From 2012-2014 it was mostly breakage every other month. From 2014-2016, it was semi-annual issues.
For the last ~18 months I have had ~30 machines running btrfs with no issues, some servers, some personal computers. The release notes are boring, the bugs are boring, and to me its definitely in a state I would strongly consider trusting it with any workload.
I worry that btrfs is just going to remain doomed. It wasn't stable half a decade ago, so it - for some reason - cannot be more stable now. But it has seen so much work put into it to make it as mature as it is now, and in my experience it is pretty damn mature now. All I want to see is another year and a half of perfect stability before I would start arguing to drop zfs entirely.