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Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

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Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#171
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Minimum wage only causes unemployment if the labor market is competitive. This is not currently the case in the US as a few big companies (Walmart, McDonald's) have disproportionate market power, and most economic sectors are becoming even more concentrated. Under such oligopsony conditions, increases in minimum wage will generally come out of profits (which are at historically high levels of the GDP [1]). Since wage…

but they don't. studies have shown that increases in minimum wage laws tend to benefit those who are in not poor families and a 10% increase in minimum wage can cause prices in the local area to increase four percent. throw in that even as recently as 2011 President Obama had to sign into law a bill postponing minimum wage laws and increases in America Samoa because it was literally destroying their economy after bei…

I'm not familiar with American Samoa, but generally states and countries with high minimum wages are doing pretty well economically, see e.g. [1]. States that have recently increased the minimum wage have seen higher economic growth than those that haven't [2].

[1] http://www.scholarsstrategynetwork.org/brief/evidence-higher...

[2] http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2014/07/19/332879409/...

Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#172
post #142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Marx was describing capitalism in his critique of political economy, Capital. Puerto Ricans definitely live in capitalism. A Marxist society (or, Communist) does not have wage labour at all.

> Puerto Ricans definitely live in capitalism. Puerto Ricans definitely live in a mixed economy, not the system that Marx described as capitalism, but it arguably shares the salient features of capitalism that Marx was addressing in the excerpt under discussion.

What is a mixed economy? The definition of capitalism I use is based on the capitalist mode of production, that is, how goods are made within a capitalist economy, viz. production to maximise exchange value over use value, the primacy of wage labour, private (and yes, this can include the state's) ownership of social means of production, and most social production is for the goal of capital accumulation.

In my opinion this is enough to say that a particular society is 'capitalist', though like all words there are variety of nuances and exceptions and additions that can be attached. Capitalism in my view neither necessitates nor excludes government controls on production, social democratic policies, taxes, the state (except for defense of private property) etc.

A good example of a capitalist (state capitalist) country is the Soviet Union.

Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#173
post #114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>If they can't produce enough value to justify minimum wages There are alternative views on this. Marx's theory for example says that workers are not paid according to the value they create, or what their labour creates, rather they are paid at the rate which is required to sustain them. The commodity which the worker produces and sells is termed 'labour power', requiring among other things food, enough to support a…

> There are alternative views on this. Since in the post you were responding to, I was challenging the premise you quoted, I think that I am quite aware that there are alternative views to it.

I apologise, I was more aiming to bring to light a particular alternative for wage labour, rather than trying to bring to attention that there are alternative theories in general. I didn't mean to imply that you are ignorant.

Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I think it's unlikely the federal government will be backstopping pension problems in IL and CA anytime soon, without a dramatic congressional shift. Agreed. That shift is going to happen though. Seniors are not a cohort you can ignore. They vote like clockwork. > I think you underestimate how much taxes will need to raise to cover these liabilities. The federal government already has its hands full with SS + Medic…

Sure, seniors vote. Don't assume that the seniors in, say, Texas are going to be in favor of higher taxes in order to rescue pensions in California and Illinois, though.

Texas (at the time of writing) only appears in this page the once ... which is surprising in this context given its history. [1]

A country / protectorate defaulting is not necessarily something that can't be recovered from, and in some cases is the only sensible (or indeed feasible) course of action.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_dollar

Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#175
post #162
post #123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not an ethical failure because most of the participants understand that it is high risk/reward. That is why most start-up firms offer equity to their employees, and it is almost impossible for a new startup to borrow debt from banks (unless its personally guaranteed, or extremely expensive) before it has gained traction with its business model. On the other hand, governments are perceived to be reliable borrower…

> this could aggravate the financial distress of many high indebted public entities that are already struggling to pay the bills. Governments don't make payments at adjustable-interest rates. If sovereign borrowing rates rise, because the financial markets decide that sovereigns have a higher rate of default then they thought before, this doesn't affect outstanding debt - only the ability to get more.

Most governments don't receive loans with adjustable rates, but they plan their budgets with the expectation that they can refinance their debt once their loans mature. Most governments have regular debt maturities that they must meet, and they would be in big trouble if they can't refinance those loans.

It is also important to separate local governments from the sovereign federal government. The federal government is allowed to print money to cover its debts, which dramatically reduces the concern among creditors that it may default. Local governments have no such option, however; they can only address their deficit by reducing spending or raising taxes. Both options are politically unpopular (hence why most politicians do nothing and pass the buck to their successors), and may be counterproductive because the local citizens can just pack up and move if taxes are increased, or if public services deteriorate.

Edit: I forgot to mention that the most attractive way to raise government revenue is to actually attract more productive citizens to move there and increase the tax base (aka how California managed to dig itself out of its immediate financial hole). However, this is obviously very difficult to achieve in practice.

Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#178
post #5

I have lived all my life in Puerto Rico, and as you can imagine, this issue is quite controversial. We owe money to the creditors... and what you do with a debt is to you pay it off. Yet the amount is so staggering, that I wonder if it's actually possible. As is typical, decisions by politicians placed us in this situation. Decade after decade, 4-year term after 4-year term, the government has spent money it does not…

With all the out of control government spending (in this case but also in general), I wonder... what did Puerto Rico get for all its borrowing? Obviously they spent the money but... on what?

Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's true in any individual case. But if we make it our social norm that bankruptcy is nothing to be ashamed of and to be taken lightly, won't it change the equilibrium for future generations of lenders and borrowers such that an inefficiently low amount of lending goes on? If everyone has the expectation that the lenders and borrowers will try their best to live up to the contract they made in good faith, wouldn't…

> But if we make it our social norm that bankruptcy is nothing to be ashamed of and to be taken lightly I don't know about "taken lightly" but bankruptcy and defaulting on a debt should not be something to be "ashamed" of, for an individual, a company, or a government. Default is an option specifically written into every debt contract out there. There should be no more shame in choosing to default as there would be f…

>>I don't know about "taken lightly" but bankruptcy and defaulting on a debt should not be something to be "ashamed" of, for an individual, a company, or a government.

It totally depends. There is nothing shameful about declaring bankruptcy because you got into an accident and your insurance company refused to pay your six-figure hospital bill. But if you take out a big loan to build a new hotel and blow it all on hookers and booze? Fuck yeah you should be ashamed (and also go to prison).

Re: Puerto Rico files for biggest ever U.S. local government bankruptcy

#180
post #40
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If someone has already defaulted on a loan, that will make you not want to lend to him anymore, perfect. If the Puerto Rico government defaults now, no banks should lend money to it again ever. Perfect. This outcome doesn't affect other lender-borrower relationships.

That isn't how it works. It is never how it worked. Plenty of countries have defaulted, and they can still borrow money. And yeah, it does effect other lender-borrower relationships. It's all people, and people get nervous.

>Plenty of countries have defaulted, and they can still borrow money.

That's the lenders' fault. Bleed the suckers dry. Lenders like that shouldn't get to manage money.

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