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Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

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Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#91
post #90
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm curious about your opinion here. I haven't seen this idea that countries shouldn't try to influence each other's politics until last Fall. Not saying the idea wasn't out there, just never encountered it. I've seen plenty of dissatisfaction with things like American or Russian propaganda, but never anyone saying that it shouldn't be allowed at all. So what would a world in which countries don't influence each othe…

I think it's not so much the fact of influence, as it was the nature of it. If, say, RT runs propaganda pieces in favor of candidate X, and against candidate Y, that's fine, because everybody knows that it is Russian propaganda. They can factor that knowledge into their decision making accordingly (and it doesn't need to be negative - e.g. someone who is interested in warmer relations with Russia, for whatever reason…

But why is it that when Russia engages in covert foreign propaganda, it's bad, but when the US does it it's normal or expected and no one complains? Are you suggesting the US and other countries don't use blatantly, knowingly false propaganda as well?

Of course, from a political standpoint Russia's government needs to be penalized by the US's government. And of course, if there's any evidence of collusion between US politicians and the Russian government, that needs to be investigated.

But why should Russia's government be viewed as particularly monstrous for doing what the US and probably dozens of other nations do?

The actual monstrous stuff is the allegations of Putin murdering journalists and oppressing political enemies, though of course there's no smoking gun for many of those allegations (or at least the murder ones).

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#92
post #73
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe the number of voters in key districts needed to swing the electoral college to Clinton was in the tens of thousands. If it was targeted perfectly (which of course is impossible), that's almost two dollars a person that needed to be influenced. How many Facebook ads impressions does that buy per person? While I think it's unlikely that anyone could have accurately targeted to that degree, it does put into pe…

Did you change your vote based on memes or fake news? So far, everyone I've asked has told me that they didn't. I can't find one person who admits they were influenced by memes or the click bait articles. I'm sure a few people did have their views changed by them, but I suspect the number was vanishingly small. It's nice to find an easy reason and shuffle the blame elsewhere, but I think the election results can be s…

Well someone changed their vote based on news, right? From a source they trusted. But it wasn't fake news, it was real. Fake news is what they used to read back before they were enlightened.

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#93
post #24

Seems right out of Foundations of Geopolitics [1]. > Russia should use its special services within the borders of the United States to fuel instability and separatism, for instance, provoke "Afro-American racists". Russia should "introduce geopolitical disorder into internal American activity, encouraging all kinds of separatism and ethnic, social and racial conflicts, actively supporting all dissident movements – ex…

Somewhat tangential, but does anyone know why Russia likes the word "geopolitics" so much? Does it mirror a Russian word with a similar meaning? In my experience, it's used so much by Russian propaganda sources and so rarely elsewhere that it serves as a good fingerprint of the Kremlin's influence. If someone uses it, I know there's a good chance that either they're Russian (and read Russian news) or that they read/w…

The Russian word is nearly the same - "geopolitika".

It does seem to have been popularized by Dugin and other modern Eurasianists: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurasianism

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#94
post #47

I find it hard to believe anyone susceptible to having opinions on BLM or Muslims would be measurably influenced by an ad on facebook. Maybe that's why they only spent 100K. A similar op by Western intelligence services would cost what... maybe 10 million? 100K in ads, 9.9 million for contractors and mid level management bureaucrats.

It's not about changing anyone's opinion. It's about feeding the outrage, pushing all the right buttons, to make the person as heavily engaged as possible - to show up at rallies, for example, and ultimately, to turn up at the voting booth.

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#95
post #73
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe the number of voters in key districts needed to swing the electoral college to Clinton was in the tens of thousands. If it was targeted perfectly (which of course is impossible), that's almost two dollars a person that needed to be influenced. How many Facebook ads impressions does that buy per person? While I think it's unlikely that anyone could have accurately targeted to that degree, it does put into pe…

Did you change your vote based on memes or fake news? So far, everyone I've asked has told me that they didn't. I can't find one person who admits they were influenced by memes or the click bait articles. I'm sure a few people did have their views changed by them, but I suspect the number was vanishingly small. It's nice to find an easy reason and shuffle the blame elsewhere, but I think the election results can be s…

> Did you change your vote based on memes or fake news?

No, but I'm not in a swing state, nor was I close to undecided.

> So far, everyone I've asked has told me that they didn't. I can't find one person who admits they were influenced by memes or the click bait articles.

That's not surprising. Do you know which stories you saw were fake? Are you sure you know them all? Does it matter that you intellectually know now that some might have been fake, or is the emotional response to them originally still present? How many people that were influenced are unconsciously using self self justification[1] to think they were unaffected (I'm sure we all want to think our news sources were unaffected)?

