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Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (1999)

cia.gov

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Re: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (1999)

#4
This is from 1999. Meanwhile, IARPA now conducts studies where intelligence analysts look at various *INT layers of data stacked on top of eachother and cognitive modelers try to recreate the biases they demonstrate in the lab. See:

The Neural Basis of Decision-Making During Sensemaking: Implications for Human-System Interaction

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/278679336_The_Neura...

Re: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (1999)

#5
post #3

I once gifted a book I wrote about empirical measurement and stats to someone who turned out to be a CIA analyst instructor. She gave me a copy of this book in return. It was astonishing how well the ideas mapped.

What was the (name of) the book you gave?

Re: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (1999)

#6
post #5
post #3

I once gifted a book I wrote about empirical measurement and stats to someone who turned out to be a CIA analyst instructor. She gave me a copy of this book in return. It was astonishing how well the ideas mapped.

What was the (name of) the book you gave?

The Mature Optimization Handbook

Re: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (1999)

#8
post #6
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What was the (name of) the book you gave?

The Mature Optimization Handbook

I'm reeled in by the book's dedication:

"To Mom & Dad, who showed us how to use the power tools to take apart other power tools."

Re: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (1999)

#10
This is so cool. I'm an analyst at a tech company, I wish we had more structure used in our day to day analytical work. Too often we conduct satisfying analysis to inform decisions - the number and impact of the decisions we inform determines our success as an analyst. I would love bandwidth to approach a problem with no prior assumptions, but doing so takes too much time.

Any other resources like this that I might find interesting and impact the way I go about analytical work?

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