Amiller, Figure 1 should show that the overwhelming majority of Zcash transactions have the privacy properties of Bitcoin transactions (or worse). No? It seems kind of imbalanced to have an analysis which emphasizes the security compromises caused by older monero (pre-CT, pre minimum mixin count) while ignoring the ongoing privacy flaw in Zcash usage in practice.
> should show that the overwhelming majority of Zcash transactions have the privacy properties of Bitcoin transactions (or worse). Agreed, this should updated to specify that only transactions between shielded addresses are protected. The point they are trying to make is that the anonymity set between shielded addresses is that of all transactions in the anonymous set. (FWIW, this is a pre-publication draft.) > No? I…
This way of stating is somewhat questionable in light of the claims in the second half of the paper.
What is shown in the second half of the paper is that all possible sources are not equally likely and this most probably applies to Zcash (and every other coin) as well. In the Figure 1 illustration of Zcash, it is most likely that the rightmost (most recent) arc is the correct one. Of course this can't be stated with certainty in either coin.
Another way of interpreting the trend shown in Figure 8 is that Zcash gains little (though of course it still gains something) from including all transactions in the anonymity set (arbitrarily far to the right) because once one departs from focusing predominantly on the more recent transactions, the effective anonymity set does not grow much.
> Instead, it looks like clients weren't even doing basic checks:
>> We find that among Monero transaction inputs with one or more mixins, 62% of these are deducible, i.e. they can be incontrovertibly linked to the prior TXO they spend.
There are no basic checks that can solve that issue. It was fixed in a different way.
> even if Monero fixes everything in this upcoming release,
Most of the issues in the paper were already addressed in the past, and the paper says this. The remaining issue is the time bias which the paper states has already been improved, but can be improved further.