> Really, ask around. I've tried all sorts of variations on the question, and wasn't usually as blunt as I was when I asked you. It's not even really gerrymandering, at least for POTUS. Those are pretty straight districts.

I think all you can say from that is that you were self-selecting for people that think they were targeted and influenced by fake news, and by people self reporting, which is known to be a horrible way to get accurate data from people.[2] Additionally, unless you travel quite a bit and attempt to ask this question of a wide subset of people, you might find that your area is not a targeted population. Even if oyu did travel a lot to get an accurate subset of the population, and even if you get get perfectly accurate self reported answers, you would have to ask 70 people in a perfectly representative sample of those that voted to have a better than even chance of finding someone answering affirmative if it change the voted of 1 million people, and that's far more than actually needed to be influenced. Thus, I'm not entirely convinced be some ad-hoc surveying unless you put some real time and effort into it and are significantly underplaying that.

> No, we are pretty much entirely responsible for our election results. ... If it helps, I did not vote for the winning candidate.

I'm not making some case that this did change anything. I'm just trying to express that there's a lot of ways it could have, and it's not very simple to tease out the how or the affects that resulted. This isn't a Democrat/Republican or Trump/Anti-Trump thing to me, this is about the future of democracy, free-will, and how to navigate in a future where trustworthy information so much harder to come by (not that it was perfect before).

At this point, I look to CNN for the general politics headlines (which I'm under the impression is (was?) one of the less biased organizations, but I pull up Fox News' website occasionally to see the other take on the news (and what is and isn't being considered a story on each). I tried Breitbart the same way. Once. The extreme pandering and fear-mongering was hard to stomach. I'm disheartened by what I see as cheap shots at and purposefully disingenuous interpretations of Trump, and this comes as someone who is definitely not a fan of that man. I just think it's slowly eroding my trust to see the bias exposed occasionally (and in obvious and petty ways). Put simply, I recognize that pandering as well, and am left wondering if this is the best we've got right now?

To revisit your first question, no, I didn't change my vote, but maybe it did nudge my opinion of people, or of their personalities. At this point, I don't even remember everything I read during election season. I'm sure it affected my emotional base response as I took in more input though, so who's to say how much I was affected?

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-justification

2: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-report_study#Disadvantage...

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#96
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe the number of voters in key districts needed to swing the electoral college to Clinton was in the tens of thousands. If it was targeted perfectly (which of course is impossible), that's almost two dollars a person that needed to be influenced. How many Facebook ads impressions does that buy per person? While I think it's unlikely that anyone could have accurately targeted to that degree, it does put into pe…

Not impossible if the voter registration data from 21 states was used for targeting. https://www.apnews.com/cb8a753a9b0948589cc372a3c037a567

I was only noting that perfect targeting was impossible. By perfect targeting I meant that it was only shown to those that would need to be flipped to change the result, so some 50k people in specific districts, and only those that would actually flip. That's of course impossible, but was just meant to establish a bound.

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#97
post #95
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did you change your vote based on memes or fake news? So far, everyone I've asked has told me that they didn't. I can't find one person who admits they were influenced by memes or the click bait articles. I'm sure a few people did have their views changed by them, but I suspect the number was vanishingly small. It's nice to find an easy reason and shuffle the blame elsewhere, but I think the election results can be s…

> Did you change your vote based on memes or fake news? No, but I'm not in a swing state, nor was I close to undecided. > So far, everyone I've asked has told me that they didn't. I can't find one person who admits they were influenced by memes or the click bait articles. That's not surprising. Do you know which stories you saw were fake? Are you sure you know them all? Does it matter that you intellectually know now…

Oh, it's hardly scientific and only useful for speculation. I'm well aware of the inherent biases, though I have tried to ask people from every persuasion.

I don't think many changed their vote based on the propaganda. I strongly suspect that the dishonest media increased the resolve of those already going to vote Ina certain direction.

It wasn't exclusive to one side, though we're discussing the external influence. I saw quotes taken out of context and wild, untrue, accusations made by the internal media as well.

Now, as for me?

I can tell you that I'm 100% certain I was not influenced by the media - at all.

Really...

I voted Green. I didn't want Stein to win, no. No, she's insane. I voted for her because the Green Party needed a certain number of votes to remain on the ballot, as opposed to write-in, and to get matching funding. I voted Green because I want to encourage third party candidates to run in my State. I've held this position for years. In fact, I'm nearly sixty and I've only voted for one major party presidential candidate, ever.

