Earlier quoted context omitted.
I believe that too. I simply believe --- with ample evidence --- that certifications aren't going to be one of those paths.
so, out of curiousity, that implies to me that you don't rate any IT security certifications? So would I be right in thinking you don't think that any of the Offsec certs (OSCP/OCSE), CREST certs (CCT etc) or SANS certs are usful? Also, and I'd be genuinely interested to hear your thoughts here, why do you think that IT/Info Sec will take a different path than other professions (medicine, law, accountancy, engineerin…
Those professions have rules, and are backed by either legislation or science. All participants are bound by said rules. For a lawyer, certain things are legal, certain things are not.
Security is a game where the whole objective is to either break the rules (and often the law) or to defend against someone who is.
How are you going to tell me that person A is qualified for the job based on his exam results, and person B is not, when person B got a root shell on your server and stole your data?
It's like the 1989 draft when the Giants tried to make Dion Sanders write an exam to see if he was qualified to play in the NFL.
"“They sat me down and gave me a thick book,” Sanders recalled. “I mean, this thing was thicker than a phone book. I said, ‘What’s this?’ They said, ‘This is our test that we give all the players.’ I said, ‘Excuse me, what pick do you have in the draft?’ They said, I think, 10th [actually 18th]. I said, ‘I’ll be gone before then. I’ll see y’all later. I ain’t got time for this.’ That’s a true story."