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OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

theblog.okcupid.com

1–10 of 15 posts

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#2
It looks more likely to me that someone made a calculation mistake. So easy to mess up an aggregation. But IMO, if the output is unexpected it's usually because you've done it wrong rather than because you've discovered that 30 year old men secretly prefer 65 year old women :)

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#3
post #2

It looks more likely to me that someone made a calculation mistake. So easy to mess up an aggregation. But IMO, if the output is unexpected it's usually because you've done it wrong rather than because you've discovered that 30 year old men secretly prefer 65 year old women :)

Unexperienced people prefer very often experienced people

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#4
post #2

It looks more likely to me that someone made a calculation mistake. So easy to mess up an aggregation. But IMO, if the output is unexpected it's usually because you've done it wrong rather than because you've discovered that 30 year old men secretly prefer 65 year old women :)

We need some peer review up in here! Science the shit out of it!

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#5
post #2

It looks more likely to me that someone made a calculation mistake. So easy to mess up an aggregation. But IMO, if the output is unexpected it's usually because you've done it wrong rather than because you've discovered that 30 year old men secretly prefer 65 year old women :)

Did you read the article? She finds that the typical pattern of men dating younger women is true, merely that there are more exceptions than one might expect, and that older women have decent success rates with younger men. Note that "younger men respond better to older women than older men do" doesn't in the slightest imply that younger men prefer older women to younger women, or even that older women prefer older men. Despite the headline, it's not shocking. And since OkCupid publishes lots of these "response rates by category" blog articles, I'd imagine they have the math down by now. (Not that they're exactly doing statistical validation on this, but still.)

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#6
post #3
post #2

It looks more likely to me that someone made a calculation mistake. So easy to mess up an aggregation. But IMO, if the output is unexpected it's usually because you've done it wrong rather than because you've discovered that 30 year old men secretly prefer 65 year old women :)

Unexperienced people prefer very often experienced people

30 year old men do not very often prefer 65 year old women.

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#7
post #5
post #2

It looks more likely to me that someone made a calculation mistake. So easy to mess up an aggregation. But IMO, if the output is unexpected it's usually because you've done it wrong rather than because you've discovered that 30 year old men secretly prefer 65 year old women :)

Did you read the article? She finds that the typical pattern of men dating younger women is true , merely that there are more exceptions than one might expect, and that older women have decent success rates with younger men. Note that "younger men respond better to older women than older men do" doesn't in the slightest imply that younger men prefer older women to younger women, or even that older women prefer older…

Check out the heatmap! 25yo respond to 50yo more than any other age if she make the first move!

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#8
post #2

It looks more likely to me that someone made a calculation mistake. So easy to mess up an aggregation. But IMO, if the output is unexpected it's usually because you've done it wrong rather than because you've discovered that 30 year old men secretly prefer 65 year old women :)

[deleted]

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#9
post #7
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did you read the article? She finds that the typical pattern of men dating younger women is true , merely that there are more exceptions than one might expect, and that older women have decent success rates with younger men. Note that "younger men respond better to older women than older men do" doesn't in the slightest imply that younger men prefer older women to younger women, or even that older women prefer older…

Check out the heatmap! 25yo respond to 50yo more than any other age if she make the first move!

But IMHO, when people so quickly dismiss unexpected data, it's usually confirmation bias at work.

I love this Oatmeal: http://theoatmeal.com/comics/believe

Re: OkCupid data shows who you should message by age, and it's not who you'd think

#10
post #7
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did you read the article? She finds that the typical pattern of men dating younger women is true , merely that there are more exceptions than one might expect, and that older women have decent success rates with younger men. Note that "younger men respond better to older women than older men do" doesn't in the slightest imply that younger men prefer older women to younger women, or even that older women prefer older…

Check out the heatmap! 25yo respond to 50yo more than any other age if she make the first move!

But as stated, that's less than 1% of female initiated contact, which is already significantly lower than male initiated.
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