Earlier quoted context omitted.
Doesn't TDD basically provide a spec? Write a test, then let the AI generate a program that passes the test. If the program is still buggy, you didn't write sufficient tests.
A few years ago I read a post by Bob Martin about how you can solve code kata problems by applying a sequence of 'transformations' to pass one test at a time. His method is very mechanical... so mechanical, in fact, that I think it may be possible to automate it. So I started tinkering with the concept, and I've got a bit of a start on it here: https://github.com/michaelmelanson/autocoder What's there is very rudimen…
AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
131–140 of 160 posts
Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#132Earlier quoted context omitted.
If you can describe something then you can just code it. I can see AI being used in an advanced IDE as an assistant. Just write your specs and let the AI build the app.
making people in an industry more efficient at their jobs == job losses for that industry. if one programmer can now do the work of 5 with the help of an AI, companies will quickly be hiring less developers. yet everytime i mention this, im told that "software developers are the one job that will never be at risk of automation"
Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#133Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#134Earlier quoted context omitted.
In automatic programming discussions, one commenter said long ago that we already have people that deal with English this precise: lawyers. Such a model would basically turn programmers into people writing legal documents that the AI then turned into programs.
We already have language lawyers for implementing compilers. I think the right solution is to take away most of the "convenience" features. Most people don't touch all of them anyway because they don't know how they would interact. But everyone joining a team would have to learn them. Why do so many computer languages experience scope creep? Including C++ and JS.
Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#135Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#136Earlier quoted context omitted.
As a technical manager, this actually isn't that far from what happens with teams of engineers. The less precise I am in describing the requirements of a system, the less correct solution is produced. This isn't to say that my team is incompetent or mindless -- far from it, I find them to be some of the most talented engineers I've had the pleasure of working with. Perhaps the solution to this particular problem is a…
I'm not saying it applies to your case, but one danger of specifying a problem in too much detail, is that it teaches the engineers to think less about the problem. From my experience developers often think of failure cases that the managers are not aware of, or have a simpler solution to a problem.
As a relatively new manager, I find figuring out where the balance is tricky.
Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#137Earlier quoted context omitted.
yes and each new tool or helpful framework reduces the total number of developers needed. Just because we have yet to meet the demand for developers, doesn't mean that that demand is not decreasing over time. software development is quite a young industry, so its growth can easily outpace the efficiency gains resulting in more developers, until it doesnt. Development as an industry will need to maintain stronger grow…
You start out with n amount of programmer time demanded from projects a b and c, given that you can do x with y number of programmer hours. So imagine that increased efficiency means you can now do 2x as much fantastic now you only need n/2 right! Not so fast now that you can do more with less d, e, and f are worth doing and n+ are now demanded. Basically simple economics says that decreasing price, the price for a g…
an AI costs nothing in the long term, so you are agreeing here that demand for AI produced software will rise more sharply than demand for human developers, because they are more expensive.
So if you accept that basic law of economics, then you must arrive at the conclusion that human labor will inevitably be outpaced by cheaper labor. the fact that that labor is coding seems to be where people get really stuck here. I dont really understand why this is where people get stuck.
the population of the world, and thus its demand for food has very much grown over time, and is still growing. Yet we have fewer people producing food than ever before. The reason for this is that the augmentation of technology outpaced the increase in demand. So we had fewer farmers making more food than ever.
similarly with software development, the demand for software will continue to increase over time, but the demand for human developers will inevitably fall, due to augmentations of technology enabling fewer workers to produce vastly more output. So we will have fewer developers working than we have, say, today[1], but those fewer developers will be producing orders of magnitude more[2] software
[1]im not actually trying to predict the inflection point of this growth curve as today, i meant this only as an example to make my point easy to understand
[2] where more could mean more complex, more efficient, etc.
Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#138Earlier quoted context omitted.
You start out with n amount of programmer time demanded from projects a b and c, given that you can do x with y number of programmer hours. So imagine that increased efficiency means you can now do 2x as much fantastic now you only need n/2 right! Not so fast now that you can do more with less d, e, and f are worth doing and n+ are now demanded. Basically simple economics says that decreasing price, the price for a g…
>economics says that decreasing price, the price for a given unit of work going down increases the demand for such an AI costs nothing in the long term, so you are agreeing here that demand for AI produced software will rise more sharply than demand for human developers, because they are more expensive. So if you accept that basic law of economics, then you must arrive at the conclusion that human labor will inevitab…
Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#139Earlier quoted context omitted.
>economics says that decreasing price, the price for a given unit of work going down increases the demand for such an AI costs nothing in the long term, so you are agreeing here that demand for AI produced software will rise more sharply than demand for human developers, because they are more expensive. So if you accept that basic law of economics, then you must arrive at the conclusion that human labor will inevitab…
There is zero reason to believe that software less capable than artificial general intelligence will provide any non trivial software.
look i too can make baseless assertions.
Re: AI learns to write its own code by stealing from other programs
#140Earlier quoted context omitted.
There is zero reason to believe that software less capable than artificial general intelligence will provide any non trivial software.
There is zero reason to believe it will not. look i too can make baseless assertions.
It seems inevitable that on some time scale AGI will be achieved if we don't commit species suicide or bomb ourselves back to the stone age. It doesn't follow that AI less capable than AGI can produce non trivial software guided by non programmers. This requires proof because it has never been done in human history and thus without any examples it requires if not proof a coherent argument in its favor.
The most obvious flaw is that software that is capable of composing/improving software ought to be able to improve itself and with improvements in a finite amount of time ought to BE AGI.
This looks like the start of a great tool for people to find example code relevant to the current code. In other words new tools for programmers not a replacement thereof.