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Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

github.com

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Re: Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

#11

Post by espadrine »

chis wrote: post #3

Pretty clever and effective message. I'd put money on this being shared by all my friends on Facebook in a few days. Trump's last couple tweets have backfired and actually increased his targets' stock price though. You might have to flip the algorithm around if this continues.

I read it as the stock market betting on the constitution. Mr Trump is not allowed to impact Nordstrom negatively for his daughter's sake.

But most of the other tweets are about cases where he could harm them as POTUS.

Re: Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

#12

Post by captainmuon »

Brilliant. I've been thinking about something like this for a while.

Why don't you take it to the next level? Provoke Trump on Twitter, associating yourself with a company. Then short that company's stock and wait until he lashes out against them. Profit!

Re: Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

#13

Post by cxseven »

tmalsburg2 wrote: post #6

This is fun. However, does this bot perform better than a random bot? and if yes, how much?

According to http://trump2cash.biz/ ,

"Overall, the algorithm seems to succeed more often than not: The simulated fund has an annualized return of about 59% since inception. There are limits to the simulation and the underlying data, so take it all with a grain of salt."

Re: Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

#14

Post by rtpg »

captainmuon wrote: post #12

Brilliant. I've been thinking about something like this for a while. Why don't you take it to the next level? Provoke Trump on Twitter, associating yourself with a company. Then short that company's stock and wait until he lashes out against them. Profit!

It's weird because he probably doesn't read his mentions... except sometimes he RT's someone in his mentions?

Is he looking?

Re: Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

#15

Post by Kurtz79 »

parhurs wrote: post #9
tmalsburg2 wrote: post #6

This is fun. However, does this bot perform better than a random bot? and if yes, how much?

I'm sure the data is inconclusive for now.

I'm also sure that a fair number of data samples could be obtained in a very short time.

Re: Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

#18

Post by tmalsburg2 »

Kurtz79 wrote: post #15
parhurs wrote: post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm sure the data is inconclusive for now.

I'm also sure that a fair number of data samples could be obtained in a very short time.

Not sure, every Trump tweet that makes a positive or negative statement about a company adds one data point. So the number of samples is going to be rather small. However, whether the bot can be shown to perform significantly better than chance also depends on the size of the effect of a Trump tweet. If they produce huge bumps, a small number of tweets might be enough to show that this bot is working. Would be nice to be able to put a number on this.

Re: Trump2cash – A stock trading bot powered by Trump tweets

#19

Post by tmalsburg2 »

cxseven wrote: post #13
tmalsburg2 wrote: post #6

This is fun. However, does this bot perform better than a random bot? and if yes, how much?

According to http://trump2cash.biz/ , "Overall, the algorithm seems to succeed more often than not: The simulated fund has an annualized return of about 59% since inception. There are limits to the simulation and the underlying data, so take it all with a grain of salt."

Yes, I saw that. What we don't know is whether the bot just got lucky. Inferential stats are needed to determine this.
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