) no single fraudsters at the top ready to run off w…
What a load of BS. Of course you can sell off a large Bitcoin holding. People do it all the time. That you think otherwise is ignorance and bias.
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#154Heh.. Yes, probably is now. I dont know if the founders started out to make a Ponzi, but once the dollars started rolling in, I can imagine, they probably got "different ideas". Who am I to judge, but if I was a founder of this, I would be driving my Ferrari in Thailand instead of slaving away trying to build some stupid file system. Who the hell cares about file systems :P
One of these sounds much more fun than the other.
Hint: It is not driving Ferraris. ;)
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#155Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why does one painting sell for $10 and another for $100 million? People can put value in whatever they want. I don't think there's a real objective way to say "oh yeah, it's mathematically proven that a diamond ring should cost $10,000...or a $1,000,000 if it's say Marilyn Monroe's ring, and that a single Bitcoin should have a value of no more than $10."
True, but I think we all can say with some certainty that "a token intended to be used as currency should not regularly increase or decrease in value by 20% or more in a matter of days or weeks". Who on earth would actually spend any Bitcoins right now? If you'd bought a Pizza with BTC back in 2010, you could have bought a car (or house?) instead only several years later. This type of volatility makes it totally unsu…
Will it not eventually stabilise? When it's just starting out and only few people believe in its value it seems inevitable it's going to be volatile in the early days. Some people have to start making the first purchases in the beginning so if people weren't buying pizza and whatever with it when Bitcoin was low in value it wouldn't be valued what it is now.
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#156I think the top comment for this should be about Filecoin, instead of just another uninformed comments about Bitcoin that we see here every day. That said, one thing most people don't talk about is: I think most people think IPFS is disruptive, but I think IPFS itself is susceptible to disruption. The main reason why IPFS is useful is because there's not an easy way to do NAT traversal therefore it's super hard for p…
> You don't really need a globally addressable immutable file storage, because unless you're dealing with static images, a lot of files DO change all the time, and people want to store and share files privately.
While it boosts reliability, IPFS is not globally immutable. If you share a file with a limited scope, it won't stick around forever.
Though from a quick search you can't easily keep a file private, that's not great.
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#157edit: Weird, I thought I was commenting on another thread, about Nobel laureates criticizing Bitcoin. I saw it on my phone, then opened HN at my notebook to comment. I misread the title and commented here, but now I can't find the correct thread (was it flagged?). I am growing this idea that Bitcoin (and any cryptocurrency that is affected by aggressive price growth) is an anti-fragile indirect multilevel marketing s…
filecoin is not BTC. BTC does have an inherent value, but only within the system. You're analogies to diamonds make no sense because diamonds are easy to produce and their cost does not reflect either the demand or the production of them. BTC, however, is required to actually run the system, are hard to produce and their value is set on their limited production plus demand. It is true that BTC currently has little va…
Extortion where the extortionist demands payment in bitcoin fulfills that predicate.
Not saying that this is what drives the daily ups and downs of BTC (or rather: ups and even more ups, recently), but if you are looking for inherent value, this is what you get. Just like the use of gold in manufacturing is very much not the driver of gold price fluctuations, despite being the base of the inherent value.
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#158We think it's great that people ask hard questions, and get involved. It's great to see others studying our work and we really appreciate the open discourse. There are a few things from this article I’d like to address. (Despite the length of this post...) these are quick comments, and not a proper in-depth response.
- (a) The article gets some things right and some things wrong -- there is good summarizing of several of our projects, and discussion of many difficult aspects in these projects. The article discusses many technological aspects in good depth, and highlights difficulties in building these systems, aligning incentives, and the trials of past projects. The article also has significant inaccuracies. For example, the sale figure -- which appears in the title and impacts the analysis -- is incorrect. We raised $205M -- officially here: https://protocol.ai/blog/filecoin-sale-completed/
- (b) The authors chose a provocative title. As some commenters have already pointed out, the conclusion is “[we] believe that it is not one.” Despite Betteridge’s law ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betteridge's_law_of_headlines ), many people who only read the headline will come to the opposite conclusion, and now we (not they) will have the burden of correcting those misunderstandings. Provocative titles, though they may drive imagination and clicks, can do a huge disservice to everyone in the space, and contribute to misinformation. Most people will only read the title, maybe the abstract, and use that to form and drive opinions. We choose titles of our research with diligence and care, and hope others do the same.
