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Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

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101–110 of 132 posts

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#101
post #77

to me this is a perfect example of how incredibly indifferent capitalism can be to creating value. no one is bad here, per se, but its useless as far as i can tell, and someone gets very very rich. nothing wrong with capitalism of course, but i feel the need to keep harping of the fact that it doesn't necessarily imply anything about value or desert. edit: every time i make a comment along these lines, its interestin…

Beyond the "providing liquidity" argument, another side effect of HFT and arbitrage strategies that one might see as valuable is the promotion of global invariants across the financial network, which is rather complicated distributed system. Would it make sense if there were two very different prices for something at two nearly identical venues? If large block of a stock is dropped on one exchange, would it make sens…

>> Beyond the "providing liquidity" argument, another side effect of HFT and arbitrage strategies that one might see as valuable is the promotion of global invariants across the financial network, which is rather complicated distributed system. Would it make sense if there were two very different prices for something at two nearly identical venues? If large block of a stock is dropped on one exchange, would it make sense if there were no effects on the price of the same name on adjacent exchanges?

i dont disagree with arbitrage and liquidity, and a globally invariant price for goods. i just think HFT isnt really improving that in a meaningful way. i ask you- at what timescale does it stop mattering? thats really what im saying. not that liquidity and invariant prices are suspect, but that things are happening on such a minute time scale that it doesn't matter. hey, i could be wrong, but no one has argued why going from milliseconds to picoseconds is improving our lives. thats the thing i would like explained.

>> What does it mean to "create value?" By what standards is value assessed?

tough to pin down, but surely its more than how much money it makes you... right? of course it varies from person to person. but i think its very lazy to say that its "whatever someone will pay for it". then value changes when laws change. i think most people probably agree that some things that are able to be sold for alot are not a value to society. i think its fair to say that there are some basically invariant things that are valuable.

>> In the absence of any direct harm to another, under what circumstances should someone be deterred from engaging in profitable activity

probably shouldn't be deterred. my point was that it looks like this is more like a game people are playing, with no real positive externalities. didn't say it was bad prima facie. i think its weird that people are very strongly clinging to the idea that it has some wonderful benefit to society. seems like a pretty weak argument, and kind of pathetic. its ok to to just admit its a game, and its for the players. poker players dont go around claiming they are providing everyone a service. i just get the sense there is an ingrained idea in our culture that there is some nobility in "finance" that i dont think belongs there in some cases.

>> Is the assumption that profits accrue to those who provide value to others utterly false, or just false in this (and possibly other, isolated) case? If merely the latter, why in this case?

not utterly false, but far from universally true. very difficult, broad topic that i am, or course, not in a position to say definitively. we can all point to cases where almost everyone agrees that someone gets overpaid, or underpaid. seems like a lot of people readily accept the dual premises that success == making money, and that money is a proxy for value. i take issue with both- i think its important to think about success and value more fundamentally. it seems like a lot of people have a tautological idea that you are paid what you deserve because its what you got paid...

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#102
post #75

to me this is a perfect example of how incredibly indifferent capitalism can be to creating value. no one is bad here, per se, but its useless as far as i can tell, and someone gets very very rich. nothing wrong with capitalism of course, but i feel the need to keep harping of the fact that it doesn't necessarily imply anything about value or desert. edit: every time i make a comment along these lines, its interestin…

The way I think about HFT is: - one effect of an economy is to find an approximate solution to an important problem: optimising resource allocation with regards to growth - within this paradigm, markets exist to process all publicly available information and turn it into real allocation of resources - considering the difference between trades executed once a day vs once a week, the more frequent trades will provide i…

i dont disagree with the basic framework. but why is going from milliseconds to picoseconds important? im pretty sure its not. thats all

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#103
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is this question as interesting as it might seem to someone unfamiliar with trading? Electronic trading firms do more than make markets, but stipulate that market-making is the sort of baseline approach they take to making money. Are you really asking "how do market makers make money on 51% of their trades"? Because that question is easy to answer; it's the premise of a market maker, whether done by a computer or by…

I probably don't know enough about market making and trading to really say whether this question is interesting to people who are. My thinking, and why I found it interesting, is that the connotation behind showing that the company 'never has a losing day' because of the law of large numbers is that the company is taking practically no risk. I was trying to ask a question about that point; do these companies really h…

They're minimizing their market risk, but the trick is doing that while making payroll. You can trade practically risklessly by quoting an unrealistically wide spread. Practically no one will trade with you, but none of your orders will sink the company.

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#104

When HFT firm Virtu went public they announced they had one loosing day in 6 years. A physics professor explained how this was possible by using the law of large numbers and some basic assumptions.

I was offered a job at virtu, and met people who discussed this in the interview. They had backtested the model but apparently it had a slight bug. After fixing it they claimed to have made much more than the loses.

