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IBM's Watson AI trumps humans in "Jeopardy!"

nytimes.com

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Re: IBM's Watson AI trumps humans in "Jeopardy!"

#51

Andrew Hickl, the C.E.O. of Language Computer Corporation, which makes question-answering systems, among other things, for businesses, was recently asked by a client to make a "contradiction engine": if you tell it a statement, it tries to find evidence on the Web that contradicts it. "It’s like, ‘I believe that Dallas is the most beautiful city in the United States,’ and I want to find all the evidence on the Web th…

> I want to find all the evidence on the Web that contradicts that.

"Gordon's great insight was to design a program which allowed you to specify in advance what decision you wished it to reach, and only then to give it all the facts. The program's task, which it was able to accomplish with consummate ease, was simply to construct a plausible series of logical-sounding steps to connect the premises with the conclusion. [...] The entire project was bought up, lock, stock and barrel, by the Pentagon." -- Douglas Adams, Dirk Gently's Holisitic Detective Agency.

Re: IBM's Watson AI trumps humans in "Jeopardy!"

#52
post #42

From reading this fascinating piece, I (as one who is not technically proficient in any of the relevant areas) would conclude that AI-based approaches to computing can work well in the following areas: (1) you can program something in accordance with a strict set of limited rules and achieve amazing results, such as in computer chess, where today the advanced machines can basically outdo humans in playing that partic…

The place where this system would be useful would be loading up a company’s email and then asking what problems they knew with a new drug X.

The software would then look at all the emails and work though the chains where they say "Let's call Sample 37b, Drug X" and another one that said "Sample 37b is causing issue Z in 7% of patents."

The software would then say: *It was known that: Drug X causes issue Z in 7% of patents. See: Email: A and B

Think of it like grep for logic.

Re: IBM's Watson AI trumps humans in "Jeopardy!"

#53
post #51

Andrew Hickl, the C.E.O. of Language Computer Corporation, which makes question-answering systems, among other things, for businesses, was recently asked by a client to make a "contradiction engine": if you tell it a statement, it tries to find evidence on the Web that contradicts it. "It’s like, ‘I believe that Dallas is the most beautiful city in the United States,’ and I want to find all the evidence on the Web th…

> I want to find all the evidence on the Web that contradicts that. "Gordon's great insight was to design a program which allowed you to specify in advance what decision you wished it to reach, and only then to give it all the facts. The program's task, which it was able to accomplish with consummate ease, was simply to construct a plausible series of logical-sounding steps to connect the premises with the conclusion…

I was thinking of the scores of email I get from friends and family, of the sort saying "OMG! The sky is falling because...". In my experience, these exclamations are universally wrong in both research and reasoning, and I wish there was an easier way to find those errors to say "No, because...".

Re: IBM's Watson AI trumps humans in "Jeopardy!"

#54

Andrew Hickl, the C.E.O. of Language Computer Corporation, which makes question-answering systems, among other things, for businesses, was recently asked by a client to make a "contradiction engine": if you tell it a statement, it tries to find evidence on the Web that contradicts it. "It’s like, ‘I believe that Dallas is the most beautiful city in the United States,’ and I want to find all the evidence on the Web th…

Andy Hickl is a snake oil salesman. I wouldn't believe him if he said the sun was hot. Let's hope his "client" does due diligence.

Re: IBM's Watson AI trumps humans in "Jeopardy!"

#55
post #45
post #42

From reading this fascinating piece, I (as one who is not technically proficient in any of the relevant areas) would conclude that AI-based approaches to computing can work well in the following areas: (1) you can program something in accordance with a strict set of limited rules and achieve amazing results, such as in computer chess, where today the advanced machines can basically outdo humans in playing that partic…

I think at some point the AI goalpost will move beyond "capable of human judgement" as well :) (see Asimov's stories of R.Daneel & R.Giskard for example). I'm one of those who believes we'll crack AI (all aspects of it) at some point. I believe that the algorithm that our brains (and that of most animals) use is a very simple one that just needs tremendous parallel processing. I don't think anyone including IBM is ye…

If it's simple algo why haven't we come up with anything promising?

Re: IBM's Watson AI trumps humans in "Jeopardy!"

#56
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think at some point the AI goalpost will move beyond "capable of human judgement" as well :) (see Asimov's stories of R.Daneel & R.Giskard for example). I'm one of those who believes we'll crack AI (all aspects of it) at some point. I believe that the algorithm that our brains (and that of most animals) use is a very simple one that just needs tremendous parallel processing. I don't think anyone including IBM is ye…

If it's simple algo why haven't we come up with anything promising?

I'm hoping it's something like the crypto algos where computing the hash is easy but getting the original message back (without already knowing the key) is not so easy.

In our case, the "simple" algo would be something trivial to implement but tough to actually figure out what it is in the first place.

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