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Guaranteed Minimum What?

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441–446 of 446 posts

Re: Guaranteed Minimum What?

#441
post #265

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'd argue that those companies that have squeezed the humanity out of their workers are the first ones getting dislocated by the market. E.g. Blockbuster being bankrupt and our local independent video store doing just fine. Or McDonald's vs Waffle House. If you play was "we can provide a worse service for less" then yes, you're going to get steamrolled by automation. If your business is run around adding value (like…

A major point of data missing in your example is all the many, many cafes, diners and other eateries which Mc Donald's itself wiped out. The point being that lots of independent and service focused restaurants have died, and automation, consistency and efficiency has decimated the alternative.

I look at it in terms of competitive advantage. (And I'm not authoritative on any of the following, so don't take me as gospel)

Imho, McD and the first wave of franchisee stores leveraged price and consistency as their advantage. Their logistic chains were more efficient, and they could standardize their operation (benefit to efficiency and customer).

The market did decide that their prices (which were nationally set afaik) and consistency won over the qualities independent chains brought to the picture.

However, I think in the intervening years there have been a few developments.

Firstly, Sysco and the national food suppliers as intermediaries. So aside from volume discounts, everyone's sitting on the same logistics backing now.

Secondly, consistency as a commodity. Whereas before this was a competitive advantage (because it distinguished them from Local Dairy Freeze 283), now it's the market average.

I see it as, as you noted, McD's and the like put everyone else out of business... but we're now in the future past that where they have become the model that's ripe for disruption.

Maybe that looks like Chipotle and Five Guys (limited menu, better product, slightly higher price), or maybe it looks like a return to local service, now backed by automation and turnkey logistics chains.

I can't see a future with McD's where it isn't a fully-automated, human-less burger factory though. Unless they basically toss out their existing business model.

Re: Guaranteed Minimum What?

#442
post #168

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>I really can't see anyone making a rational decision to work less hard because the tax rate is too high, within reason. I really think people do. Two years ago I had to work 250 hours in December to get a 25k bonus. At ~40% taxation, I felt it was worth it. I probably wouldn't at 65%. That is a pretty extreme case, but well off people turn down work if it isn't lucrative enough. Plus, if you are taxing investments,…

> It's not worth investing money if 70% of the proceeds get taken away. Yes it is. As long as the 30% of the proceeds are higher than the proceeds of the best alternative use of your money. > This is why world wide, capital is taxed fairly lightly. This is wrong. It is taxed fairly lightly because it is mobile. Tax it too much and it just moves abroad.

>Yes it is. As long as the 30% of the proceeds are higher than the proceeds of the best alternative use of your money.

You aren't guaranteed proceeds. You can model investment as a probability function of profit. You should only invest when the expected value of the investing is greater than 0. But tax rates factor into the expected value.

Would you bet on a 50/50 coin flip with 3:1 odds? Of course. How about if you were taxed 90% on proceeds?

Re: Guaranteed Minimum What?

#443
post #237

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because, frankly, I don't give a shit about aggregate "wisdom". (It's aggregate opinions, no wisdom to be found there). Many movies are polarizing. In aggregate, they're OK. Talking to a single person whose opinion I trust is much more helpful than getting an average from 1,000s. Look at Yelp ratings - everything is pretty good by now, and the recommendations are mostly meaningless. They don't fit my needs, if my nee…

I disagree with you on almost every, but so much of it is soft and nebulous so lets you are correct for most of your comment. I just want to pick on tiny part: > Talking to a single person whose opinion I trust Why should we trust the person at the ticket counter? They have no special knowledge or insight. It seems likely to me they will have below average insight otherwise they wouldn't be working an easy to automat…

They have seen a ton of movies. (One of the few perks of that job). They certainly have opinions on them. And while they might not align with my opinions, I can calibrate for that. But "expertise" or no, they hold information I don't have - how did they experience the movie. They likely have seen it. I haven't. Talking to them increases the amount of information available to me.

I can't calibrate for the averaged-together soup of opinions on online forums. Because everything is average, nothing matters.

Re: Guaranteed Minimum What?

#444

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nobody is haggling the prices down. Prices are skyrocketing.

Insurance companies do. But your proposal seems to do away with them in order to lower the prices. I am trying to understand the mechanism.

The mechanism is open competition. Right now hospitals and clinics don't have to give you a price for their services, and you have to pay them whatever they ask for. It should work just like a mechanic or a lawyer, you are told the fee, you pay it, you get service. Don't like the price up front? Shop around.

Re: Guaranteed Minimum What?

#446

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At this point, if one could guarantee that what one is selling is not a counterfeit, one has a leg up on Amazon.

Yeah no, if you go into a normal brick and mortar store you can be pretty sure that what you're getting is not counterfeit. Stores are still not competitive with Amazon.

Anecdotally, it's enough to nudge me into alternatives. Other people are saying they know people who decline Walmart shopping for similar reasons but on the other hand with about half of US households using Amazon Prime it's a drop in the bucket.
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