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#105
post #99
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not implying that liquidity is binary. I'm implying that it does not scale linearly, but rather exponentially towards an asymptote. That is, you can add as much as you want, the total amount approaches a limit. Said a different way, with your "trading costs" substitution: If x amount of human effort is required to reduce trading costs from, say, 5% of a transaction to 0.001%, perhaps (let's assume) that's justifi…

I think an interesting point you might consider -- let's suppose there is such a thing as "too much" liquidity, and as a corollary, there's a "perfect" amount of liquidity. What do you think happens when more liquidity than the perfect amount is introduced? I think a lot of arguments which support the idea of HFT being too much liquidity seem to take, as a premise, that the extra liquidity costs consumers -- namely,…

But he didn't argue we have "too much" liquidity. The argument is that we have "enough" liquidity and are now expending a huge volume of capital on a literally imperceptible increase in liquidity.

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#106
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Trading firms create value by providing liquidity. If they can buy low and sell high, they will be buying when there are relatively fewer other buyers, and sell when there are relatively few other sellers. This activity creates value for other people who want to trade in those circumstances. If no value was created, there would be no value to capture. And the prima facie evidence that they are creating value is that…

> Trading firms create value by providing liquidity. Obviously true when they're added to market with little to no liquidity. But hard to see as true when you're adding them to market that is already extremely liquid. At least, it's a statement that needs some empirical justification in that case, to show that the value from marginal liquidity being added (which is tiny) offsets the waste of the incredible amount of…

> waste of the incredible amount of human effort to create it

The size of the HFT space is almost universally overestimated. Virtu recently tried to purchase Knight for 1.3 billion, about as much as it would take to buy Sears. Those are 2 of the giants of the industry, combined they would dominate it.

The estimated revenue numbers for all US market makers was 1.1 billion or ~3x snapchats number.

For something that speeds up & cheapens virtually every trade on the planet that doesn't seem like an outside amount of effort. At least not in comparison to showing ads to teenagers.

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#107
post #53

to me this is a perfect example of how incredibly indifferent capitalism can be to creating value. no one is bad here, per se, but its useless as far as i can tell, and someone gets very very rich. nothing wrong with capitalism of course, but i feel the need to keep harping of the fact that it doesn't necessarily imply anything about value or desert. edit: every time i make a comment along these lines, its interestin…

> but its useless as far as i can tell, That's because you, as well as 99% of people accusing financial firms of being useless, don't know what you're talking about. One of the reasons planned economies usually fail quite spectacularly is that individuals are very bad at predicting global market behavior. It's too complicated. Local stochastic optimization (free market economies) works quite well, even if it's maybe…

wasnt attacking that. was arguing that the marginal/imperceptible improvement in liquidity isnt really doing anything for anyone except the people profiting off it.

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#108
post #99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think an interesting point you might consider -- let's suppose there is such a thing as "too much" liquidity, and as a corollary, there's a "perfect" amount of liquidity. What do you think happens when more liquidity than the perfect amount is introduced? I think a lot of arguments which support the idea of HFT being too much liquidity seem to take, as a premise, that the extra liquidity costs consumers -- namely,…

But he didn't argue we have "too much" liquidity. The argument is that we have "enough" liquidity and are now expending a huge volume of capital on a literally imperceptible increase in liquidity.

My point is that I don't think it's a huge volume of capital. The extra wasted capital here is the cost of running an HFT firm while you test your strategy (aka. see if your liquidity is valuable or not) -- if it's not profitable, it's not a huge loss (HFT firms, in the grand scheme of things, are relatively small) and the firm shuts down; if it's profitable, then clearly they're trading against non-HFTs that value their liquidity, so what's the issue here?

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#109
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

this seems contradictory to me. HFT is basically predicated on front-running information advantages. It wouldn't be profitable otherwise. maybe you can explain in more detail?

HFT is in basically no sense predicated on front-running. Front-running is an agency problem: it occurs, for instance, when you're trading on behalf of someone else, and before you execute their orders, you submit your own orders that benefit you at the expense of your client. The whole premise of the market is that people have informational advantages. They don't work without it. The point is that they aggregate the…

let me be more specific since I think you're misinterpreting me because I wasn't specific enough.

hedge-funds that execute a strategy based entirely on leveraging HFT as a means to take advantage of information arbitrage (such as they kind that a fund taking trade orders from its clients would have) are predicated on having that information advantage "front-running".

HFT in different contexts is just machine execution of trade orders and isn't what I was asking about.

Re: Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]

#110
post #33

I generally like HFT. I do not like front running or information advantages that have happened in the past. Spreads these days are the lowest in history. What many people fail to realize is that before electronic market makers (I almost want to eliminate the name HFT), people sat in between these trades. It was slow, inefficient and they took a larger spread on the trade.

this seems contradictory to me. HFT is basically predicated on front-running information advantages. It wouldn't be profitable otherwise. maybe you can explain in more detail?

> It wouldn't be profitable otherwise.

This is absolutely not the case. The advantage it is predicated on is getting there first.

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