Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
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Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
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Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#2Not on their radar, or their slides at least: Natural Language Processing based rule-based brute-force artificial intelligence (that could be augmented through sensors/motors that allow interaction with the external world). A Vulcan-like (Star Trek) AI, what do you think? Might be easier to simulate the entire brain, on the other hand it might be doable and bridge the gap to general AI.
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#3I think a very interesting aspect of general AI is that while an incredibly complex technology, it is not unrealistic that it could be created for the first time in someone's home office. Unlike many other earth changing technologies there is nothing that a massive corporation has that a home tinkerer does not (besides the obvious of money and many engineers).
With the rise of cloud computing and open source; everything I need I have instant access too, all that's lacking is the core software which can be written (of course not a trivial task).
While unlikely, it is still quite amazing that in a few years an AI could awaken 3 doors down at my neighbor Bob's house. No idea what happens after that, hopefully Bob was a fan of the 3 laws and has a couple more up his sleeve.
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#4I think a very interesting aspect of general AI is that while an incredibly complex technology, it is not unrealistic that it could be created for the first time in someone's home office. Unlike many other earth changing technologies there is nothing that a massive corporation has that a home tinkerer does not (besides the obvious of money and many engineers). With the rise of cloud computing and open source; everyth…
Cloud computing will not help home tinkerer much if you need 100K/hour worth of compute to run an experiment.
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#5I feel that those who argue that any approach other than running human brain emulations and then reverse engineering them or speculatively modifying them is the most likely way to get to AGI has a pretty steep hill to climb in order to justify that point of view.
Nothing else that is going on now or even on the agenda or even foreseeable offers a plausible, definitive plan to get to AGI. Whereas brain emulation is clearly going to achieve that goal fairly shortly after the maps are good enough and the computational capacity large enough, and the following experimentation is a far more reliable way to determine the underpinnings of intelligence than present efforts at de novo construction.
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#6I think a very interesting aspect of general AI is that while an incredibly complex technology, it is not unrealistic that it could be created for the first time in someone's home office. Unlike many other earth changing technologies there is nothing that a massive corporation has that a home tinkerer does not (besides the obvious of money and many engineers). With the rise of cloud computing and open source; everyth…
[X] Open Source Tools
[ ] Massive Data Sets
[ ] $Millions in Computing Resources
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#7That was really interesting.
I'm interested why he's so pessimistic about the simulating a brain approach. Yes it's the boring and obvious approach but it also seems the most direct.
Also found this quote interesting
> Might have to make it illegal to evolve AI strains or an upper bound of computation per person and closely track all computational resources on earth.
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#8Not on their radar, or their slides at least: Natural Language Processing based rule-based brute-force artificial intelligence (that could be augmented through sensors/motors that allow interaction with the external world). A Vulcan-like (Star Trek) AI, what do you think? Might be easier to simulate the entire brain, on the other hand it might be doable and bridge the gap to general AI.
It's called the self driving car - an AI that interacts with the world. It will be a launching pad to other AI agents.
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#9I feel that those who argue that any approach other than running human brain emulations and then reverse engineering them or speculatively modifying them is the most likely way to get to AGI has a pretty steep hill to climb in order to justify that point of view. Nothing else that is going on now or even on the agenda or even foreseeable offers a plausible, definitive plan to get to AGI. Whereas brain emulation is cl…
I disagree. It's too expensive to run a low level brain sim. In the meantime deep learning based AI achieved superhuman or close to human results in many tasks, such as image recognition, voice recognition, translation, car driving and Go.
The AGI will be a reinforcement learning agent, as it will need to be able to perceive and act in the physical world. Thus the path to AGI is the path of RL. The most essential piece in RL will be the development of environment simulators. AlphaGo was a trivial simulator - simple rules in a simple world - but we need real world simulators in order for the AI agents to learn to act. Fortunately simulation is almost the same as gaming and there is huge interest in it both for humans and AI, so it will be developed fast.
So instead of simulating the brain, simulate the world (imperfectly) and run deep neural net based RL to learn to act on top of it.
Re: Where will artificial general intelligence come from?
#10When he says "artificial life", is he referring to reinforcement learning?