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If borders were open

economist.com

131–140 of 147 posts

Re: If borders were open

#131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Some would be but, judging from the past experience, the US can not deport illegals en masse. E.g. they do not even track visa overstays ATM [1] least somebody who entered the country illegally without any paper trace whatsoever. And don't forget the the post I've replied to is arguing for open borders so deportation becomes just a minor inconvenience of the government taking you to the border and you having to come…

> the US can not deport illegals en masse Are we unable to, or do we choose not to? It's not like we're lacking in transportation infrastructure or the ability to track who is or is not a citizen. In most cases we wouldn't even need to physically remove them. Just preventing non-citizens from working or collecting welfare should cause self-deportation. > they do not even track visa overstays ATM Is there some technic…

It is, of course, a political issue. The Federal government has little power inside the country (e.g. see how several states have open trade in drugs, which the USFG proclaimed illegal) and states, who hold most of the interior power, are very incentivised to have illegals since most of welfare comes from the Fed while the state's own power is determined chiefly by its population number so a state has a lot of upside and almost no downside by growing its population through illegal immigration.

I'd imagine, in a hypothetical timeline where the 14th amendment could be repelled, the political balance is very different from the current one and the laws enabling the current situation could be changed just as well. However in the real world even the 14th repeal is highly unlikely.

Re: If borders were open

#132
post #117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> then I'll be taxed to pay for them anyway. That's not "nothing". Taxed to pay them what. If you have a beef with welfare programs in the us, you should take it with the welfare programs. Foreigners never had a voice or a vote in terms of what qualified for such kinds of programs. > If the cultures are very different, and they come in huge numbers that refuse to assimilate, then I suffer dilution of mine. That's not…

> Foreigners never had a voice or a vote Indeed - and they should not be a beneficiary either. Do you for a moment believe that "New Deal" / "Great Society" laws would ever have passed, if under the understanding that the whole population of the Earth would be entitled to receive it? > This argument could be made verbatim ... that today are considered bigotry That does not make the argument erroneous, only un-PC.

> That does not make the argument erroneous, only un-PC.

It makes it heinous, because heinous things are said and done with that argument. "We shouldn't hire women, because they will affect the culture we have", etc.

Re: If borders were open

#133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> the US can not deport illegals en masse Are we unable to, or do we choose not to? It's not like we're lacking in transportation infrastructure or the ability to track who is or is not a citizen. In most cases we wouldn't even need to physically remove them. Just preventing non-citizens from working or collecting welfare should cause self-deportation. > they do not even track visa overstays ATM Is there some technic…

It is, of course, a political issue. The Federal government has little power inside the country (e.g. see how several states have open trade in drugs, which the USFG proclaimed illegal) and states, who hold most of the interior power, are very incentivised to have illegals since most of welfare comes from the Fed while the state's own power is determined chiefly by its population number so a state has a lot of upside…

> The Federal government has little power inside the country

The Fed has the final say on every matter. Read the supremacy clause (article 6, clause 2, in the constitution). States that say "weed is legal" are only "getting away" with that because enforcement of the federal law on that matter is unpopular and probably a waste of time. It's a similar case with "sanctuary cities", although ICE is starting to operate in those.

Beyond just technical authority granted by the constitution, you have to remember that the Fed controls around a third of state budgets through various forms of federal aid, meaning they can withhold funding... See Kate's Law for an example of that.

Re: If borders were open

#134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is, of course, a political issue. The Federal government has little power inside the country (e.g. see how several states have open trade in drugs, which the USFG proclaimed illegal) and states, who hold most of the interior power, are very incentivised to have illegals since most of welfare comes from the Fed while the state's own power is determined chiefly by its population number so a state has a lot of upside…

> The Federal government has little power inside the country The Fed has the final say on every matter. Read the supremacy clause (article 6, clause 2, in the constitution). States that say "weed is legal" are only "getting away" with that because enforcement of the federal law on that matter is unpopular and probably a waste of time. It's a similar case with "sanctuary cities", although ICE is starting to operate in…

>The Fed has the final say on every matter.

Not on every matter but the matter which is purview of the Fed. I.e. on the matters, which the Constitution gives to the Fed. It's been stretched quite far through the commerce clause but at the end the Fed's interior power is limited by design.

Practically it does not matter since the Fed has to rely on the states to enforce the law. So even with the immigration, which is in purview of Fed, we have 10s of millions of illegals (the exact number is not even known, think about it for a second) still in the country because states prevent the enforcement.

>Beyond just technical authority granted by the constitution, you have to remember that the Fed controls around a third of state budgets through various forms of federal aid, meaning they can withhold funding... See Kate's Law for an example of that.

Exactly. See if it will ever pass. And if it passed - see a multi-decade legal battle waged by states to kill it in courts.