- (c) The article has a great technical overview of the Filecoin stack, and how it fits with IPFS and libp2p. This is a large structure with many pieces, and it is rare to see articles grasping how all the pieces fit together so well, and then explaining it cogently. In particular, it’s great to see this article diving deep and discussing advantages and disadvantages of low level technical structures (multihash, ipld, libp2p, and more). We modularized everything in the hope to generally improve peer-to-peer systems, and improve reusability. We hope these components will be useful to the author’s Tribler project (a network similar in goals to Filecoin), and we hope that we can also learn from and leverage solutions they have made.
- (d) many of the objectionable things described in this article are common in ICOs in general. Put another way, consider those claims also in terms of other significant token sales, such as Ethereum, Tezos, Polkadot, Blockstack, Cosmos, Golem. People were saying similar things about Ethereum when they did their sale in 2014. Perhaps worth doing a survey / analysis over all of them, comparing and contrasting the different things groups have done, how the ecosystem has improved, and suggest new directions.
- (e) It’s worth mentioning that the analysis gives a definition of a ponzi scheme, but their discussion does not map to that definition. Instead, the discussion centers on claims about future investor sentiment or speculation as the driver of value in the token, which is not the only way to establish value in token networks, and ignores the value of the services provided. That kind of analysis does not work for projects like Ethereum and other live and functioning crypto tokens. If the network is useful, and there is a way to generate or introduce value, by providing new or better services, and if the network can capture that value in the token itself (important step), then the tokens can hold value, based on the utility of the network as a service and not just or primarily speculation. Networks like Ethereum, Bitcoin, Zcash, and Filecoin aim to provide useful services, and much of the value stored in their tokens will be thanks to the utility of the networks.
Perhaps it’s worth pointing out that most crypto token projects are compared to ponzi schemes at some point :(
- http://www.google.com/search?q=is+bitcoin+a+ponzi+scheme
- http://www.google.com/search?q=is+ethereum+a+ponzi+scheme
- http://www.google.com/search?q=is+zcash+a+ponzi+scheme
- http://www.google.com/search?q=is+tezos+a+ponzi+scheme
- (f) The article discusses the SAFT and assurances to investors, but does not discuss them in contexts of other token sales and ICOs. Most ICOs are structured as donations (not investments) to a project, with little to no legal recourse -- even though many people refer to these “donations” as being “investments”. In our case, we raised investment through an instrument (the SAFT) that is a direct liability to us, and gives investors greater guarantees on the completion of the project, or consequences otherwise. If we fail to deliver the network, we must return the proceeds of the token sale. Few token sales ever have such a clause. Our structure gives investors greater accountability, not less. The article discusses this in sec IV, but does not take into account that startups are similarly risky (i.e. that startup dissolution events return only remaining capital from the efforts), and does not mention how our structure improves on the ICO landscape in general.- (g) We do share the legitimate concern that ICOs need stronger accountability, and some are structured in a way that leads to abuse. The community as a whole needs to raise the bar on accountability and ethical behavior. We have taken significant steps in this direction, not just in our sale but to improve the ecosystem -- the SAFT project, which was a gargantuan undertaking that many other networks are now using, is one example. Many other networks are introducing and improving structures. We believe token networks present a very important new way to form capital, with promising advantages to users, investors, and creators, but the space is still in its infancy, and significant changes are still ahead. Token sales have improved dramatically in the last three years, and we hope they continue to improve to find the right balance and protection of the interests of all parties involved with the network.
Thanks, Juan
Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#159Re: Is Filecoin a $257 million Ponzi scheme? [pdf]
#160Earlier quoted context omitted.
Something like Filecoin is necessary to make IPFS what it could become, I recognize there are huge unsolved problems with it but it's not legitimately so that they can't be solved. It's worth a shot and sophisticated private investors took bets on this with eyes wide open, followed by the public of course which many consider problematic (I don't). There are complaints about the discounts private investors got etc but…
> sophisticated private investors took bets on this with eyes wide open Bullshit.