Earlier quoted context omitted.
Unless you saw something else, he was making a joke about having his own biases, not that he could identify Zuckerberg due to keen founder detection instincts: > And Graham knew that he had his own biases. “I can be tricked by anyone who looks like Mark Zuckerberg. There was a guy once who we funded who was terrible. I said: ‘How could he be bad? He looks like Zuckerberg!’ ” http://www.paulgraham.com/tricked.html
No, it wasn't that. I don't see it on paulgraham.com. It was probably an HN comment.
Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
111–120 of 231 posts
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#112> But the cool kids don't beg. The cool kids — the ones who really know what they're doing and have the best chances of succeeding — decide who they allow to invest in their companies. The company I was an early employee of (that ended up being a "unicorn") was not a cool kid, and we certainly were begging people to invest both at the angel stage and (especially) the series A stage. And those people got a really real…
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#113There is a small cadre of people who actually have what it takes to successfully build an NBT, and experienced investors are pretty good at recognizing them. I really do question this. The "problem of induction"[1] comes into play when you start talking about pattern matching and learning from "experience". That is, there's no guarantee that the future will look like the past. Before Zuckerberg was Zuckerberg, I wond…
Want to know why these people can be recognized by experienced investors? At least part of the reason is that they know who looks like an NBT builder to other experienced investors. I would assert that this makes a massive difference in a founder's ability to close rounds and continue executing.
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#114> But the cool kids don't beg. The cool kids — the ones who really know what they're doing and have the best chances of succeeding — decide who they allow to invest in their companies. The company I was an early employee of (that ended up being a "unicorn") was not a cool kid, and we certainly were begging people to invest both at the angel stage and (especially) the series A stage. And those people got a really real…
How is it that a $10k check even gets a startup to take your call? That pays like one engineer for a month, if that. (Genuinely curious)
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#115> But the cool kids don't beg. The cool kids — the ones who really know what they're doing and have the best chances of succeeding — decide who they allow to invest in their companies. The company I was an early employee of (that ended up being a "unicorn") was not a cool kid, and we certainly were begging people to invest both at the angel stage and (especially) the series A stage. And those people got a really real…
How is it that a $10k check even gets a startup to take your call? That pays like one engineer for a month, if that. (Genuinely curious)
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#116Earlier quoted context omitted.
Normal employees should work hard but not ridiculous amounts. Executives, whose compensation is highly tied to stock value, should be animals, at least in the early pre-revenue stages. That is my opinion.
Well, it's a marathon, not a sprint. A CEO that isn't taking care of him/herself isn't taking the long view. Sacrificing your health and not making time for thinking big thoughts is a bad way to lead a company.
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#117I was hoping for a fact like "And this is how I made 42 investments in my first 3 years. All are now bust, and I am out 1.4 million dollars" Obviously not fun to tell the world how much money you lost, but it would help to add color to the people behind the VCs, that developers love to see as the frenemy (terrible people out to screw you, but man their money is nice sometimes).
Looking at what other people did and how that turned out is completely useless because the things that matter are the day-to-day details which you can only get by immersing yourself in the process full-time for a long time. So sharing that data would be worse than useless. At best it would serve to satisfy some prurient interests, and at worst it would cause someone to act on what cannot be anything other than hopele…
Did I miss the story, did you talk about it somewhere?
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#118What I take from this is that this person doesn't have a grasp if high school math or is not being honest.
Also if you listen closely to a lot of investors they'll basically tell you their metric is "can I sell this to a greater fool?". This is why there is so much investment in 'hot' areas when, in reality, those are the areas to stay away from as the unicorn shares are likely already over-priced.
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#119Earlier quoted context omitted.
I was actually thinking of mentioning this, but there is a very strong counter-example: Google. One of the reasons Google went unnoticed for as long as it did (both Excite and Yahoo passed on opportunities to buy it for In fact, I think this is one of the reasons so many people are trying to re-invent Facebook. If Google could re-invent Excite and Facebook could re-invent MySpace (and Reddit could re-invent Digg) the…
Actually the "fighting the last war” effect was the reason everyone passed on Google. Almost all the VCs (and other companies) thought the search war and been fought and won five years before. Rather than looking at Google from an unbiased viewpoint (that Google was the first to solve search), they saw it as the 17th competitor in a mature market. I think the difference with Facebook is the network effect and that it…
In the world of business, this is well illustrated by the market dominance of SAP. They have, and will buy out, or compete out startups that encroach on their market. This is why they are still the top pick for the biggest companies in the world.
Successfactor comes to mind as an example.
Re: Things I wish someone had told me before I started angel investing
#120Good news: I can agree with some of the OP. Much better news: I do believe that it's fairly obvious that there are good solutions to the most important problem mentioned in the OP. First a remark on scope: I'm talking about information technology (IT) startups based heavily on Moore's law, the Internet, other related hardware, available infrastructure software, etc., and I'm not talking about bio-medical technology w…
You might as well put a sticker on your forehead that says, "SUCKER."
Four of my investments (including a startup of my own) were absolute slam-dunks according to your process: large, well-established markets, orders of magnitude price-performance improvement over the competition, good IP protection. They all failed.
Like I said: unless you are very, very lucky, you will be absolutely be shocked by the creative ways the universe will come up with to screw you.