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Snap Inc. S-1

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161–170 of 337 posts

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#161
post #121

"The launch of Spectacles, which has not generated significant revenue for us, is a good example. There is no guarantee that investing in new lines of business, new products, and other initiatives will succeed. If we do not successfully develop new approaches to monetization, we may not be able to maintain or grow our revenue as anticipated or recover any associated development costs, and our business could be seriou…

They're probably more of a shot at creating lock-in than a profit center.

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#162

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Their revenue ($400MM) is impressive for a messaging app, but honestly, the valuation it carries at this point is nuts. It's just an app and I personally don't believe it has a sufficient economic moat to justify that. Where's the ecosystem? How can we bolt on value from having that audience? Unlike Facebook, we won't have a billion people using Snapchat any time soon. Then again, I didn't believe Instagram was worth…

>Their revenue ($400MM) is impressive for a messaging app Compared to Line and Wechat its really not

You're right. I converted the Line Corp yen revenue number to USD, but looks like I missed a zero. Line has a market cap of $7bn, and does $1bn in revenue.

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#163
post #4

Very interesting to see what they think of their competition: > We face significant competition in almost every aspect of our business both domestically and internationally. This includes larger, more established companies such as Apple, Facebook (including Instagram and WhatsApp), Google (including YouTube), Twitter, Kakao, LINE, Naver (including Snow), and Tencent, which provide their users with a variety of produc…

At least they're honest! Maybe it's the sector I'm in, but I rarely see this kind of candor in my sub-field of technology...

Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but aren't they legally required to disclose this kind of information? Couldn't it could be considered misleading investors otherwise?

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#164
post #47

OK, their dirty laundry is about what I would expect it to be. They are required to list these things at this point to avoid being accused of hiding information later. Given all this, are you buying? If you owned stock day 1 would you sell it?

Personally, I'd sell immediately. I don't trust tech stocks; they're consumer discretionaries (or media stocks?) but more volatile, and any one of them could suffer the fate of Sun or Iomega at any time. If you gamble and win, you can make a fortune, but if you gamble you're more likely to lose; there are more reliable profits to be made elsewhere.

(But I don't short any tech stocks, even though they don't normally pay dividends; all you have to do is short the next Microsoft once, and then you're selling your house a decade down the line. I prefer to let other people do the gambling, in both directions, while I look for safer things. Similarly, I have no exposure to biotech, the other gambling part of the market.)

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#165

"We have committed to spend $2 billion with Google Cloud over the next five years and have built our software and computer systems to use computing, storage capabilities, bandwidth, and other services provided by Google, some of which do not have an alternative in the market." There's some numbers for you that Google wouldn't have provided (as far as I have seen).

So Snapchat is basically ~80% (or more) of the entire Google's cloud business (if exclude G Suite from the Google's cloud).

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#166

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I find the "do not have an alternative in the market" comment interesting - is there really anything which AWS does not have the GCE does?

Come on, HN. How can nobody be mentioning some of the much cooler stuff available on Google Cloud? https://cloud.google.com/products/machine-learning/ It's a mistake to just compare Google with AWS, thinking in terms of basic storage and computing. That's boring and obviously there are tons of alternatives, including Snap Inc. building it themselves, for the amount of money cited. When it comes to cutting edge AI and…

Are these sorts of things latency-sensitive enough that they couldn't use them with EC2 and similar? Or are the bandwidth needs so large that bandwidth charges cancel out any compute savings?

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#167
post #165

"We have committed to spend $2 billion with Google Cloud over the next five years and have built our software and computer systems to use computing, storage capabilities, bandwidth, and other services provided by Google, some of which do not have an alternative in the market." There's some numbers for you that Google wouldn't have provided (as far as I have seen).

So Snapchat is basically ~80% (or more) of the entire Google's cloud business (if exclude G Suite from the Google's cloud).

Has Google published cloud revenue numbers? I haven't seen those, please link if so. Thanks

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#168
post #88
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This, and related topics, always makes me laugh a bit. Mostly because people and companies will defend either move, with terms such as "focusing on the core business" or, opposite that statement, as "vertical integration". From my mostly uninformed POV, a company can do whatever they want with respect to this and be on good ground, making it an arbitrary decision with little basis in actual objectivity.

That both directions can seem like a good idea to a speculating outsider doesn't mean the decision is an arbitrary one. It means the deciding factors aren't something we're privy to.

... but might still be wishy washy things like personal opinion or background of key stakeholders, company culture, etc.

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#169
Executive Compensation

  Name and Principal Position
        Year         Salary        Bonus(1)          Stock Awards(2)     All Other   Total
  Evan Spiegel
            2016     $ 503,205     $ 1,000,000       $ —                 $ 901,635   $ 2,404,840      
            2015       363,715       1,000,000         —                   344,756     1,708,471      
  Imran Khan
            2016       241,539       5,239,460         —                   14,658      5,495,657      
            2015       230,000       —                 145,292,145         348         145,522,493    
  Timothy Sehn(6)
            2016       400,152       1,000,000         40,000,020          8,348       41,408,520

Re: Snap Inc. S-1

#170
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is it not possible to build your own "alternative in the market" for $2 billion?

Not a businessman but who says its all about the infra. buy vs. build. It allies them with Google. It gives arguably the most powerful co. in the world a stake in Snap' growth and success.

That's a great point, along the lines of, "When you borrow $100 the bank owns you; when you borrow $1,000,000 you own the bank"
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