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China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

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Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#91
post #27

So the PBOC is taking further steps to plug the leak. Not unexpected. China has exchange controls. Internal yuan cannot be easily converted to euros or dollars. There are limits on capital outflows. The controls are leaky; the classic leak is to send all your relatives to Hong Kong loaded up with the maximum allowed amount of yuan in cash. The current limit is about $50K/year/person. Small leaks are thus tolerated. B…

bitcoin was fine and even supported by PBOC to certain degrees until those numerous ICO scams started.

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> China has exchange controls Bitcoin is irrelevant, compared to still-tolerated and massively-more voluminous alternatives, for capital controls. This is a red herring. Bitcoin was fine until ICO promoters started pilfering from the masses. In any case, China is currently loosening its capital controls [1]. This isn’t a problem that can be constrained to China. China is just reacting first. The rebranding of this ac…

ICOs are a perfectly valid way to raise money. In fact, as long as you don't raise more than the cap specified by Reg CF ($1,070,000), it's no different than crowdfunding. I predict that future startups will probably have a small ICO that is covered under Reg CF, and then a bigger token sale under Reg A.

Why would someone do that? Seems like a solution in search of a problem.

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#93
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not such a strong distinction, I think. I mean, "legally" and "illegally" are defined by the State. And there's plenty opportunity for selective/surprise enforcement.

What? They're completely different things.

In many places, it all depends on who you are, and who you know.

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For a totalitarian country, yes.

In almost any category conceivable (police presence on the streets, incarceration weights, bureaucratic oversight), the PRC is significantly more libertarian than the US. It is true that the CIA has invested a tremendous amount of energy and money into political issues designed to delegitimize the CCP -- Tibet, Falun Gong, and Taiwan. Liberalizing speech around these topics would likely be more efficient counterstrat…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Firewall

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a 24/7 market; the price responds a lot faster than other markets. So looking at day-over-day price isn't a good gauge. Additionally, by the time a story is known at large, it's usually been known for a bit among those who follow Bitcoin, so you'll see it already priced in.

> It's a 24/7 market; the price responds a lot faster than other markets Weighted by volume or capital flow, most markets are 24/7.

Could you explain what this statement means?

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#96
post #72
post #27

So the PBOC is taking further steps to plug the leak. Not unexpected. China has exchange controls. Internal yuan cannot be easily converted to euros or dollars. There are limits on capital outflows. The controls are leaky; the classic leak is to send all your relatives to Hong Kong loaded up with the maximum allowed amount of yuan in cash. The current limit is about $50K/year/person. Small leaks are thus tolerated. B…

The situation is very similar in India. You can't just convert INR to USD freely. There's a limit of $250,000 per person per year. I don't know if anyone mines bitcoins in India (because of horrendously expensive power), but if they did, they'll be subject to similar scrutiny.

Just pointing it out... you don't need to mine the coins in the country to assist Indians (or anyone) in converting their currency to USD beyond the normal limits. So the price of power to mine the coins doesn't really have much to do with it.

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#97
Curious if this will have an impact on "liquid' domain names (3 letter .com domains). They spiked a few years back as a way to get money out of China, but slowed recently due to bitcoin being a better option.

Would be interesting to see if that activity picks back up.

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#98
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not such a strong distinction, I think. I mean, "legally" and "illegally" are defined by the State. And there's plenty opportunity for selective/surprise enforcement.

Yeah but that's what laundering is. Making money that would be designated dirty by the state look clean. This is more of just hiding it outright, I think?

Well, domestic capital leaving China is largely illegal. So circumventing laws through Bitcoin is arguably money laundering. And indeed, US laws against money laundering apply regardless of the source.

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#99
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a 24/7 market; the price responds a lot faster than other markets. So looking at day-over-day price isn't a good gauge. Additionally, by the time a story is known at large, it's usually been known for a bit among those who follow Bitcoin, so you'll see it already priced in.

Yes. I guesstimate that the China exchange and miner crackdown has been priced in for weeks, if not months.

It’s only priced in if everyone knows about it. In this case most of the volume was clearly not aware.

Re: China Bans Bitcoin Executives from Leaving Country, Miners “Preparing for Worst”

#100
post #79
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes there has recently been : - promise to block all VPN services from accessing blocked website - law to hold chat group owners responsible to what the members say (controverse political talk or gambling for example can lead to arrests) - most of casual barbecue that were held in the streets last summer have been forced to close this year in my area - tightening and more scrutinity on visa applications for foreigner…

This a meaningless list of random things. Come to India and I can give you a list 10 times this size which will change every 10 days.

So in other words... another meaningless list of random transient things?
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