It was also mathematically impossible for my vote to change the outcome. If every single third party voter had voted, in my entire Statem had voted for one candidate or the other, it would have not changed the outcome one iota.

On the other hand, Green is automatically eligible, assuming enough signatures, to be on the next ballot and to get some matching funding - though that applies only to local candidates.

So, the narrative and rhetoric changed my vote exactly zero. It's unlikely to change any of my future votes.

Either way, I'm still not sure that it had any meaningful effect. I do wish there were a way to find this out scientifically, but I'm not sure how we can rid the system of bias.

I get to claim some imperviousness to it all. I've never had anyone who represented my ideals as a serious candidate or elected at the national level. I default to third party, even if just to give encouragement. If third party isn't in the ballot, I research to see who is the write-in candidate. Man, I have voted for some lunatics over the years. I mean that, too. I've voted for people who probably shouldn't even be the dog catcher. But, at least I'm voting for something,

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#98

This started as "Russia hacked the election" and now we are talking about Russia taking out ads in support of BLM claiming its a psyop? At what point do people just accept the fact that Trump won a democratic election, racists voting or not. The actual campaigns took out billions of $ in ads and campaign ads are never honest, accurate or logical. Who cares about $100k in Russian ads?

> At what point do people just accept the fact that Trump won a democratic election, Even if everything was above board, at best Trump won exactly because of anti-democratic features of the US Presidential election system. So, in no case did Trump “win a democratic election”.

That's not fair. If Trump didn't win a democratic election, then neither did Obama, Bush, Clinton or Washington. He apparently won according to the rules that are established. The only question is, did he really win according to the established rules, or did he take advantage of foreign power?

If an electoral college upset is undemocratic, then there probably aren't any democracies around at all. For instance, there's the Bill of Rights which allows dead people to collude with about a dozen people appointed to lifelong roles to decide what laws you can't bring about. If we continue in this way, we reach the conclusion that "democracy" is a word with no useful significance. So do you propose some other way to describe countries like the US and Canada, and to distinguish them from countries like China and Saudi Arabia?

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#99
post #6

Main questions and comments that strike me when I see the $100,000 amount is: With Clinton spending $141.7 million and Trump spending $58.8 million on advertising, does that miniscule amount even matter? What was even the CTR with those advertisements? Is there even anything wrong with any country or person(s) doing that or trying to do that since we already have Super PACs and lobbyists? I have more thoughts that ar…

> Is there even anything wrong with any country It's illegal? But you ask good questions.

Is it actually illegal for the actual Russian government to buy advertising on Facebook/Google linking to influential material? Not being condescending but actually asking this. Facebook can easily terminate the ads but does the US gov’t have this as illegal?

Re: Russia used Facebook ads to exploit divisions over Black Lives Matter, Muslims

#100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> At what point do people just accept the fact that Trump won a democratic election, Even if everything was above board, at best Trump won exactly because of anti-democratic features of the US Presidential election system. So, in no case did Trump “win a democratic election”.

That's not fair. If Trump didn't win a democratic election, then neither did Obama, Bush, Clinton or Washington. He apparently won according to the rules that are established. The only question is, did he really win according to the established rules, or did he take advantage of foreign power? If an electoral college upset is undemocratic, then there probably aren't any democracies around at all. For instance, there'…

> That's not fair.

It's a simple fact that Trump won directly and solely due to anti-democratic features of the US Presidential election system.

> If Trump didn't win a democratic election, then neither did Obama, Bush, Clinton or Washington.

Three of those did not win solely and directly due to anti-democratic features of the then-current system, so while, yes, you could construct standards by which none of them won a “democratic” election, those aren't the standards at issue.

> He apparently won according to the rules that are established.

And, if so, he won a legal election. “Legal” and “democratic” are not the same thing. There are plenty of leaders who have won election under the rules established at the time who no one would argue won a democratic election (for a current and fairly non-controversial example, Pope Francis.)

> The only question is, did he really win according to the established rules, or did he take advantage of foreign power?

That's not only not the only question, but it's not even a question. Whether Trump (potentially illegally) collided with foreign actors in regard to the election is one of the questions that exists, but even if he did, he was unmistakably legally elected: there is no question that he was a Constitutionally-qualified candidate, that the majority of the state-level electors cast ballots for him, and that the Congress accepted, counted, and ratified that result, which is the entirety of what it takes to win by the established rules.

While there are legal questions around Trump and his campaign and administration, the Constitutional validity of his election is not among them.

The questions that concern legitimacy and potential impeachment, while they may be informed by investigation of the legal issues, are ultimately more nuanced and less prior-rule-bound issues of what people are willing to accept.

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