Live data from Hacker News

Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

youtube.com

21–30 of 52 posts

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hydrogen fuel cells. Elon Musk is talking them down like Steve Jobs talked down native apps in favor of a web app.

Hydrogen is a shitty fuel. Hard to contain, burns too easy, explosive.

For pedestrian uses, yes. But it could be used in more specialized applications that already require a lot of attention. E.g. commerical airplanes.

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#22

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

Could it be confirmation bias? I'm sure there are many videos of people confident everyone will have a flying car, you just don't see them.

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#23

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

Hydrogen fuel cells. Elon Musk is talking them down like Steve Jobs talked down native apps in favor of a web app.

People talk down things for all reasons, one of them being they legitimately such. Not everything is like this Jobs example (and in fact Jobs himself has earnestly talked down lots of stuff that he never changed course on).

In this case fuel cells seem to have the same issues they had 20+ years ago when they were touted as the feature.

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hydrogen is a shitty fuel. Hard to contain, burns too easy, explosive.

For pedestrian uses, yes. But it could be used in more specialized applications that already require a lot of attention. E.g. commerical airplanes.

That's not really life or industry changing though.

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#25
post #22

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

Could it be confirmation bias? I'm sure there are many videos of people confident everyone will have a flying car, you just don't see them.

Actually we see them (or, well, read them), so much those predictions have become the pop culture laughing stocks of futurology -- "where's my driving cars and robot assistants?".

https://www.google.com/search?q=where%27s+my+flying+car&oq=w...

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#26

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

>What are the revolutionary things that are starting right now that will be obvious in retrospect?

The decline of the middle class and a new developed world of low wage working slaves straight out of Dickens / Hugo?

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#27

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

Nokia smartphones were already pretty big at the time iPhone was released, innovative thing was capacitive touch screen instead of resistive

so idea of smartphone was pretty safe bet, touchscreen was risky choice

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#28

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

It is also possible that he wasn't as confident as he seemed but his role required projecting confidence in his company's idea, so he did.

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#29

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

Augmented reality will be a part of everyday life.

Re: Nightline Interview with Steve Jobs (1981) [video]

#30
post #27

What I find impressive is how confident Steve Jobs was in 1981 that soon everyone would have a computer -- just like in 2007, he was confident that everyone would soon have a smartphone. I wasn't around in 1981, but I know that in 2007 that wasn't a popular opinion. People talked about the "smartphone market" as if it would stay a fraction of the general phone market. In retrospect, it's pretty obvious that computers…

Nokia smartphones were already pretty big at the time iPhone was released, innovative thing was capacitive touch screen instead of resistive so idea of smartphone was pretty safe bet, touchscreen was risky choice

Seems to me like Apple also furnished, perhaps not immediately but very quickly, a much superior developer story than.. "Nokia's smartphone" did.
Post reply on HN