The only practical solution I see is to shift welfare to the state level. Then the states will become interested not only in the quantity but also the quality of their population. Though the states are going to fight it even harder than the direct immigration enforcement IMHO.

Re: If borders were open

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> In the 1800's and early 1900's, immigration was open and considered nowadays to be one of the great processes that got america to be what it is. That is incorrect. Before the Hart-Celler act in 1965, immigration was restricted to European countries with a quota system based on national origin. We even had health checks and required residency of up to 14 years before citizenship was granted (changed to 5 years with…

This is an interesting data point! It seems there was a law passed in the 20's that originated this, reversal/change in 65. The original law had no quotas for latin american or bilateral countries or professionals. This would imply that it wasnt the raise of welfare what caused the increased restrictions of immigration, historically. I should devote more time to studying the american history of immigration to support…

> It seems there was a law passed in the 20's that originated this, reversal/change in 65.

Yeah, the Emergency Quota Act in 1921 and Immigration Act of 1924 introduced the quota system. However, laws like the Chinese Exclusion Act in 1882 responded demographic changes well before a formal quota system. And, of course, citizenship was restricted to free white people of good character, until the Naturalization Act of 1870 and the 14th amendment in 1868. So, without a welfare system or possibility of citizenship there was little incentive for non-whites to try to come to America.

> This would imply that it wasn't the [rise] of welfare what caused the increased restrictions of immigration

It certainly wasn't only welfare. We had immigration and citizenship laws well before the start of a welfare system in the 1930's. For example, early Chinese immigration was driven by low-skill railway construction and mining jobs. So their exclusion was because they drove down wages and were culturally incompatible.

I would say that immigration law has become significantly more complicated as it is opened up to as many people as possible. However, I don't think it gets more restrictive than "free white people of good character"... If that rule were applied today, less than a tenth of the world population would be eligible.

Re: If borders were open

#136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You're special pleading for those fleeing from war-torn countries I wasnt talking about refugees at all until you mentioned it and i tried to answer. If you wish we can remove them altogether from the general case of immigration policy. > If you want to make an utilitarian argument Im not making a utilitarian argument, I'm explaining that the tax-cost can be a very cost-effective tax investment for the state, so it…

> Not as cost-effective as simply picking the cherries from other countries. Plus, the risk is lower. That's my point. If you appeal to economics (or utility, whatever), follow through. The absolute gain is more important that the rate of return. If you only allow 1 single person to immigrate into a country, of course, that person will have the greatest return in taxes. He will not need any help of any kind and will…

> This is a thinking that comes from the economic class you are in.

I'm not in an economics class, I'm following local developments.

> If they had zero opportunity in x country, they wouldnt go to x country.

That's a total fallacy. The majority people arriving here initially knew next to nothing about Germany. They were promised by their traffickers all kinds of nonsense, like that they would get a free house and a car. It took a while for the message to spread that it ain't all cotton candy over here. Some still had false beliefs, because people like to believe comfortable lies. Either way, if they come here they get refugee benefits, which is better here than in most other EU countries. It's not an opportunity in my sense, it's a handout.

> Any quota or restriction is meant to be protectionist. Trump didnt put the quotas.

I'm not talking about quotas. I'm talking about choosing who you let in. I'm not arguing for the exact same system that the US has, so stop pointing out its flaws. If we set the requirement that everyone would need to have at least basic literacy and English skills, a huge amount of the people coming in right now wouldn't be allowed. That would still be way more people than we actually need.

> It's important to call it oppression because it what it is: it's negative, it's the application of force to harm someone. If any person is in favor of such measures, I will call them on that, that they are advocating for harming other people, maybe to their own benefit.

Again, who cares? You're not convincing anybody that needs convincing.

You keep arguing in terms of idealizations (or outliers, like San Francisco). Your argument may make sense there, it won't win you anything in the real world. In the real world, you have to deal with real people. Even if the economic argument makes sense, it's a long-term development. Do you believe people want cheaper products later or keep their job now? If they lose their jobs now, they can't just retrain in a heartbeat to become something else, especially not here in Germany. They'll be unemployed, which is culturally a source of shame.

As for the backlash: We've had hundreds of arson attacks against refugee housing and we've had a right-wing populist party come out of nowhere and gain 10% in the elections. Again, well over 95% of refugees have no jobs and little job prospects, even after being here for over a year. How many years will it take, according to your calculations?

The German population is also assuming that these refugees will leave eventually, not stay. Of course, the same was assumed about the Turkish workers coming in in the sixties (they were referred to as "guest workers"). Most of them stayed, now Germany is 5% Turkish-Germans, which are perceived as neither "truly German" not "truly Turkish" by their respective peoples. Their level of success in this society is well below average, which tells you that the level of acceptance isn't as high as people would openly admit to.

