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Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

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Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#71

The converse is possibly even more interesting: what tech were you convinced would fail but took the world by storm?

Bitcoin.

I knew about Bitcoin quite early, but I was convinced the government would shut it down. I am mystified as to why they didn't.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#72

I thought this was going to be 'The VR Thread.' I still don't entirely understand why virtual reality didn't really catch on. I think there were some very poor business decisions by Facebook which were treating it as a success before it had even launched -- trying to ring-fence a platform, both hardware and software, whose early demographic is going to be entirely high information users seems a very questionable deci…

Ditto on presence.

I bought a Vive and it's been... interesting. I actually haven't touched any games in months, but I still break it out every few weeks to prototype something in Unity/Unreal. Also, I've been using Google Blocks a ton to create lowpoly models for use in games.

I think the tech is way too compelling to go away anytime soon, but it's obviously not the splash hit that Facebook/etc predicted it would be.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#73

I'm not sure I expected it to take the world "by storm", but I expected more from Google Wave. It was a great concept, by a major company, but it was too slow on release and the rollout killed it. In retrospect, it probably wouldn't have lasted anyways. Google was in the process of minimizing their federated communication services by that point, and that was another major selling point of Google Wave's initial propos…

My primary recollection of Wave was that it ran really slowly on the browsers and computers I had at the time, which also wouldn't have helped.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#74
post #41

In the '90s I was convinced that basically everything with a name attached to it was going to be built around PowerPC and MIPS processors. When StrongARM went to Intel, I figured ARM was basically dead outside of controller/coprocessor/offload applications and expected Pentium II/III to suffer a similar fate to Pentium Pro.

RISC-V is a derivative of MIPS heritage and there's still a chance it will take the world by storm...

I thought RISC (Berkeley) and MIPS (Stanford) were originally rival projects, with RISC being more closely related to SPARC. I wasn't there, though.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Curious, aren't phones and tablets essentially just smaller personal computers?

As kobeya points out https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15719171 they are not the same thing they do less; the software is restricted, especially on iOS, there are _rules_ set out by the manufacturer about what is acceptable in software on the platform, both thematically and functionally. An app generally can't interfere with other apps, it can't be a dope wars style game about drugs; there are a lot more caveats,…

The bigger difference, to me, isn't so much that the walled-garden ecosystems restrict a phone/tablet's use as a general-purpose computer, than the form factors and interfaces of the device being appropriate for different forms of content creation, manipulation and consumption.

Phones and tablets are great for consuming certain types of content, and having a portable camera with networking has enabled a lot of content creation. But a phone isn't a great device for doing something like long-form writing.

Re: Ask HN: What tech were you convinced would take the world by storm but didn't?

#78

Kinect - such a human interface that doesn't require direct integration with hardware or technical knowledge or buttons, and a lot of fun in the games I played. But it failed.

Maybe the product failed, but the technology I'll argue it did not

Classic Microsoft. See the Windows Phone as well.
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