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Monopoly Without a Monopolist: An Economic Analysis of the Bitcoin System [pdf]

columbia.edu

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Re: Monopoly Without a Monopolist: An Economic Analysis of the Bitcoin System [pdf]

#61
post #5

That is a very 2015 view - now days people don't buy bitcoin for its use in transactions, they buy bitcoin because it keeps going up. The more it goes up the less people are likely to spend it. We don't need many miners if people never spend it. Here is one high profile example http://avc.com/2017/08/store-of-value-vs-payment-system/ (of course when it starts to go back to zero people will all try to sell and the inf…

«people don't buy bitcoin for its use in transactions»

Data shows otherwise. Bitcoin speculators typically leave the coins in an exchange wallet (not sufficiently technically savvy or motivated to run their own wallet). Doing so does not create a transaction on the blockchain, therefore the transaction rate (https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions?timespan=all&d...) reflects mostly non-investment-related transactions, and it is sharply increasing.

«The more it goes up the less people are likely to spend it.»

Historically, transaction processors like BitPay have noticed precisely the opposite. I guess people are excited to spend their newfound fortune when BTC goes up? I observe this behavior on myself: I cash out and spend more bitcoins whenever the value is going up (Jun 2011, Nov 2013, today, etc)

Re: Monopoly Without a Monopolist: An Economic Analysis of the Bitcoin System [pdf]

#62
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think this is mostly correct, but I see it a bit differently. This initial wave of speculation is slowly building up network utility. Use cases like micro-transactions or Web payments become more and more viable as the network size grows. Eventually enough people own Bitcoin that it makes sense for it to be baked into a browser for micropayments, and for it to be used in lieu of Venmo/PayPal. Speculation is the boo…

I don't need to own bitcoin to carry out a transaction with it for longer then a few minutes. With a global cap of soon to be 28 transactions a second Bitcoin will never be competitive with Visa.

«global cap of soon to be 28 transactions a second Bitcoin»

Bitcoin competes more against Western Union than against Visa. WU does only 31 transactions per second, perfectly within range of Bitcoin's capabilities (https://corporate.westernunion.com/annual-report/highlights....)

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