If it wasn't for all the WW2 guilt, people would be very open about not wanting Germany to become a ethnic melting pot, like the US. Compare this with countries like Poland or Hungary, where the idea of defending ethnic homogeneity is part and parcel of mainstream politics. As WW2 becomes more of a distant past, the same ideas may take hold here as well.

As for the homeless, I'll just mention that 16 homeless people were murdered in Germany in 2016 alone, which is (per capita) more than in the US (tendency: rising). One of them has been set on fire, just for "fun". He burned to death.

http://www.faz.net/aktuell/gesellschaft/kriminalitaet/gewalt...

Re: If borders were open

#137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The Federal government has little power inside the country The Fed has the final say on every matter. Read the supremacy clause (article 6, clause 2, in the constitution). States that say "weed is legal" are only "getting away" with that because enforcement of the federal law on that matter is unpopular and probably a waste of time. It's a similar case with "sanctuary cities", although ICE is starting to operate in…

>The Fed has the final say on every matter. Not on every matter but the matter which is purview of the Fed. I.e. on the matters, which the Constitution gives to the Fed. It's been stretched quite far through the commerce clause but at the end the Fed's interior power is limited by design. Practically it does not matter since the Fed has to rely on the states to enforce the law. So even with the immigration, which is…

> It's been stretched quite far through the commerce clause...

Yeah, and there's no limit on how far it can be stretched. States only have control over what the Fed isn't already in charge of.

> Practically it does not matter since the Fed has to rely on the states to enforce the law.

What? ICE and Homeland Security are federal programs. Cooperation with local authorities is great, but state authorities aren't the ones removing people from the country.

> Exactly. See if it will ever pass.

I don't know enough to say what states can do to demand funding through the court system, but it passed in the House.

> The only practical solution I see is to shift welfare to the state level.

I'm sure that would be a good start, since those costs would be reflected in, and limited by, state-level taxes. However, that alone doesn't deal with people hiring illegals and the impact that has on the wages of citizens, or crime by illegals. At some point, enforcement is required.

Re: If borders were open

#138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>The Fed has the final say on every matter. Not on every matter but the matter which is purview of the Fed. I.e. on the matters, which the Constitution gives to the Fed. It's been stretched quite far through the commerce clause but at the end the Fed's interior power is limited by design. Practically it does not matter since the Fed has to rely on the states to enforce the law. So even with the immigration, which is…

> It's been stretched quite far through the commerce clause... Yeah, and there's no limit on how far it can be stretched. States only have control over what the Fed isn't already in charge of. > Practically it does not matter since the Fed has to rely on the states to enforce the law. What? ICE and Homeland Security are federal programs. Cooperation with local authorities is great, but state authorities aren't the on…

>What? ICE and Homeland Security are federal programs.

I am quite aware of this.

>Cooperation with local authorities is great, but state authorities aren't the ones removing people from the country.

Sure. Imagine you are an officer of ICE. You sit in the nice office in the federal building in LA. How does your day go by? You deport people? Which people? They are not exactly lining up to your doors to get deported, are they? So you need to find them somehow, bring them to court, get a judgment and then find them again and remove them from the country. This is the police work and you are not equipped to do it. You don't have beat cops, you don't get information from various agencies illegals use (from schools to social services, all under state control despite spending federal money). You were supposed to get referrals from the local law enforcement. You are not getting any. You act on tips and bust 1000 people a quarter in a city, which likely has several million illegals.

>I don't know enough to say what states can do to demand funding through the court system, but it passed in the House.

If only passing the House had been enough to make a law...

> At some point, enforcement is required.

Sure, but then states would actually help enforcement instead of impeding it as they are doing now.

Re: If borders were open

#139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In the 1800's and early 1900's, immigration was open Immigration to the USA was never "open". Entire races were periodically excluded (e.g. the Chinese Exclusion Act), and legal immigrants were subject to health checks.

Well, open-er. You didnt need to have a sponsor company to remain in the united states. A foreigner cannot live in the united states today, health check or not, without some monetary or time commitment to a specific set of people.

Yet, tens of millions do.

Re: If borders were open

#140
post #117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Foreigners never had a voice or a vote Indeed - and they should not be a beneficiary either. Do you for a moment believe that "New Deal" / "Great Society" laws would ever have passed, if under the understanding that the whole population of the Earth would be entitled to receive it? > This argument could be made verbatim ... that today are considered bigotry That does not make the argument erroneous, only un-PC.

> That does not make the argument erroneous, only un-PC. It makes it heinous, because heinous things are said and done with that argument. "We shouldn't hire women, because they will affect the culture we have", etc.

Are you of the impression that women are of a very different culture, come in huge numbers that refuse to assimilate? Where is this?
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