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What to Worry About in This Surreal Bull Market

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Re: What to Worry About in This Surreal Bull Market

#5

I'd love to know how far away from the next crash people think we are. And where they think is a safe place to put money when that happens.

It will happen before 2020, the question is when exactly it will hit. My money is on late 2018 or early 2019.

What to do before then? Don't have any money in US stocks. Diversify both geographically and sector-wise, cash out, be ready to invest when stocks crash through the floor, to ride the wave when they inevitably rise again. The real trick is spotting who's going to rise again and who's going to be left behind. Tech stocks are volatile by nature, invest in renewable energy and related sectors. We're going to need solar and wind power in the future, and batteries. Lots of batteries. Then, as we near battery saturation, there is going to be big money in recycling all those depleted batteries.

Re: What to Worry About in This Surreal Bull Market

#6

I'd love to know how far away from the next crash people think we are. And where they think is a safe place to put money when that happens.

I think the bubble is the US dollar. Currently our debts are being serviced by issuing more debt!

Safe places IMO are deflationary assets (gold, and to a much more risky extent, bitcoin...I know this will start a flame war lol). Another option is foreign assets in countries that are not holding onto a lot of US debt.

I'm not an oracle, so I can't predict timing, although I do think it will happen relatively soon in the next 1-3 years.

Re: What to Worry About in This Surreal Bull Market

#9

I'd love to know how far away from the next crash people think we are. And where they think is a safe place to put money when that happens.

It will not happen before 2020, this market could easily run for another decade.

If you're so sure you could make guaranteed money by selling put options expiring in 2020. Or are you not so sure...?

Re: What to Worry About in This Surreal Bull Market

#10

I'd love to know how far away from the next crash people think we are. And where they think is a safe place to put money when that happens.

Does anyone know of any low-cost, Euro-priced market ETFs for divesting from the USD? I guess this might fit the bill:

https://www.vanguard.ch/privateinvestors/indv/loadPDF?countr...

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