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SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

nytimes.com

121–130 of 303 posts

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe not right now, but I wouldn't ever underestimate Bezos. Musk and Bezos are both people I wouldn't bet against, but they're so drastically different in their styles. Musk is flashy, but gets shit done. Bezos knows how to get shit done quietly... and suddenly he's dominated and bought everything around you.

Amazon has a load of terrible products. Even their store is getting worse and worse. The fire phone was a complete flop. Amazon cloud drive and music are not at all at the same level as their competitors. Google Home is looking as though it's going to surpass the Echo. Amazon is successful because they are fine with taking losses, only just recently making a small amount of profit compared to their scale.

I think Amazon cloud is a mixed bag of excellent and terrible.

I love EC2 but not a big fan of their other more advanced services. I tried Azure, Digital Ocean, GCE... for IaaS and they just didn't have the same richness of features and flexibility as EC2.

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#122

The best thing Mr. Musk can do, in my humble opinion, is to never, ever take SpaceX public.

Why not do a limited IPO that ensures he retains control. Don't the people working for SpaceX deserve to have liquidity? Isn't it fair for the general public to have the ability to profit off of his epic feats?

> Isn't it fair for the general public to have the ability to profit off of his epic feats?

That's a very weird definition of fair. Why does the general public 'deserve' to profit off of his feats?

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#123
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Budget, as in expenditure per year no market value.

The budget is what the general voting public values NASA at for a given year, while the market cap of a firm is what the last sucker to buy a stock thinks it's valued at.

What the last buyer was willing to pay AND what the owners were not willing to sell for. What is the price America would be willing to sell NASA for? That's the market value.

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Amazon has a load of terrible products. Even their store is getting worse and worse. The fire phone was a complete flop. Amazon cloud drive and music are not at all at the same level as their competitors. Google Home is looking as though it's going to surpass the Echo. Amazon is successful because they are fine with taking losses, only just recently making a small amount of profit compared to their scale.

Amazon can fail a lot because money for private companies is a lot more expensive and harder to get than for public companies. Musk is playing on hard mode because he wants to retain control.

Musk claims he won't take SpaceX public because public investors have short attention spans and would require profit/return too soon. Because he wants goals set out further than the next quarter, he has kept the company in the hands of like minded investors.

That may just be bloviating on his part, but it does seem at least sensible on the surface.

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#126
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Whence this myth that Musk doesn't love money, just because he makes his money making cool tech? http://variety.com/gallery/elon-musk-buys-fifth-bel-air-home... http://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-mclaren-f1-hypercar... wrecked-it-2015-6

People feel practical businessmen are money-focused. They think folks who appear to "risk it all" are altruistic. Musk doesn't project the image of being practical. He claims to have almost gone broke when investing in Tesla/SpaceX, and now makes super-optimistic predictions: fully self driving cars in a year, and AGI in 2030-2040. To some, this sets him apart from the "money-focused" crowd. Yet, you can think of way…

Thanks, this was a really well-thought-out post.

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#127
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Whence this myth that Musk doesn't love money, just because he makes his money making cool tech? http://variety.com/gallery/elon-musk-buys-fifth-bel-air-home... http://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-mclaren-f1-hypercar... wrecked-it-2015-6

People feel practical businessmen are money-focused. They think folks who appear to "risk it all" are altruistic. Musk doesn't project the image of being practical. He claims to have almost gone broke when investing in Tesla/SpaceX, and now makes super-optimistic predictions: fully self driving cars in a year, and AGI in 2030-2040. To some, this sets him apart from the "money-focused" crowd. Yet, you can think of way…

So, he's actually saying those things (AI skepticism, or that some general AI would happen in 20 years) just to attract cheaper and younger AI people in his companies? Seems to me like he just actually believes in those things, as he put so much money in OpenAI that he could have invested in Tesla to make all those researchers work on his self driving (granted he took Karpathy recently, but there's still tons of highlevel researchers working at OpenAI)

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#128

Excellent news, even if the round is peculiarly undersized. First time I've seen them be so coy with the identity of the investor, too.

>> Excellent news, even if the round is peculiarly undersized. Yeah it smells like an attempt to increase their valuation, which this accomplishes. If they IPO those investors from a while back can cash out, but I wouldn't sell SpaceX at this point if I was able to own it. Unless there is some potential disaster we don't know about.

The coming disaster is Falcon Heavy.

They will need about 3-4 years before it is flying reliably.

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Amazon can fail a lot because money for private companies is a lot more expensive and harder to get than for public companies. Musk is playing on hard mode because he wants to retain control.

Musk claims he won't take SpaceX public because public investors have short attention spans and would require profit/return too soon. Because he wants goals set out further than the next quarter, he has kept the company in the hands of like minded investors. That may just be bloviating on his part, but it does seem at least sensible on the surface.

Dell voiced something similar when he took his namesake company private after years of being publicly traded.

Re: SpaceX Is Now One of the World’s Most Valuable Privately Held Companies

#130

I mean, SpaceX is great and all, but it's no Cargill or even in the same league as Cargill or other similar companies like Koch (which is #2 in the US): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cargill Revenue: US$109.6 billion (2017)[1] Net income: US$2.835 billion (2017)[1] Total assets: US$55.8 billion 25% of all United States grain exports 22% of the US domestic meat market

Also counting up the company value based on investor deals is weird in itself. Just because I buy 1% of a startup for $10k, doesn't mean I would buy 100% for $1m.
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