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Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

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Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#471
post #176

Earlier quoted context omitted.

100% agree. imagine my shock when as a young technology analyst I discovered that E-Ink was a smallcap tech company in Taiwan and basically produced kindle displays, store price tags and that cool double sided phone that one time. I thought it was a huge deal when they managed to do color E-Ink. but no one cared.

Around 2010 I assumed it would a matter of a couple of years until we were reading comic books on our Kindle Color ink tablets.

Still waiting on that E-Ink phone that lasts a month between charges.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#472
post #431

I don't know if this has a name, but... ICQ-like "searchable" instant messaging. Let me explain myself. In the late 90s, there was an IM client called ICQ. For starters, its UI was leaps and bounds ahead of anything to be seen in the next decade, and it had functionality like bots or groups, that has again become widespread a few years ago. But what I'm talking about is the fact that I could look for "female, age bet…

> "female, age between 16 and 20, who likes writing, RPGs and electronic music and is available for chat" This is probably the reason it was abandoned.

You only got found if you explicitly marked yourself as available for a chat, which was an opt-in choice that could be easily toggled on and off, or left off all the time if you just wanted to use ICQ to chat with your friends as current IMs are used. And you could omit information, e.g. you could fill in your hobbies but not gender if you didn't want to be found by gender. And the privacy settings were much more understandable and transparent than in e.g. Facebook.

I guess there would be creeps, as anywhere where you can be exposed to unknown people, but I don't think the problem was worse than elsewhere. In fact, in my later experiences in chats, dating sites, etc., most women seemed to be (understandably) on the defensive due to the amount of stalkers and creeps they had to endure regularly, and in ICQ it didn't seem so much that way, I got plenty of conversations, girls (and guys) giving me their address for exchanging stamps or letters, etc., which I found much harder later in other media. Although maybe it's that both the Internet and myself were young and naive back then.

Anyway, if stalkers did become a big problem, surely the tech could have improved to deal with it.

There are probably several factors, but I think the main reason it was abandoned is simply network effects. MSN Messenger rose for reasons orthogonal to this, and then no one of the main IMs that succeeded it implemented this. Sadly, the question of what IMs gain more traction depends more on network effects than actual quality (see Whatsapp vs. Telegram, etc.)

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#473
API / AI government. It seems that we could replace a lot of politicians with a simple bash script.

Voting reform.

It seems that with fake news and real news labelled as fake news, stupid facebook memes, junk internet adverts on everything... I thought the internet would be better. It started off with so much promise. Lots of smart people connected together, they all chanted "Get the masses online!" ... it turns out that comes with its own set of issues.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#474

The Commodore Amiga. Used it from release in 1985 through to 1993, at which point I had to admit defeat and defect. Much has been written, including a great retrospective on Ars, but its failure wasn't due to engineering. Way ahead of its time. Minidisc. This was generally popular in Hong Kong and Japan, perhaps other parts of the world, but in the US I gather it was marketed as a CD alternative instead of a mix-tape…

The Amiga was awesome and it did sell quite well in some areas like in Europe. Its failure on the US market is clearly what killed it, as well as the lack of innovation after the Amiga 500... It did take over the world by storm with the Video Toaster though - and stayed there even long after it was dead.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#475

3D printing. Turns out making little plastic shapes isn't all that useful. Seems obvious in hindsight.

My understanding is that 3d printing has greatly transformed product design work. You can do a lot of fast prototyping that used to take a lot of manual labour and turn around designs much faster. Then once the design is finalized you build your injection mold for mass production.

But I agree that desktop 3d printing certainly didn't transform much in the home.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#476

I don't know if this has a name, but... ICQ-like "searchable" instant messaging. Let me explain myself. In the late 90s, there was an IM client called ICQ. For starters, its UI was leaps and bounds ahead of anything to be seen in the next decade, and it had functionality like bots or groups, that has again become widespread a few years ago. But what I'm talking about is the fact that I could look for "female, age bet…

Ha. I met my wife on ICQ, looking for people to practice my German with.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#477

I'm disappointed none of the various constructed "universal" languages (like Esperanto) ever took off. Having a single common language spoken by everyone would be enormously useful. As it is, the closest we have is English, but it's a natural language and therefore complicated and difficult to learn.

yes, but the English spoken by most non-natives is actually something like an Esperanto. the pronunciation, vocabulary and grammar is almost normalized and an artificial dialect. i think English is a very good compromise. the only problem are French people and other communities who disdain English for patriotical, historical, or political reasons.

I think My Language is a good compromise. The only problem are not My Language speakers and other communities who disdain My Language for patriotic, historic or political reasons.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#478

The blockchain. A strange thing to say when Bitcoin is nearing $8k each, but I'm not interested in cryptocurrencies as an abstract store of value based on the fever of the market. By now, however, I really thought someone would have found a use for the blockchain as the underpinning of some kind of new app or tech that would be able to create real value for bitcoin or whichever crypto they built it on. However, we ju…

Check out FunFair - a well thought out/executed blockchain gambling system.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#479

I'm disappointed none of the various constructed "universal" languages (like Esperanto) ever took off. Having a single common language spoken by everyone would be enormously useful. As it is, the closest we have is English, but it's a natural language and therefore complicated and difficult to learn.

yes, but the English spoken by most non-natives is actually something like an Esperanto. the pronunciation, vocabulary and grammar is almost normalized and an artificial dialect. i think English is a very good compromise. the only problem are French people and other communities who disdain English for patriotical, historical, or political reasons.

And it's called "airport english"

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#480

The converse is possibly even more interesting: what tech were you convinced would fail but took the world by storm?

Instagram. Sharing pictures and comenting on them, like Fotolog.com in the early 2000s, but more closed (it didn't want you to browse photos on mobile without the app)... yeah, revolutionary.

Flickr should have owned the simple sharing of pictures in a social network because ... they already had one. I'd consider that the biggest, most damning failure of Yahoo!'s management that they didn't immediately devote huge resources to countering Instagram when it appeared.
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