Since we're finally getting some refutations to Self-Driving Hype, let me drop some quotes here:
“I tell adult audiences not to expect it in their lifetimes. And I say the same thing to students”
"Merely dealing with lighting conditions, weather conditions, and traffic conditions is immensely complicated. The software requirements are extremely daunting. Nobody even has the ability to verify and validate the software. I estimate that the challenge of fully automated cars is 10 orders of magnitude more complicated than [fully automated] commercial aviation."
- Steve Shladover, transportation researcher at the University of California, Berkeley
http://www.automobilemag.com/news/the-hurdles-facing-autonom...
"With autonomous cars, you see these videos from Google and Uber showing a car driving around, but people have not taken it past 80 percent. It's one of those problems where it's easy to get to the first 80 percent, but it's incredibly difficult to solve the last 20 percent. If you have a good GPS, nicely marked roads like in California, and nice weather without snow or rain, it's actually not that hard. But guess what? To solve the real problem, for you or me to buy a car that can drive autonomously from point A to point B—it's not even close. There are fundamental problems that need to be solved."
- Herman Herman, director of the Carnegie-Mellon University Robotics Institute
https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/d7y49y/robotics-l...
"While I enthusiastically support the research, development, and testing of self-driving cars, as human limitations and the propensity for distraction are real threats on the road, I am decidedly less optimistic about what I perceive to be a rush to field systems that are absolutely not ready for widespread deployment, and certainly not ready for humans to be completely taken out of the driver’s seat."
- Mary Cummings, director of the Humans and Autonomy Laboratory at Duke
https://www.commerce.senate.gov/public/_cache/files/c85cb4ef... [pdf]
All quotes pulled from this article (which is really quite good and you should read it in full):
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2016/10/self-driving-cars-ho...